Jordan – Argentina Tip Football World Cup, Group J, 3rd matchday on Sunday, 28.06.2026 at 04:00
My Jordan Argentina tip on Sunday morning is of course different than if this match had taken place at the beginning of the preliminary round. Because the already certain promotion as winners of Group J will make the South Americans shift down a gear.
Over 2.5 goals at odds of about 1.60 still makes it onto my betting slip for one of the last two group games of this World Cup pretty quickly. Several reservists of the “Albiceleste” want to prove themselves, and the Jordanian offensive is not completely without penetrating power either!
According to the World Cup 2026 World Cup odds, Argentina is one of the closest favorites. A successful title defense is therefore within the realm of possibility.
But according to my Jordan-Argentina forecast, the South Americans will take a back seat for the time being in the first joint duel between these two nations. Only from the 2026 World Cup sixteenth finals will they spoil us again with offensive football at its best.
1st goal: Lionel Messi is of course a Jordan Argentina tip with increased odds of about 3.85, who made it to my betting slip in no time at all. I didn’t hesitate for a second.
Because every regular player could be rested at the beginning, except Messi. After all, the exceptional talent was able to crown himself the best World Cup goalscorer of all time on the last matchday. He now wants to extend this record further!
Argentina wins both halves I would also give a chance at 2.40. Because even if Coach Scaloni sends a complete B-eleven with Messi in attack onto the field, it would still be clearly superior to the opponent.
Jordan – Argentina: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our AI model has a clear opinion on the outcome of the game, which I basically agree with. It calculates an 83.0% probability of victory for Argentina, even if it would play with a B-eleven!
The predicted goal numbers are also interesting. Our software expects 2.57 goals for the Albiceleste and 0.46 for Jordan. However, this is a tad too conservative for me, as I would expect two slightly higher values each.
In any case, the extremely one-sided Argentina odds make betting on the classic 1X2 market extremely uninteresting. Real added value for a worthwhile Argentina Jordan tip lies rather in “Messi bets” and goal bets from at least three booths.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Jordan |
Draw |
Victory Argentina |
| 4.9% |
12.1% |
83% |
The bookmakers classify the bet “Both to score” as an underdog option. However, given that Jordan have already scored twice and Argentina are rebuilding their defence, the odds of 2.37 are extremely tempting. There is definitely value hidden here!
In the Asian Handicap, the line is -1.75 for Argentina. That means they would have to win by three goals. With a B-eleven and without the compulsion to give everything, it’s almost too risky for me!
Meanwhile, Messi is of course the big favourite on the goalscorer market. However, if he is rested, chances open up for other players. However, I don’t think that the exceptional talent will play less than 70 minutes!
Jordan – Argentina Prediction & Betting
I have come up with one or the other Jordan Argentina tip, which can be excellently combined with a World Cup betting bonus and also enjoys first-class chances of success.
In the fight for the title of World Cup 2026 top scorer, Messi will probably be on the pitch again for 90 minutes and will have plenty of opportunities to add to his already respectable haul of five goals.
In this respect, I would not shy away from giving Hattrick: Messi a chance at odds of around 7.70. If he scored at will against teams like Austria and Algeria, he should have an even better chance against Jordan.
What you need to know about Jordan vs. Argentina betting
- Jordan are winless in seven games, but have scored in six of those games.
- Argentina are unbeaten in eight games at the finals (6 wins).
- In six of Jordan’s last seven games, goals have been scored on both sides.
- Lionel Messi is the sole World Cup record scorer with 18 goals.
But since I also see the underdog setting offensive accents, both teams are also playable at odds of 2.32. The backline of the “Albiceleste” is turned inside out in such a way that the Jordanians could also score in their third game in a row.
It could develop into an extremely lively game, in which the Argentines are primarily concerned with giving their folk hero numerous opportunities to score.
Over 3.5 goals at odds of about 2.37 would therefore at least be on my radar. Because even if the defending champions use players from the second row, they will still give 100%.
The best odds for Jordan vs. Argentina
The Jordan-Argentina betting odds speak for themselves: After all, the defending champions are the overwhelming favourites. The odds for the Albiceleste to win are in the range of 1.16, which hardly yields a significant profit.
A draw is rated with significantly higher odds. In a meaningless game, in which the B-eleven of the favorites may not harmonize, a share of points cannot be completely ruled out.
A victory for Jordan would be a sensation and will be rewarded accordingly with astronomical odds. Although it is unlikely, the team will do everything it can to say goodbye to the big stage with a historic result.
Ultimately, the odds distribution of the World Cup bookmakers confirms that the classic 1X2 market offers hardly any potential. Rather, the focus should be on special bets, such as goal or player bets.
Jordan vs Argentina Tactics & Match Analysis:
Since Argentina has already secured the group victory, this game will be used to rest regulars. The focus is clearly on preparing for the upcoming knockout phase, which begins a long and hard road to the 2026 World Cup final.
For the already eliminated debutants Jordan, on the other hand, the match is more than just a friendly. It is a unique opportunity to compete with the reigning world champions on football’s biggest stage.
Players like Nico Paz, Giuliano Simeone or Leandro Paredes, who have hardly been used so far, are likely to play from the start for Argentina. You’ll want to use this opportunity to prove yourself.
Superstar Lionel Messi is also expected to get a break. Although he is on the hunt for records, his fitness for the decisive games in the course of the tournament is the top priority for the coaching team.
Argentina’s goal is to finish the group stage with a perfect haul of nine points for the first time since 2014. At the same time, however, they will certainly not invest more energy than necessary.
A key factor according to my Argentina Jordan prediction could be the vulnerability of the underdog in the closing stages. They conceded late goals in both group games.
Jordan Form Curve
Jordan bid farewell to the tournament after a 2-1 defeat against Algeria. Despite being eliminated in their historic first participation, they showed a committed performance and were able to convince at times.
They started strongly against Algeria and even took the lead through Nizar Al-Rashdan. In the first half, they earned a promising xG value of 0.54, which testifies to their offensive power.
After the break, however, the team could not maintain the high level. Algeria dominated the last half hour and exposed Jordan’s fitness weaknesses, who only had two shots on goal.
This pattern was not an isolated case. In total, Jordan conceded four goals in the last half hour of the group stage – a clear sign of declining concentration and strength.
Statistically, Jordan had an average of only 32.3% possession and relied heavily on counterattacks. Their pressing values are among the weakest in the tournament, which explains their defensive vulnerability.
Despite the early elimination, the team has proven that it can be dangerous in front of goal. Against a world champion who is not competing with the best line-up, they will give everything for an honorable farewell.
Argentina Form Curve
With a 2-0 victory against Austria, Argentina has made it perfect to win the group and advance to the round of 16. Now coach Scaloni can give his key players a well-deserved break.
Man of the tournament so far is once again Lionel Messi. He scored all five of his team’s goals and was also the decisive player on the pitch against Austria with a brace.
With his goals, the eight-time World Player of the Year has crowned himself the sole record goalscorer at World Cups. With 18 goals, he left the previous record holder Miroslav Klose behind.
Messi also set another record: He is only the third player in history to score in six consecutive tournament games. Only Just Fontaine and Jairzinho had previously achieved this.
But it’s not just the offense that shines. The Argentines’ defence is a real bulwark. In the last nine games, they kept a clean sheet eight times and allowed an average of only 0.42 xG per game at this tournament.
This flawless start is the best since 2014 and the first without conceding a goal since 1998. The Albiceleste are unbeaten in eight games since the opening defeat in 2022 at the finals and are in top form.
