Cottbus – Augsburg Tip DFB Pokal, 1st main round on Saturday, 22.08.26 at 13:00
There aren’t too many first-round matches of the DFB Cup in which I think a surprise is possible. However, my Cottbus Augsburg tip is an exception in this context. Because the underdog could definitely do something in this case!
Even without a suitable odds boost to drive up the 4.60 for Cottbus’ victory within 90 minutes, I would want to take advantage of this offer from immediately!
The Lusatians have marched through from the regional league to the 2nd division in just a few seasons through a lot of passion. And don’t forget: They haven’t lost a game at the LEAG Energie Stadium in 2026!
Cottbus vs. Augsburg AI Predictions:
In this atmospheric stadium and whipped up by the passionate fans of FCE, everything seems to be possible for the traditional club from Lusatia – our prediction model has also recognized this!
Only it is a shade less aggressive than I am in its own betting thoughts. Because with Double Chance 1X to 1.44, this Cottbus Augsburg AI prediction of our digital betting brain does not necessarily assume that the host will actually advance in the end.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Cottbus |
Draw |
Victory Augsburg |
| 19.9% |
21.8% |
58.3% |
However, the area in which I and our data model have a 100% identical opinion concerns the expected course of the game in the first half of the game – because this should belong to the Lusatians!
The selection 1st goal: Cottbus (1st half), which expresses this assumption and is favoured by me, assumes that FCE will score 1-0 before the break. For this, good bookmakers then offer odds of 2.52 as a reward.
And I would not ignore the 1st half bet based on this: Cottbus at a significantly higher 4.45 in view of the passion of the home side – not even after the recent 3-1 defeat against Bielefeld in the league!
What you need to consider when betting on Cottbus vs. Augsburg
- First-round hurdle as a permanent problem for the Lusatians: In the last nine participations in the DFB Cup, the club from Lusatia has been eliminated directly in the 1st round in eight cases.
- Invincible home side in direct comparison: In the four previous competitive matches, the respective visiting team has never been able to prevail.
- Goal guarantee in the LEAG Energie Stadium: In ten of Energie Cottbus’ last 13 home games, both teams have scored on the scoresheet.
- Wobbly Augsburg backline: The Bundesliga club showed glaring gaps in defence in pre-season and conceded a whopping 12 goals in five friendlies (including a 5-2 defeat against Bournemouth).
