PSG – Monaco Tip Ligue 1, Matchday 3 on Friday, 04/09/2026 at 21:05
What a cracker awaits us on Ligue 1 matchday 3! A PSG Monaco tip simply has to interest every fan of French football – regardless of whether he turns to an old or new betting provider with his ideas.
In the meantime, I have deliberately decided on the betting manoeuvre PSG to win & both teams to score at odds of about 2.52 as part of a Betano sports bet. I have incorporated my accumulated experience from the past years!
As a rule, Luis Enrique’s team strikes back brutally after setbacks such as the lucky 2-2 draw against Lille. However, I still don’t quite trust the capital club to make the first flawless defensive appearance of the 2026/27 season in the fifth competitive game!
PSG vs. Monaco AI Tip & Odds Analysis:
An alternative to my tip above is provided by our PSG Monaco AI prediction in the form of a recommendation for the classic win bet on PSG. The odds for this are in the range of 1.42, which is definitely suitable for a combination bet.
Despite the low form, the Parisians are a bench at home and won 13 of their 17 home games last season. In addition, Luis Enrique and his boys have proven to us several times in recent years that they are the most dangerous after a disappointment!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory PSG |
Draw |
Victory Monaco |
| 66.4% |
17.8% |
15.8% |
Our data model also finds the bet “Both teams to score” as an individual selection interesting. Last season, goals were scored by both sides in 65% of all Ligue 1 games for the Monegasques.
However, I would be more courageous on Friday with regard to a goal bet against the background of the numerous direct duels since New Year’s Day. Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.10.
What you need to know about PSG vs. Monaco betting
- PSG have won all of their last five games against European teams outside France (twice against Arsenal, Inter Milan, Atlético Madrid and Bayern Munich) with an aggregate score of 14-1.
- Los Blancos have scored an average of 2.20 goals per game in this tournament, surpassing their xG value by 0.41 per game. Of the teams that are in the semi-finals, only PSG has a higher average of goals per game (2.4).
- The average betting odds for Real Madrid to win have only been higher in one game since the end of April. That was the final of the Copa del Rey against Barcelona, which Real drew 2-2 but lost after extra time.
- Real Madrid eliminated Paris Saint-Germain with an aggregate score of 3-2 in the round of 16 of the 2021/22 Champions League. In these matches, Kylian Mbappé scored both goals for PSG.
- Vitinha is the Club World Cup leader in terms of precise long passes per 90 minutes (10.08). The PSG midfielder is second behind Rodri (104.1) in terms of precise passes per game (103.2). Real Madrid’s Luka Modric is in third place with 100.5 precise passes.
