Slovenia – North Macedonia Tip Nations League, Group B1, Matchday 2 on Tuesday, 29/09/2026 at 20:45 CET
For both the Slovenian and North Macedonian teams, the UEFA Nations League opener was uneventful in front of goal.
This is also the basis of my Slovenia North Macedonia tip for the direct duel on Matchday 2, This is the bet on Under 2.5 goals.
For me, however, even a zero number is quite conceivable here! If the kickers from the Balkans sit deep at the back as usual, then it will be difficult for the Slovenians, who are weakened by replacements, to develop offensively without Sesko.
Slovenia vs. North Macedonia AI Predictions:
Our model was fed with data and created a Slovenia North Macedonia AI forecast on this basis, which I would definitely subscribe to. A 0-0 result bet at odds of 9 requires some courage, but a zero number seems plausible here.
Four of the North Macedonians’ last nine international matches have already ended with this result – mostly against teams on an equal footing, to which I would also include the Slovenian national team, even if the sports betting providers classify this somewhat differently in their odds.
The xG value determined by our AI of just 0.98 also speaks for a low-scoring duel. It is the lowest value on this 2nd matchday and thus fits perfectly with my gut feeling that we could wait in vain for the first goal of the game.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Slovenia |
Draw |
Victory North Macedonia |
| 57.6% |
24.9% |
17.5% |
you can also try the selection Under 1st half: Under 1.5 / 2nd half: Under 1.5 at odds of 1.80. I don’t expect several goals to be scored in the first or second half either. Instead, a lot should take place in midfield.
That’s why I also focus on a draw as a Slovenia North Macedonia tip for a simple 1X2 bet. The generous 3.70 is in any case in a more than fair proportion to this not at all improbable outcome.
What you need to know about Slovenia vs. North Macedonia betting
- Defensive games of the home side: In seven of the last nine matches of the Slovenians, less than 2.5 goals were scored in the end.
- Sluggish start phase of the Slovenians: The hosts regularly need warm-up time in attacking play; Slovenia has not scored a single goal before the 40th minute of the game since November 2024.
- One-sided away appearances of the North Macedonians: In the guest appearances of the North Macedonians, the meeting on both sides remains a rare exception; both teams have only scored in one of their last ten competitive away games.
- Precise patterns in a direct away comparison: North Macedonia have conceded exactly one goal in each of their three direct matches on Slovenian soil so far.
