RC Lens – Olympique Lyon Tip Ligue 1, Matchday 6 on Friday, 09/10/2026 at 20:45 CET
After the excitement surrounding the dismissal of coach Dino Toppmöller, the hosts are hoping for a turnaround in Ligue 1 on Friday (20:45 CEST). My Lens Olympique Lyon tip leaves this open, because it is: Both teams score & over 2.5 goals in the match at odds at DAZN Bet of 1.65.
The rationale for this Lens Lyon bet is simple: while the hosts have a weak defence, no offense surpasses the ten goals Lyon have scored so far. In addition, Lens has only failed to score in one of five Ligue 1 games.
Lens vs. Olympique Lyon AI Tip & Odds Analysis:
Despite all the problems, our sports betting providers assume that the hosts are favourites. The probability of winning at home is more than 40 percent, while OL’s success is only about 35 percent.
A forecast that I find courageous, but which I still don’t want to bet against. Our AI tool comes to a similar conclusion for 1×2 bets, but the second-placed Lyon team has started the season much better and is in second place after five matchdays.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Lens |
Draw |
Victory Lyon |
| 41.1% |
23.8% |
35.1% |
However, I found a Lens Olympique Lyon AI tip that seems far more promising to me. Not least because it is also part of my main bet. Our AI spat out xG values of 1.61 for Lens and 1.46 for Lyon.
The logical consequence: A bet on over 2.5 goals, because the xG value for this duel reaches 3.07. In addition, three of the last four competitive matches have brought three or more goals. The odds around 1.55 are quite acceptable, but I pimped it up a bit for my Lens Olympique Lyon tip and put a “both score” on it.
