Peru Canada betting tip
The first match of the second matchday is scheduled for midnight German time on Wednesday night, and Canada will be looking to follow up their clean sheet against defending champions and world champions Argentina in Group A. A three-pointer is urgently needed to progress.
Unlike at the European Championship, only the top two teams in each group of four qualify for the Copa America. On paper, Peru are the weakest link, so I expect a bold performance from Bayern star Alphonso Davies’ team.
In my Peru Canada betting tip, I opt for a configurator bet at Oddset. The mixture of double chance X2 and at least one goal for the Maple Leafs brings in tasty total odds:
Canada couldn’t do much damage in the opening game of the Copa America against Argentina. At least until the break, they were able to hold on to a draw against the stronger world champions, who had a whopping 90 percent pass rate.
Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez finally got the win underway in the second half. Superstar Lionel Messi set up the second goal against a Canadian defense that had some problems
The prediction of the bookmakers
3.06 to 1.16 expected goals for Argentina in the end. And Peru? The national team had a less exciting match in the South American group duel, a 0-0 draw against Chile, with just 18 goals scored.
For the second game, Canada is slightly favored at Oddset, getting a 2.35, which is great odds in my eyes! Peru is at 3.10, the odds for a draw bet are slightly higher (3.20)
Analysis: Peru vs. Canada
The odds show that the bookmakers can imagine practically any outcome in this duel. Both teams are under maximum pressure ahead of this match. Canada want to pick up their first points and Peru also need three points ahead of their match against Argentina.
A starting position that requires courage from the attacking players. In terms of play, I think the Canadians are ahead, as they have the much better personnel across the board, but also the better individualists in their ranks, who can make the difference in a game like this
However, the Canadians’ confidence is unlikely to be the greatest. In 2024, they only managed one win against Trinidad and Tobago. Before the Copa America kick-off, Jesse March’s team, who only took over the team before the last test matches, has chosen a tough program.
Two test matches against the Netherlands and France. The Dutch showcased their attacking power and gave the US head coach a horror start with a resounding 4:0.
In line with the rather poor performance of the French so far, the last test match of the German neighboring country did not really give any pleasure, everyone expected a clear victory against Canada, but the goals failed to materialize at all
Odds analysis
No goals in the direct preparation for Canada before the start of the tournament, whether Les Rouges have done themselves any favors with these set-ups before the start of the Copa America 2024? In the end, they were unable to build up any great self-confidence.
The months have gone better for Peru, who have not conceded a defeat since November. Their most recent defeat was a 1-0 loss to Bolivia, followed by a 1-1 draw against Venezuela. The 2024 campaign got off to a flying start with a 2-0 win over Nicaragua and a 4-1 victory over the Dominican Republic.
The dress rehearsals before the Copa America ended 0-0 against Paraguay and 1-0 against El Salvador, making it one goal conceded in five international matches in 2024 with the 0-0 draw against Chile. The key problem against bigger teams is the goal threat anyway.
In any case, the top betting providers are not expecting a shooting match. You can get 1.45 for over 1.5 goals at Betano. Incidentally, Betano is an official partner of Euro 2024, but you can also use the €20 free bet that you receive with no deposit for the Copa America
Offensive failures for the Peruvians
The goal bets are getting really hot further up, with over 2.5 goals fetching 2.35 and at least four goals even 4.30. High odds with little potential, however, even if both national teams have their sights set on the three points.
In addition, left winger Bryan Reyna is struggling with joint problems, as is Christian Cueva, which further weakens the attacking personnel.
The fact that ex-HSV star Paolo Guerrero is still playing for the national team shows that the Peruvian youth team only has limited options.
The now 40-year-old came off the bench against Chile. He has already played 121 international matches, scoring 40 goals in the process. His most recent goal came against the Dominican Republic.
It was his first goal of the decade for Peru. Incidentally, he is only seven matches away from record player status
Canada four years younger on average
As already mentioned, Peru values the zero at the back. That’s why the national team starts the international matches with a back three. Jorge Fossati started the tournament with a 3-1-4-2 system.
Can Canada break the deadlock? March opted for a 4-4-2 system with stability in the form of a double six consisting of Ismael Kone and Stephen Eustaquio, two legionnaires from the Championship and the Portuguese league.
The figurehead is to be found in left defense, captain Davies. But Canada now has a strong national team. After all, Tajon Buchanan and Jonathan David are not unknown names either.
Overall, the Canadians also have a much younger team, with an average age of 25.4 for the Canadians and 29.1 for the Peruvians.
Peru and Canada have only met once before. However, the duel took place 14 years ago. Peru won 2:0 in a friendly match. An outcome that I can’t even imagine for Wednesday.
However, this is also due to the fact that the Canadian national team now has a good squad, while Peru’s key players have either retired or have already seen out their glory days
In terms of play, I definitely expect more from the Canadians, who are also more offensively oriented. I’m optimistic that after three goalless matches following the 2-0 win against Trinidad and Tobago in March, the first goal can be scored.
In my opinion, the single Canada goal at odds of 1.33 definitely belongs on every combination ticket. Since I’m mainly assuming a risk in the second half, the 2.10 for more goals in the second 45 minutes is also a great option
My tip:
Admittedly, we are unlikely to see the big spectacle in the clash between Peru and Canada, but the second half in particular should be interesting. Because a draw doesn’t really help anyone.
Jesse Marche wants to score his first three-goal haul in his fourth international match with Canada. In my eyes, that’s absolutely realistic. The Maple Leafs have the much stronger squad together and have pace in their game, which will be important to break down the South Americans’ stubborn defense.
I am convinced that the Canadians will win, the odds are fantastic, but I prefer to back the double chance X2 and combine the bet with a goal from David’s offense.
My Peru Canada tip: Double chance X2 & over 0.5 Canada goals
