Bundesliga relegation prediction: who will be relegated in 2025
While a tight race for the league title is looming at the top, the bottom half of the table will be fighting for survival in the Bundesliga.
Almost half of the Bundesliga will be involved in the fight against relegation!
Here we provide a compact overview of the Bundesliga relegation candidates in 2025 – who will have to tremble to stay in the league and who has a good chance of avoiding relegation
Bundesliga relegation prediction for Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli
This season sees a premiere in the Bundesliga: Holstein Kiel are in the Bundesliga for the first time ever. The question inevitably arises: Will this premiere be over in May 2025?
Holstein Kiel are at the top of every Bundesliga relegation prediction. Both the experts and the Bundesliga relegation betting odds of the best soccer betting providers mention the “Storks” – often even as the top favorite and thus as the first fixed relegation.
Kiel want to defy the negative Bundesliga relegation predictions. With commitment, will and fighting spirit, the “miracle of relegation” is to be achieved. In the knowledge that it will be a very difficult season.
At first glance, there is not much to be said for Kiel, who finished second in the Bundesliga last season. The team is in last place in the Bundesliga market value table as at the end of July 2024 and is also the team with the least Bundesliga experience.
But so-called “little ones” have already prevailed against supposedly better teams in the relegation battle. The best example is 1. FC Heidenheim, which was a newcomer to the Bundesliga last season and ended up finishing in 8th place to secure their place in the league.
This also applies to FC St. Pauli, who entered the Bundesliga as second division champions.
The club from Hamburg’s Kiez is back in the Belle Etage of German soccer for the first time in 13 years – and that’s how it should stay. However, St. Pauli is one of the two teams to be relegated in almost every Bundesliga relegation prediction.
This is also primarily due to the player material. Based on the market value of all 18 Bundesliga teams, Hamburg are only in second-last place – only fellow promoted team Kiel is weaker on paper.
Like Kiel, however, the Kirzkickers are also aiming to stay in the league with commitment and passion.
Statistically speaking, however, one of the two promoted teams will end up in the end: There have only been 18 times in Bundesliga history that all promoted teams have managed to stay in the league.
The last time this was the case was in 2021, when Arminia Bielefeld and VfB Stuttgart managed to stay in the league. Last year, Darmstadt 98 were relegated immediately, while Heidenheim managed to stay in the Bundesliga…
Relegation prediction: Will VfL Bochum be relegated this time?
The third name that comes up in every Bundesliga relegation prediction is that of VfL Bochum.
This is mainly because the Revierklub finished 15th in the table last season and therefore had to go into the relegation play-offs. There they were able to save themselves from relegation to Bundesliga 2 against Fortuna Düsseldorf.
A look at the last few seasons shows why Bochum are now threatened with relegation to the Bundesliga in 2025: In recent years, the “relegation” has only delayed the club’s fall into the second Bundesliga.
Hertha BSC were relegated in 2023; the year before (2022), they were saved in the relegation play-off. Werder Bremen suffered the same fate a year later after winning the relegation play-off in 2020. The exception was VfB Stuttgart last season, who finished runners-up the following season after relegation in 2023.
This is unlikely to be the case for Bochum; rather, a bleak Bundesliga relegation prognosis awaits VfL. Also because the squad only appears in 15th place in the Bundesliga market value table…
Bundesliga relegation prediction for Heidenheim
Last season, 1. FC Heidenheim pulled off a middling soccer miracle.
In the first Bundesliga season in the club’s history, FCH finished in 8th place – and since Bayer Leverkusen also won the DFB Cup as champions, Heidenheim even slipped into the European Cup. Heidenheim may therefore be playing in the Conference League in the 2024/25 season.
Regardless of this, the Bundesliga relegation prediction of the experts and betting providers sees a difficult season ahead for the “village club”.
Two cornerstones, Jan-Niklas Beste and Tim Kleindienst, have been lost. The squad can only be found in 16th place in the market value ranking of the 18 Bundesliga teams, which corresponds to a relegation place.
And then there’s the old adage: the second year in the Bundesliga is the hardest…
Will Mainz’s Bundesliga era end in 2025?
Mainz 05 have been in the Bundesliga since the 2009/2010 season. They have finished in single figures in the table a total of six times during this period. Last season, however, they once again finished in double figures in 13th place.
Is Mainz’s time in the Bundesliga in 2025 coming to an end?
At the Christmas break last season, the Nullfünfer were only 16th in the relegation places. Level on points with bottom-placed Darmstadt and penultimate-placed Cologne. In the end, however, Rheinhessen managed to save themselves in the second half of the season.
For some experts, this was just a delay in relegation, as almost every Bundesliga relegation prediction expects a difficult season for Mainz
Bundesliga relegation prediction: Will Augsburg be relegated this time?
A club that has been in the Bundesliga for a very long time is mentioned every year in the Bundesliga relegation predictions: FC Augsburg.
In 2019 and 2020, FCA finished in 15th place, in 2021 and 2022 both times in 14th place. The 2022/23 season was once again finished just above the line in 15th place.
This means that the Fuggerstädter have always come very close to “qualifying” for the second division in the last six seasons.
The fact that FCA can fight relegation speaks in their favor in the Bundesliga relegation prediction. Anyone who finishes just outside the relegation zone six times in a row can handle this pressure very well.
Whether Augsburg want this constant trembling in the 2024/25 season is another question, however. Within the club, the focus is more on the top.
However, many a Bundesliga relegation forecast for 2025 looks different. Another difficult year could await FCA…
This is why there will be (no) Bundesliga relegation of Union
Union Berlin experienced a rollercoaster of emotions in the first half of the 2023/24 season. Here Champions League, there relegation battle in the Bundesliga.
Union Berlin even went 14 games without a win in a row, which is why coach Urs Fischer, who had led the club from Bundesliga 2 to the Champions League, had to go.
In the end, the Eiserners somehow managed to avoid relegation. After 34 match days, only the better goal difference saved them from relegation.
And in the 2024/25 season?
The fight to avoid relegation should not be an issue in the capital. According to the team’s market value, this should be the case and there should be no fear of relegation this time around
Bundesliga relegation prediction: Will it be Werder again?
Werder Bremen have only been relegated from the Bundesliga twice – in 1980 and most recently in 2021. Could a third relegation be on the cards in 2025?
The name “Werder Bremen” can be found among many Bundesliga relegation predictions. There are many reasons for this.
At the end of last season, the Whites were in 9th place and therefore far away from the danger zone. On the other hand, there were also somewhat longer periods of weakness over the course of the previous season, during which SVW threatened to plummet towards the relegation zone.
If these inconsistent phases continue in the 2024/25 season, it could be another year in the bottom half of the table for Werder.
Some experts therefore see Bremen as a relegation contender. And that is probably also due to the squad’s market value: Werder are in 12th place here as of July 2024…
