La Liga, Tuesday, 27.08.2024 at 19:00
On Tuesday, RCD Mallorca will face Sevilla FC at home to kick off the 3rd La Liga matchday. Kick-off is at 19:00 at the small but beautiful Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Neither side has had much time to recover. That’s probably why I’ve come to the conclusion in my Mallorca Sevilla betting tip that goalscoring chances worth mentioning should be in short supply
Both teams come into this game on the back of disappointing defeats. Mallorca recently lost 1-0 to CA Osasuna, while Sevilla suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Villarreal CF. Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli scored the only goal for the Andalusians.
Incidentally, my Mallorca Sevilla betting tip is also based on the problems both teams have in generating enough goals.
Last season, Mallorca already had acute problems in this regard with just 33 goals in 38 games, which dropped them to 17th place in the league in this ranking
Defensively, however, RCD were solid and only conceded 44 goals, making them one of the better defensive teams of the pre-season.
Especially as the strong central defensive duo of Raillo/Valjent promises to do a similarly good job for the islanders this season.
Especially as they defended strongly together in the 1-1 draw against Real Madrid on matchday 1.
Mallorca also have the advantage of playing in front of their own fans at home, which has often helped them to be more compact defensively in the past
Vedat Muriqi and Abdon Prats Bastidas are the main attacking forces for Mallorca, but both were only moderately successful last season.
Prats, with his six goals last season, will have to play a key role again to threaten Sevilla.
But here, too, I lack the necessary imagination to seriously imagine a multiple breakthrough against Sevilla, at the latest after the islanders’ poor chance conversion revealed in the game against Osasuna.
Sevilla have their own problems, though. Especially as the current season will go down in the annals as the lowest point in the club’s modern history simply because it will be the first time since 2012/13 that they will be “European Cup-less”.
Coach García Pimienta’s team put in some impressive attacking performances last season, but were unable to keep things tight at the back in the long term.
They finished the season in mid-table with a goal difference of -6. Sevilla will try to improve this season, but the recent defeat against Villarreal shows that the defense is still a problem
An important contribution for Sevilla could come from the aforementioned Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli, who could now net in back-to-back fashion for his new employers.
Isaac Romero Bernal and Ivan Rakitic will also be crucial in revitalizing the Andalusian attack, which has looked stiff of late.
While FCS undoubtedly possess the ability to dominate games, they often struggle with defensive lapses, which continues to leave them vulnerable to unexpected away defeats, even against a side like Mallorca.
After all, the “Rojiblancos” have conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 La Liga games
Now here are two scenarios that you can easily put to the test at any sports betting provider with Apple Pay as a payment option at any time.
DC 1X for Mallorca: With the home strength and Sevilla’s inconsistent form, a double chance on Mallorca (1X) could be interesting. However, the odds of around 1.30 don’t offer too rosy a payout to be shot down as a single bet.
Both teams to score – No: In view of the weak offensive performances of both teams, it could make sense to bet on “Both teams to score – No”. It is quite possible that only one team will score a goal or that the game will end goalless
Do you want to know why I trust a Mallorca Sevilla tip of less than 2.5 goals so much?
It would have been successful in this form in 7 of the last 8 direct La Liga duels. The only exception is the 2:1 victory of the “Rojiblancos” in April 2024.
But if you want to be on the safe side, raise the bar by exactly one goal, as these two teams have not scored four goals in a competitive match in 12 years (10 meetings)
In the long term, I’m a bit worried about RCD, especially as they finished last season just seven points above the relegation zone.
Even more worrying, in my opinion, is the lack of activity in the transfer market.
Mallorca have only signed three new players and sold key players such as Predrag Rajković and Giovanni González, which has visibly weakened the team
Conclusion: Mallorca will try to play to their defensive strengths, while FCS must try to recover quickly from their latest defeat.
“Under 2.5 goals” in this match seems to be a solid bet. A bet on “Double chance 1X” for Mallorca also offers a good chance of success, especially at home.
“Both teams to score – No” could also be a good choice, given the poor attacking performances of both teams.
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My tip: Double chance 1X & Under 2.5 goals
