La Liga, Wednesday, 28.08.2024 at 19:00
It’s all happening in the Primera División! The new season has barely begun and the first English week is already on the agenda. I now get to deal with two teams that are still winless ahead of matchday three.
This naturally increases the pressure on both sides, although our German bookmakers are unanimous: In the Athletic Bilbao Valencia betting tip, the role of favorite clearly goes to the home side! Why I expect a relatively close game and therefore bet on the DC 1X at over 1.5 goals, I’ll tell you now in my analysis
Athletic Bilbao absolutely achieved their sporting goal by finishing fifth in the pre-season, so it will be all the more difficult to repeat this performance in such a strong La Liga.
The Basques did not quite get the results they would have liked at the start. First they drew 1-1 against Getafe, then lost 2-1 to runners-up Barcelona a few days later
Bilbao have Oihan Sancet to thank as he scored both goals. Inevitably, I take a look around our sports betting apps, land at Bet365 and realize: This goal bet would bring you odds of 3.00 on Wednesday.
Last season, Bilbao collected their first win on the second matchday, but that won’t happen this time. It is also striking that it started 2023/24 with four white vests within the first six rounds.
Theoretically, it’s still possible for a team that is so rooted in its region and is therefore much stronger in its own stadium. Defeats in the last season? Just one!
Since they lost 2-0 to Real Madrid on the very first matchday of pre-season (!), Athletic have been unbeaten in 19 home games. Ten wins and two draws? After the defeat against the Whites, the Basques went on a great run
That’s exactly what the fans want this time, of course. As I mentioned at the beginning, the bookmakers have already convinced them. The average odds for a win are 1.55. For the visitors, on the other hand, the odds often climb above 6.00.
Does this perhaps have something to do with the fact that Bilbao don’t like playing against Valencia? In any case, the two encounters last season only yielded one point for the current favorites
14 of the last 17 games, which I think is worth mentioning, have had a maximum goal difference. Eight times during this period there was no winner at all, so close matches are definitely the order of the day here.
Nevertheless, Bilbao have only lost one home game in the last twelve and a half years, which underlines their position as favorites. 2:2, 1:0, 0:0, 1:1, 1:1, 0:1, 0:0, 1:1? In view of the last home results, I can understand anyone betting on a draw right away!
Since the 1:1 is particularly popular, I’ve picked out some good odds for you. At Oddset you can get 7.75, which you can combine on top with the Oddset spot bet bonus.
Valencia FC know that they don’t often win in Bilbao, but on the other hand, they don’t lose very often either. Defeats are a good keyword, because unfortunately there were two of them at the start of the season
First a 1:2 against Barcelona, then a 1:3 against Celta Vigo – nothing like a successful start. Particularly annoying: Valencia took the lead both times and collapsed after going 1-0 up.
Perhaps it is therefore advisable to bet on the Blanquinegros scoring the first goal of the game on Wednesday? At Betano, the odds for this bet would be 3.25.
With Bilbao, Villarreal, Atletico Madrid and Girona, the next four opponents are tough, so Valencia are in danger of a bad start. The fact that there was only one away win in 2023/24 up to mid-December is also a cause for concern
There’s no question that Athletic Bilbao are stronger than Valencia FC. So far, so good. You’ve also long known that the Basques are hard to beat at home and that the visitors arrive with zero points.
Why would I still not bet on a win? Quite simply because Bilbao aren’t quite as good and the direct comparison has also shown us how close the games against Valencia are.
I therefore opt for the double chance 1X. As neither of them have convinced me defensively, there may well be a goal or two. In the end, this leads to the following bet:
Bilbao will score over 1.5 goals!
