Champions League, Tuesday, 17.09.2024 at 21:00
The first Champions League matchday is just around the corner and AC Milan bosses have had reason to smile again since the weekend.
Paulo Fonseca was able to save his job for the time being thanks to the first Serie A win against Venice. But what are the chances of a win over the Reds?
According to my AC Milan Liverpool betting tip, it will be a really close game. Milan’s enthusiasm for the game was definitely rekindled on Saturday and could easily swing the pendulum in favor of the home side.
The AC Milan Liverpool odds on the various betting apps for this match also invite you to take a chance on the “underdog”
Do you want to hear a statistical killer argument right at the start as to why I could be spot on with my AC Milan Liverpool tip for Tuesday?
Hold on to your hats: Milan have only lost one of their opening matches in the last 16 UEFA Champions League editions in which they have participated (10 wins, 5 draws).
Impressive, isn’t it? However, it is also true that the only club to completely deny them points on matchday 1 in this long period of time was Liverpool of all clubs in the 2021/22 season.
Speaking of Liverpool, LFC have enjoyed an impressive run of success against Italian teams in recent years. Since 2020, the English side have won four of their last five away games in Italy in European competitions (1 defeat).
The bookmaker forecast
The clash between AC Milan and Liverpool promises to be very exciting, and the odds speak for themselves! A home win for the Rossoneri will be rewarded with lucrative odds of 3.95, while a draw also looks attractive at 3.70.
However, the Reds are clearly the favorites: with odds of 1.90, a Liverpool victory is the most likely outcome.
Can Milan surprise in front of a home crowd or will Liverpool’s European dominance prevail? Personally, I wouldn’t want to bet house and home on the English side
KI prediction AC Milan vs Liverpool: ChatGPT bets on it
In order to get some objective input, I fired up the computer, called up ChatGPT and created an AC Milan Liverpool prediction with various tips.
I liked the AC Milan Liverpool tip with high risk. Sure, it’s not for the faint-hearted, but a bet on a 1:1 or higher draw is absolutely justifiable at the odds of around 4.10 currently being traded on the markets.
Even if both sides have always managed to agree on at least three goals in the four Champions League matches they have played together so far, but never on a draw.
“Salah scores” is of course a classic tip somewhere. But I have to say that even if I personally don’t expect a draw, the Reds shouldn’t score too many goals.
At least not so many that I would be willing to accept odds of “only” 2.25 on the Egyptian.
On the other hand, I can leave “Both teams to score” as a safe bet.
Because with odds of around 1.50 and four Champions League games together so far in which this condition has always been met, I see no reason to turn away from this type of bet on Tuesday anyway
Analysis: AC Milan vs Liverpool
Madness: Liverpool have won all three of their UEFA Champions League games at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium: 1-0 against Inter Milan in 2008, 2-0 in 2022 and 2-1 against AC Milan in 2021.
The Reds are therefore the only team to have played there more than once as guests in this competition and maintained a 100% winning record, respect!
So much for the good news for all LFC fans. The bad news? There was an unexpected 1-0 defeat at Anfield Road against Nottingham to deal with at the weekend.
It wasn’t even that this defeat was unfortunate. The star-studded offense simply couldn’t come up with anything and, even statistically speaking, with an xG value of just 0.89, didn’t deserve to score
Milan fans, on the other hand, have two reasons to be happy.
In Saturday’s 4-0 win against Venice, the team finally proved that they can do it after all! The Rossoneri started the game with a lot of anger in their stomachs.
AC scored all four goals in the first half hour, only to visibly slow down and conserve their strength for Tuesday.
Alvaro Morata’s return was also something that should have brought joy to the red and black supporters. The Spaniard has fully recovered from his injury and could be back in the starting line-up against Liverpool.
Odds analysis
If you’re looking for good and clever betting tips for the Milan v Liverpool game, I have two promising recommendations for you!
Milan score the 1:0! The odds of 2.50 are simply too good to ignore. The Rossoneri didn’t give Venice a chance in the first 30 minutes at the weekend – something could happen early on against Liverpool.
I’m also betting on over 2.5 goals. In AC Milan’s last 8 games, at least 3 goals have always been scored – so real action is guaranteed here.
By the way, my preferred result is 2:1 for the Italians
AC Milan vs Liverpool odds: Morata, king of the preliminary round
Morata’s speedy recovery has prompted me to make another AC Milan Liverpool tip that assumes the Spaniard will score – and not without reason.
The promising new signing has only played one game over 30 minutes for his new employers so far due to injury, but he scored straight away against FC Torino on matchday 1.
And in the top flight, he was the measure of all things last season in the group stage! His 5 goals in just 6 games in the preliminary round have never been bettered in any competition.
So if Morata is actually in the starting line-up on Tuesday, I’ll be reaching for the Bwin app and taking advantage of the odds of around 3.30 on him
Can Liverpool deal with pressure in the slot?
Milan will beat Liverpool by a score such as 2-1 for several compelling reasons. I’ve already touched on one, but it should be emphasized again due to its importance for AC!
At the weekend, Milan played their best game of the season so far in a liberating 4-0 win over Venice and relieved a lot of frustration.
This performance shows that the team is fully behind their coach and ready to shine for him on the international stage too.
In my opinion, Milan are underestimated in the betting markets, which is hardly understandable given the statistics.
After all, Milan are unbeaten in their last four games against English teams in the UEFA Champions League (2 wins, 2 draws), including against Tottenham and Newcastle.
They have never gone five consecutive games without defeat against English teams – a milestone that is now within reach.
In addition, Liverpool’s new coach Arne Slot still has to prove that he can reach the level of his predecessor Jürgen Klopp.
After the disappointing 1-0 defeat against Nottingham, he is facing criticism for the first time and must therefore re-motivate his team after this setback. Can he really do that?
Slot has lost each of his three away games in the Champions League so far
My AC Milan Liverpool tip:
My primary betting tip is “Double chance 1X”. Of course, Milan’s strong 4-0 win over Venice alone is not enough to completely erase the mixed performances of the previous weeks.
But this performance shows that the Rossoneri may have found their form in time for the Champions League clash against Liverpool.
Liverpool, on the other hand, suffered a setback at the weekend which casts doubt on their current form. Especially at the San Siro, a stadium where many top teams have faltered, I see Milan as much more dangerous than the bookmakers are suggesting.
My tip: Double chance 1X
