La Liga, Monday, 30.09.2024 at 21:00
When LaLiga offers us spectacles, Villareal FC are usually involved. Will ‘El Submarino amarillo’ provide the entertainment again on Monday night against bottom side Las Palmas?
With a win, the hosts could keep in touch with the top group around Barca & Co. The 1:5 home defeat against the Blaugrana should now be made up for at “La Ceramica”.
In my Villareal Las Palmas betting tip, I reveal why we can look forward to an entertaining game.
14 points from 7 games – Villareal have made an excellent start to the new LaLiga season! But unlike away from home, the sixth-placed team in the table has struggled at home so far. There has only been one win in three games as hosts.
On the other hand, the visitors from Gran Canaria are still waiting for their first win and have only managed to pick up three points so far. The promoted team from 2023 have yet to pick up a single point away from home.
After a rather disappointing last season, in which they missed out on the European places by a hair’s breadth, the aim in 2024/2025 is to aim high again. Under coach Marcelino, who took over the yellow boot in November last year, the Europa League winners are slowly but surely finding their way back to their former strength.
Unlike his predecessors, Marcelino plays attacking and attractive football. In the 39 games under his management, Villareal scored 2.03 goals per game.
Unsurprisingly, the odds of our German bookmakers clearly favor the hosts. If the three points go to the sixth-placed team in the table, the bookmakers promise a payout of 1.4 times the stake.
If, contrary to expectations, the visitors pull off a surprise, the Betano app rewards this with odds of 7.0. If you believe in a draw in this duel, you can look forward to odds of up to 5.25 for a draw.
The multiplier of 2.90 for the double chance X2 also makes it clear that even a point for the winless Amarillos would be a surprise.
Unusually for a game in the Spanish league, bookmakers seem to be relatively certain that more than two goals will be scored on Monday evening. There is no other explanation for the meagre odds of a maximum of 1.50 for this bet.
What is interesting, however, is that the value for the “Both teams to score” option is significantly higher than that of the “Over 2.5 goals” bet, although Villareal have conceded at least one goal in every game to date.
In view of the attractive odds, I consider a combination of the goal bets just mentioned to be extremely promising. If both teams score a goal and more than two goals are scored in total, bookie Bet365 will pay out double the amount if the bet has a positive outcome.
The figures underline the fact that Villareal FC are a force to be reckoned with in LaLiga. The ball has landed in the net an average of four times per game in the home side’s previous matches.
The yellow-and-blues have the fourth-best attacking line in the league, with only two teams conceding more goals than Villareal. Yet they only spent a total of €28 million on two new central defenders in the summer.
Logan Costa was signed from Toulouse for €18 million and started the first four games at the back, while Willy Kambwala arrived from Manchester United but has yet to play a major role.
Thanks to a strong first half of the season, Las Palmas were able to celebrate their relegation in the summer, although it was really close at the end. In the second half of the season, the newcomers dropped off dramatically and scored ten points fewer than in the first half of the season.
This was reason enough for those responsible to react at the coaching position. However, this was rather involuntary, as promoted coach Xavier Garcia Pimienta left Ud for Sevilla.
Since the summer, Luis Miguel Carrion has been at the helm of the Grancanarios and has been tasked with achieving the mission of relegation. But after a poor start, the new coach is already facing the end of his tenure after just a few months
Las Palmas often performed better than the results suggest. For example, they drew 1-1 at home against Real Madrid a month ago and even held the lead for a long time.
In addition, the Yellows only failed to score against Deportivo Alaves. With Moleiro and Ramirez, two players have already scored at least three goals
In terms of individual quality, I think the home side are clearly ahead in this game. But: The team at the bottom of the table has not been without a chance in any of its games so far.
The islanders are anything but harmless going forward, as Real Madrid have already experienced first-hand. However, they lack the necessary structure and stability in defense.
That’s why my prediction is: Both teams and over 2.5 goals!
