NFL 2024/25: Patriots – Texans
Betting providers without tax but also with, unite! Because it’s a matter of working out Patriots Texans odds that do justice to the looming disaster of the home side on Sunday.
In my Patriots Texans betting tip, I am unashamedly of the opinion that the “Pats” will be fighting a losing battle. Once the Texans find their passing game, it should be a quick win.
The New England Patriots have really struggled in recent weeks. After four straight losses, they rank 28th in DVOA and overall grade, according to analytics firm PFF.
Injuries have taken a toll on the team, and the usually reliable defense is far from its usual stability.
Their play is inconsistent in many areas and the switch to a rookie quarterback won’t necessarily improve the situation.
Drake Maye, the newest addition at the quarterback position, will start on Sunday. However, he didn’t really impress in garbage time against the New York Jets in Week 3.
This will be a real stress test for the young quarterback, which he is unlikely to pass. Because the Houston Texans have one of the strongest defenses in the league.
Watch out, dear Maye: With one of the league’s best defensive DVOAs, a fourth-place pass-rush win rate and the fourth-fewest yards allowed per attempt, the Texans defense is anything but easy to handle.
The Texans offense has found its form and will be eager to play against the Patriots. Quarterback C.J. Stroud will try to prove his worth against a defense that may be a bit depleted after being on the field for quite some time in Week 5.
The pressure on the New England Patriots could hardly be greater, as another setback could have serious consequences for the season. The initial euphoria after the opening win over the Bengals? Completely evaporated!
The Patriots desperately need to stabilize their defense if they want to hold their own against a pass-happy team like the Texans.
If New England isn’t able to get its offense going and keep the margin for error low, it could be a very long night for the franchise.
In my Patriots Texans prediction, I am betting on a win for the visitors with “only” a little more than a touchdown difference. But don’t be surprised if it ends up being a few more …
If you also want to bet on the New England Patriots against the Houston Texans, there are some interesting scenarios to consider.
One of them involves the following info: C.J. Stroud has scored more than 24 completions in four of the last five games against AFC opponents.
That suggests that the Texans could be pass-heavy in this matchup. So a good tip would be to bet on one of his favorite passing targets…
Let’s take a closer look at the Texans’ pass receivers. Stefon Diggs, for example, has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances at Gillette Stadium.
That makes him an exciting betting option. A betting recommendation would therefore be Diggs with a touchdown, the odds are 2.54. The Patriots will probably have a hard time getting a grip on him again.
If you also believe in an embarrassment for the Patriots, take a look at the statistics: The Texans have covered the spread in four of their last five games in the month of October.
A recommendation would be to bet on the Texans with HC -5.5, with odds of 1.90. The Patriots are struggling with many problems, and these odds reflect the team’s current difficulties.
Conclusion: In my Texans Patriots prediction, I am betting on the Texans with a handicap of -6.5 and thus a touchdown, including point-after.
The team from Houston is well-rehearsed and can easily roll over the weakening Patriots. New England is struggling with injuries on defense, which means they are missing some of their best players.
The Pats are also used to losing, which should further strain the team’s morale. I expect the Texans to take advantage of this opportunity and pull away with a clear win.
My bet: Victory Texans with HC -6.5
