World Cup qualifier, Wednesday, 16/10/2024 at 02:45 CEST
13 points after nine games? Absolutely unacceptable for a five-time world champion! The Brazilian national team is anything but in top form and must finally convince across the board on Tuesday night.
Good for the Selecao: their opponent has only won one match in the qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. In my Brazil v Peru betting tip, I will therefore tell you why a home win with a maximum of three goals will serve you well here and why you should take advantage of the odds of 1.80 at Oddset.
Brazil? A major football power, five-time world champion, always easily found at the top of the FIFA World Cup qualifiers. Yes… it’s been like that for years, but somehow 2023/24 wants to be an exception so far!
It’s hard to believe that the Brazilians are really lagging behind this time, only fourth after nine match days. The top six teams qualify directly for the tournament, with only a two-point gap to that position!
Yes and no. A laborious 1-0 win over Ecuador. When things went downhill again with a 1-0 loss to Paraguay, Brazil only just managed to avoid the bad mood with a 2-1 win over Chile.
But let’s be honest: four wins, two 1-0s and one 2-1? The Selecao was once known for sweeping their opponents off the pitch in no time at all! In 2024, when they also lost to Uruguay in the Copa America quarterfinals, somehow everything is different.
They bagged the win against Chile in the 89th minute, and only needed one of three shots on target to beat Ecuador 1-0. So what’s wrong with the offense that was once one of the best in the world?
With eleven goals from nine matches, you could try placing an under bet. Bet-at-home is offering odds of 1.55 for under 2.5 goals, so they have caught wind of the offensive difficulties!
With this betting provider, you also have the chance to benefit from the exclusive voucher. Fortunately, Peru is an opponent that Brazil has enjoyed playing against for years – it is not for nothing that they have only conceded two goals in the last five games.
1:0, 2:0, 1:0? The last three results fit perfectly into the current situation. Since the Selecao have already won twice 1-0 in the qualifiers, an outcome bet might be worthwhile.
So I take a quick look back at Bet-at-home, where this result would yield odds of 5.75. Speaking of odds, Brazil is in the lead in any case, with odds of 1.20 to 13.0.
So no chance for Peru? I would put it this way: in the qualifiers, the team has only managed a single win. They have a total of six points, with only Chile having collected one point less.
That one win came in the last match, when Uruguay were surprisingly beaten 1-0. Miguel Araujo scored in the 88th minute, saving his team very late on.
Few goals? That was also the case in the other two matches this year. 0-1 against Ecuador and 1-1 against Colombia, the Peruvians are apparently not responsible for spectacle in 2024.
In all three matches, quite interestingly, it was 0-0 at half-time. At Oddset, this bet has odds of 3.20, so it’s definitely profitable. And also realistic, because Peru has only scored three goals in qualifying.
Any goals scored in the Copa America against Argentina, Canada and Chile? None! At least they’ve only conceded three goals. I have to mention: as bad as the qualification is going, the penultimate team never had to accept more than two goals conceded.
In Brazil, they are slowly but surely getting nervous: the World Cup qualification is far from being wrapped up! They have only just won one game, the offense is disappointing and the mood is extremely tense.
At least they are now playing against Peru, an opponent that the Selecao have been struggling with for years. If it hadn’t been for the narrow first leg, which only just went their way with a 1-0 win. The underdog knows: we’ve only got one win under our belt so far anyway.
Three goals in the entire qualifiers, but always a maximum of two goals conceded? I’ve taken a look at these facts and come up with the following bet for you to consider:
Brazil wins with a maximum of three goals!
