La Liga, Sunday, 20.10.2024 at 16:15
Unbeaten, but still somehow dissatisfied? Atletico Madrid are not quite sure how to assess this start to the season. If they want to compete for the title, they certainly need to do better.
On Sunday, the Colchoneros will face an opponent who loves draws just as much. I’ll give you my prediction straight away: there’s no spectacle in the air! In my Atletico Madrid Leganes betting tip, you’ll find all the facts that prove why an Under 2.5 can be worthwhile here.
After nine matchdays, Atletico Madrid are still without a defeat. Strong! After nine matchdays, Atletico Madrid have the best defense with five goals conceded. Strong! After nine matchdays, Atletico Madrid have already drawn five times. Not strong!
Diego Simeone’s team are definitely not happy with their start to the new season, as they have often lacked penetration and consistency. As a result, it’s not only against the top teams that points are shared.
The team drew 1:1 three times (including against Real Madrid), 0:0 once and 2:2 against Villarreal on the first matchday. This result enjoys a special status, as it was the only one to concede two goals.
The Colchoneros have already scored five times without conceding a goal. I therefore look directly at Happybet and realize: 1.55 will be due if Leganes remain without a goal on Sunday.
Why such a low value? In the middle of my Atletico analysis, I’ll throw in the direct comparison, which is more than clear. There have been twelve encounters and Atletico have conceded just four goals!
Since Leganes returned to La Liga in 2016 (with an interruption from 2020 to 2024), they have played each other eight times. The results: 0:0, 1:0, 1:0, 1:1, 4:0, 0:0, 2:0, 0:0.
No, if you were expecting a spectacle here, you were mostly in the wrong place. No wonder many here have their eyes on a home win to nil. At Oddset, this bet would bring you odds of 1.83.
But now back to the Colchoneros, as they are struggling in attack themselves. In six of their nine games, they have scored a maximum of just one goal, and in four they have scored exactly one goal. I go back to Oddset:
If the Madrilenians score exactly one goal against Leganes, the odds are 3.20. A bet on under 1.5 goals is 2.25, so it’s also well rewarded. In recent years, the team has often been visited by bad luck.
And lo and behold: five of the 13 goals scored this season came in the 90th minute or later! Atletico have already scrambled to one or two points, and their opponents should know that too. And yet, Diego Simeone’s men are clearly seen to be ahead against Leganes
The win odds are only 1.35, while Leganes arrive with odds of around 10.0. The returnees, who have only just been promoted, are just above the line and have just one win to their name.
On the second matchday, they beat Las Palmas 2:1. Immediately important in my eyes: six times it was 0-0 at the break. This was also the case four times for Atletico, so perhaps the odds of 2.75 at Bet365 are worthwhile
If you bet on a draw after 45 minutes, you can also use the Bet365 credits. Three times 1:1 and twice 0:0? Yes, Leganes are keeping Atletico company when it comes to passion for draws!
However, the fact that the last seven games have produced a measly two goals is of course alarming. Incidentally, this team loves draws, especially away from home, and has done so a staggering FOUR times!
Since the scoreboard reads 1:1 three times, I’m taking another look at Bet365. If you risk this result bet here, your courage will be rewarded with a 9.50. Leganes have only conceded two goals twice this season.
This happened against Athletic Bilbao and Betis Sevilla and, interestingly, all four goals were conceded in the second half. Betting idea collectors take note: If the 2nd half is the higher scoring half, Betano will give you a 2.05!
Atletico Madrid and Leganes, that can only result in a draw! Admittedly, many people will think that at first glance. And in fact, even after the second one, I can imagine that this game might not go to a winner at all.
The Colchoneros may be very solid defensively, but there is very little going forward and many goals are scored shortly before the final whistle. They scrambled to a number of results, while Leganes were convincing defensively.
The direct comparison quickly showed how little is on offer in this duel, and mostly from both sides. After all the reasons I have collected, I have decided to place the following over/under bet:
The 2.5 goals will not be scored!
