AC Milan – Como Tip Serie A, Matchday 24 on Wednesday, 18/02/26 at 20:45
Cesc Fabregas was outraged by his compatriot Alvaro Morata, who was sent off with a red card in the recent 2-1 defeat of his FC Como. Did the coach know how much he would miss the striker on Wednesday in the fashion metropolis?
Certainly one more reason why I trust my AC Milan Como tip almost blindly. I will bet on DC 1X & Under 3.5 goals at odds around 1.85, because I expect a particularly defensive performance from the guests now!
Fabregas has learned after the miserable performance against AC in January anyway that he cannot get involved in an open exchange of blows. With the cup semi-final in mind, I can’t imagine that he would want to play bravely for victory at the San Siro!
AC Milan vs Como AI Predictions:
Our AC Milan Como AI prediction has an interesting betting suggestion in store, which I’m not exactly thrilled with, but it’s well worth considering because of the hedging that accompanies any draw-no-bet bet!
What is meant is DnB: AC Milan to waving odds around 1.62 at Betano, should the Milanese actually have the upper hand. In the event of a point split, on the other hand, you simply get the stake back!
The first scenario is definitely possible, by the way, as Milan have all the key players together except for the suspended Adrien Rabiot and are more dependent on the three points than Como.
The “Rossoneri” have no other commitments in the rest of the programme apart from Serie A and know that anything other than a home win would bring the hated city rivals closer to the Scudetto.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory AC Milan |
Draw |
Victory Como |
| 42.1% |
27.9% |
30% |
Half-time/full-time score X/2 at odds around 5.60 as well as the third recommendation in total, which our data model recommends to me in the form of a 0:0 half-time bet at about 2.87, are much more popular with me!
Because I, too, expect a provisional clean sheet before the Rossoneri reach for the crowbar and take increasingly greater risks towards the end in order to score the winning goal after all!
This is also in line with their usual modus operandi: AC Milan have scored 11 of their last 15 goals after the break – and something interesting at that! Como again scored 12 of their 17 Serie A away goals after the break!
This also makes it statistically plausible that the match does not pick up significant momentum until the second half!
What you need to know about AC Milan vs. Como betting
- AC Milan are acting patiently – eleven of the last 15 goals have been scored in the second half, which underlines the tactical discipline under coach Massimiliano Allegri.
- Milan’s defence is wide awake from the start and has only conceded two goals before the break in the last nine Serie A games.
- Como’s away minimalism: When Cesc Fabregas’ side play away from home, goals are rarely scored by either side – this has only been the case in one of the last eight away games in the league.
- Dangerous final phase: Como also turn up the heat late away from home; 12 of their 17 away goals this season were scored by the “Lariani” only after the change of ends.
