Serie A, Sunday, 05.05.2024
There are Serie A games on this 35th matchday where there is not much at stake for both clubs! This fixture is no different, so we don’t need to kid ourselves.
Nevertheless, this aspect in particular could help my AC Milan Genoa betting tip to succeed. Because the “Rossoneri” just seem to want to end the 2023/24 season and could therefore only approach the task set for them half-heartedly next Sunday …
It’s no longer a secret behind closed doors: Stefano Pioli will be sacked at the end of the season and the search for his successor is in full swing behind the scenes.
Nothing has been decided yet, but the rumor mill is churning! Although it is well known that the dead live longer and Pioli has successfully stayed in the saddle despite all the prophecies of doom, it seems that his luck has finally run out this time …
Even finishing runners-up is not enough to appease the Rossoneri’s demanding board.
And who could seriously blame the AC presidency given the impressive transfer sums that were made available in the summer of 2023?
Even the outcome of the match against Genoa will probably not be able to change this decision
Milan’s defenders Theo Hernandez and Davie Calabria, who were suspended against Juventus the previous week, will return on Sunday, which should certainly stabilize the red and black defensive unit.
However, Yunus Musah is suspended against Genoa this time, while it doesn’t look like Simon Kjaer will be able to make up for his training deficit in time for the home game against the Ligurians.
This only reinforces my doubts that the Rossoneri will produce a brilliant photo finish. Not least because the last few weeks have not gone according to plan!
Watch out: Milan are now without a win in five competitive matches (2 draws, 3 defeats). Under Stefano Pioli, the club from the fashion metropolis has only waited longer for a win once before – in February 2023, when it was seven games
The bottom line is that this is the perfect breeding ground for a bet on one or three points for the visitors from Genoa, who are very difficult to play against.
The AC win odds of 1.45 on average are certainly not worth the paper they are printed on.
However, the odds of 4.50 and 6.40, which are currently being traded on the markets for a points split and a three-pointer for the “Rossoblu”, are!
You’re spoiled for choice here! But no matter which of the two offers you choose: You’ll get good “value” for your stake.
Last week, Genoa made a clear statement that they want nothing to do with the relegation battle next year either with a clear 3:0 win against Cagliari.
And don’t forget that Atalanta are the only club to have inflicted a defeat on Genoa by more than one goal since August 2023.
Accordingly, the bet according to the pattern “Bet 2 wins with HC +2”, which you can currently take advantage of in the Oddset offer at odds of around 1.62, enjoys first-class statistical chances of success
Furthermore, a non-victory for Milan in the direct duel is long overdue! Again, I’m basing this on the available data.
Milan have won their last four Serie A games against the Grifoni, most recently in the first half of the season with a narrow 1-0 win away to Liguria.
Interestingly, however, the last time they managed more consecutive first league victories over FC Genoa was way back in the 1960s – and that despite their longstanding membership of the country’s top flight!
As already mentioned: Sunmaker offers you up to four promising betting scenarios, depending on your individual risk appetite.
The more daring variants provide for a draw or away win bet, which has already been dealt with and which, although each concluded individually, is associated with an increased risk, will also lead to a decent payout if you are successful.
The offers from sports betting providers that interest me more, on the other hand, are those where the risk of loss remains manageable.
Double Chance X2 at odds of around 2.75 is the best option in this case.
The bet that was also thrown into the room earlier along the lines of Tip 2 wins with HC +2 has the highest probability of success, but in my opinion you would be too cautious here and lose a great odds opportunity
Conclusion: The possibility of a surprise is greater in this match than in many other games on matchday 33.
Milan are just trying to get the season over with somehow, forgetting that a team like Genoa can be extremely unruly.
The “Grifoni” have already stopped Inter, Juventus, Bologna and Napoli from winning both of their matches against them this season.
According to my AC Milan Genoa betting tip, they should now be able to prevent AC from doing the same!
My tip: Double chance X2
