Coppa Italia semi-final, first leg on Wednesday, 02.04.2025 at 21:00
Do you know what’s so crazy about this encounter? No matter how bad the season may be for the “Rossoneri”, they have not lost any of the three direct duels against their city rivals.
This aspect in particular will be a thorn in the side of Inter. And in the Coppa Italia semi-finals, the time has come to win the first Derby della Madonnina in 2024/25.
Meanwhile, for my AC Milan Inter Milan tip, I am looking for a verified betting provider with PayPal to put my guesses about this game to the test.
The mere fact that Inter have not been victorious against their city rivals so often this season will particularly motivate Simone Inzaghi’s team.
According to my AC Milan Inter Milan betting tip, the moment has finally come for the Giuseppe Meazza to see Inter triumph again.
With the Champions League quarter-finals about to begin, the fans would surely welcome it if their team could set the course for the “treble”.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The AC Milan vs. Inter Milan odds for this match are almost always balanced on the Bet365 app, with only a slight tilt in either direction.
You can count on AC Milan odds of around 3.40, while Internazionale are slightly favored with an average of 2.10 for a win in the Derby della Madonnina.
Analysis: AC Milan vs. Inter Milan
Do you want to know why Inter is most likely to win the league and Milan might not even qualify for a European spot? Just look at the form curves!
AC has only won two of its last seven competitive games, beating only mediocre teams in the process.
The narrow 3-2 and 2-1 victories over Lecce and Como respectively deserve little praise.
The fact is that new coach Conceição has as little to offer this team as his Portuguese compatriot Fonseca. Personally, I am already expecting a completely new face on the “Rossoneri” coaching bench next season.
Internazionale, on the other hand, are riding on a wave of success. A good horse only jumps as high as it has to.
And indeed, they have now gone eight consecutive competitive games without defeat, in which they have only scored more than two goals on one occasion (7 wins, 1 draw).
Even at the weekend against Udinese, it ended up being 2-1 again. The “Nerazzurri” usually only do what is absolutely necessary, but it seems to always be enough!
Odds Analysis
“Both score” at about 1.60 is probably one of the best AC Milan Inter Milan tips you can take at the end of the day.
This condition has been met in each of the last five Milan derbies and with only one exception, at least one more goal has been scored.
“Both meetings & over 2.5 goals” at around 1.96 is therefore also an excellent option for the more risk-taking sports betting fans among you.
It’s just a detail, but…
Being the home team in this game makes little difference, don’t you think?
Statistically speaking, however, no, because as the nominal home team, Milan has almost always failed when playing against their city rivals in recent years.
Be aware: of the last 13 duels against Inter Milan in this constellation, AC could only win one.
Will the game end 2-1 to Inter?
A moment ago, I recommended “Both score & over 2.5 goals” to you – and in fact, I could very well imagine a 2-1 win for Inter next Wednesday.
Did you know that 6 of AC Milan’s last 7 Serie A games ended with a 2-1 win for or against them?
It’s just a statistical trick, but a nice one!
By the way: To get the most out of your AC Milan Inter Milan tip, I recommend a nice odds boost.
Shortly before important matches such as the Coppa Italia semi-final, bookmakers often offer daily updated odds with increased odds for selected scenarios.
My Milan Inter Tip:
You have to be careful with this game, because in the previous three derbies this season, most people bet on an Inter victory. But Milan has consistently defied both them and the bookmakers time and again.
However, the form curves are currently diverging more than ever before in this season, which is why I actually expect a victory for Internazionale this time.
There is simply too much at stake for that to happen, and Inter play much better football than their city rivals…
My tip: Inter Milan win against Milan
