Europa League, League phase, Thursday, 09/26/2024 at 9:00 p.m.
Clear the stage for the revamped Europa League! The new format will also be used here from now on, so the participants know that from game one, it’s all about getting three points.
This also applies to a Turkish representative who would not have qualified for Europe via the league. In my Ajax Amsterdam Besiktas betting tip, I’ll tell you why I’m not betting on an away win and believe that the 1.5 goals will be cracked!
Admittedly, it was a season that didn’t really deserve to make it into the international business. Besiktas played a very weak round, but somehow managed to grab the trophy.
This meant that they automatically qualified for the playoffs, where the black Eagles had to defend themselves against FC Lugano. 3:3 and 5:1? No, there was really plenty on offer in both of these games!
Neutral football lovers would not mind if there were as many goals against Ajax Amsterdam. The team has made a successful start to the Süper Lig, which cannot be taken for granted.
Four wins, three of them by two goals, and a draw against Trabzonspor is not bad at all. But teams like Eyüpspor, Samsunspor or Sivasspor are probably not on a par with Ajax.
Speaking of Eyüpspor, the Eagles only just managed to scrape a win against the promoted team a few days ago, and only because Ciro Immobile scored from the spot. The new signing has been the star so far, stepping in when things aren’t going well.
He has scored eight times in eight competitive games, and of course the former Roma player also knows his way around Europe. It’s no wonder that the bookmakers have him particularly in their sights when it comes to the trip to Amsterdam.
In the Betano app, another Immobile goal is priced at 3.00, which no other professional from the visitors can match. However, Besiktas does not have the best experiences with Ajax Amsterdam; the last time the two clubs met was in 2021.
In the group stage of the Champions League, the two clubs would now like to be active, the Dutch won once 2-1 and the other time 2-0. We can safely ignore the duels in 1993 and 1966, but the fact that all the matches really went to Ajax remains.
Bottom line, it could well be that this also leads to the fact that the Dutch are seen as the clear favorite for Thursday. The odds reach an average of 1.90 to 4.00, so the advantage lies clearly with the hosts.
Ajax Amsterdam fans have had to get used to the fact that their national dominance is a thing of the past for the time being, with PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord Rotterdam in particular pulling ahead.
Even in the young season, things are not going particularly well in the Eredivisie. Both home games were won without conceding a goal, but away from home, Breda lost 2-1 and only managed a 1-1 draw against Go Ahead Eagles.
It should therefore be an advantage that the Europa League starts in their own stadium. Since the past season was not particularly successful, the qualification already started in the second round.
Vojvodina were beaten 1-0 and 3-1, but Panathinaikos Athens almost became a stumbling block. After a 1-0 win in the first leg, they lost 1-0 at home late on, meaning the penalty shootout had to decide the tie.
It did, but it felt like hours! Ajax won 13-12, it couldn’t have been more dramatic. Reason enough to play more confidently against Jagiellonia and win 4:1 and 3:0.
When the league and Europa League were combined, four out of five home games were won by a clean sheet. If you manage to do the same against Besiktas, you will find odds of 3.45 at Merkur Bets, which you can top with the sports betting bonus.
Can Besiktas be a danger to Ajax Amsterdam on Thursday? The Black Eagles are playing a strong round, have Ciro Immobile in their ranks and have not yet lost in 2024/25, regardless of the competition.
But Ajax is of course a tough hurdle, the Dutch are especially strong in their own stadium. In this respect, I would tend not to favor an away win.
But since Amsterdam is not exactly bursting with self-confidence either, I go with the “double chance 1X”. And since the guests have a Ciro Immobile in top form, I predict in the total:
Ajax scores over 1.5 goals!