La Liga, Matchday 34 on Saturday, 03.05.2025 at 14:00
At this late stage of the season, I’m just as interested in games like this as I am in great offers – such as the VBET promo code.
The reason for an Alaves Atletico Madrid tip? Here, a club fighting to stay in the league faces an opponent that is stuck in the overall standings and is secretly already planning for the Club World Cup …
Some things that are extremely relevant to the world of soccer are happening in the Spanish capital right now. For example, Carlo Ancelotti is set to leave the “Royals” soon to lead Brazil to the 2026 World Cup title starting in June.
And their city rivals? They could soon take their foot off the gas and take a much more relaxed approach to the final La Liga matchday. Especially since Atlético will soon be heading to the US for the Club World Cup.
In any case, the table clearly shows that the “Rojiblancos” are stuck in the Champions League zone and can’t really leave it, no matter how badly they perform until the 38th matchday.
This observation alone prompted me to place my Alaves Atletico Madrid bet with a verified betting provider that accepts PayPal.
Because at home and with Las Palmas hot on their heels, Alaves could slip back into the relegation zone if they lose to Atletico – and that must be avoided at all costs!
Especially since Deportivo are going into the game with a lot of confidence. Last week, they celebrated a sensational 1-0 win over Real Sociedad, which catapulted the team straight into the last non-relegation spot.
It would not be unreasonable to expect Alaves to win at home! After all, the bookmakers are treating the relegation candidates as underdogs in their Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid odds, but not as complete outsiders!
The Alaves odds of 3.80 indicate that Deportivo could well celebrate a back-to-back home win under these very special circumstances.
Especially since I firmly believe that Diego Simeone will rest some of his key players or bring them on later in the game with the Club World Cup approaching.
Furthermore, Alaves has already won its last two La Liga home games against the Rojiblancos, most recently in April 2024.
The first leg of the current season ended in a narrow 2-1 win for Atletico, but in my opinion, this also signals that a very close game is to be expected.
Home win or draw? Personally, I’m going for the safer option with “Double Chance 1X” at odds of around 1.75.
Furthermore, don’t forget that Deportivo are strong at home, even if this is not necessarily reflected in the number of points they have picked up at home.
Alaves have won only two home games since October 2024, but have also suffered only one defeat by more than one goal during this period, a 0-2 loss to Rayo Vallecano on matchday 29.
It’s just a shame that the odds for “Alaves to win with HC +2” aren’t particularly high. With an average of 1.22, the bookmakers are confident that the home side’s “relegation bonus” will come into full effect on Saturday.
What also appeals to me is a bet currently available on the Betano app that you won’t find everywhere.
I’m talking about “Half-time or final result: Draw” at odds of around 1.60.
I can well imagine that at least one of the two halves will end in a tired 0-0 draw. Which one exactly? Probably the first!
Diego Simeone, meanwhile, is incredibly lucky not to be missing a single key player.
His team’s 3-0 win over Rayo Vallecano on the last matchday was impressive, but even in that game it was clear that the Argentine was taking it easy in terms of personnel.
Despite their clear superiority, Griezmann and Koke came off the bench. I expect him to rotate his starting line-up even more heavily against Alaves on Saturday.
Incidentally, fans of the Rojiblancos should not be too optimistic about Saturday, as their team has won only one of its last six away games (2 draws, 3 defeats).
Conclusion: The home win odds could have been a little higher, which would have made me happy as an experienced betting pro!
In any case, I firmly believe that Deportivo can be successful at home again in this late stage of the season, as they were against Real Sociedad a week ago.
There is nothing left to play for Simeone’s team. At the very least, the Rojiblancos should focus on avoiding any unnecessary injuries ahead of the upcoming Club World Cup…
My Alaves Atletico Madrid prediction: Double chance 1X.
