Alaves – Real Madrid Tip LaLiga, Matchday 16 on Sunday, 14.12.2025 at 21:00 CET
Of course, a current Alaves Real Madrid tip cannot do without a reference to the current crisis at the Whites. Coach Xabi Alonso is under criticism, but in my LaLiga prediction I assume an away win for Madrid, but not without conceding a goal.
My bet for this duel on Sunday, which in my opinion will be more exciting than the bookmakers with a German license expect, is: Win Real and both teams score. Oddset gives me odds of 3.20 for this.
In view of the Alaves Real Madrid betting odds, which more than quintuple a success of the home team, my betting tip is of course rather risky.
I don’t expect a home win, but a goal will be possible for coach Eduardo Coudet’s troops, because Alaves was even able to score in Barcelona.
However, neither the Basques’ goal threat nor the discussions about Real coach Alonso change the Whites’ position as favourites. Even a draw has betting odds of around 4.00, a victory for Los Blancos reaches a widespread 1.60.
Alaves vs Real Madrid AI Predictions:
I also interviewed various AI models. Gemini, ChatGPT and Co. spit out some particularly interesting betting tips, one or the other of which I also have on my list.
On the one hand, there is the bet on “Both teams to score”. Of course, I’ll go along with that, as the BTS is part of my betting recommendation anyway. However, the odds of 1.73 alone also bring value.
At home, Alaves is always good for a goal, Real’s defense is vulnerable due to injury-related absences and suspensions, which is also underlined by 15 goals conceded in 16 games. Interesting: Alaves has also conceded 15 goals.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory of Alaves |
Draw |
Victory Real Madrid |
| 14.2% |
23.7% |
62.1% |
A bet with a little more risk is the Alaves Real Madrid bet on a point for the hosts. The Double Chance 1X provides odds of about 2.10, but in my opinion it represents too big a risk. Because Real is the big favorite despite all the problems.
Interestingly, the AI comes to the same conclusion as me: I assume that Alaves will be an unpleasant opponent, especially at the Estadio Mendizorrotza. This is also shown by the recent home win over Real Sociedad
However, the Whites are a completely different calibre anyway and also the best away team in the league. That’s why I’m taking a risk – well calculated from my point of view – and betting on an away win for Real Madrid, but with at least one goal conceded.
What you need to know about Alaves vs. Real Madrid betting
- Alaves has lost three of his last four LaLiga games (1 win).
- Real Madrid have won just one of their last five league games (L1 D3).
- In the form table of the last five games, Alaves and Real Madrid are level on points (six points each from the last five games).
- Real are the best away team in the league, winning five and drawing three (losing 1).
- Alaves have suffered just two defeats in eight home games (against Celta Vigo and Sevilla), but have won against Espanyol and picked up a point against Atletico Madrid.
- Deportivo Alaves have lost all of their last seven meetings with Real, the last home win coming just over seven years ago (five home defeats in a row since then).
