Ligue 1, Sunday, 09/02/2025 at 8:45 p.m.
I have good news and bad news for you! The good news first: I have a 100 percent success rate with my Ligue 1 tips for the betting friends this season. The bad news: I’ve only written one tip before.
And that was for last week’s Marseille match against Lyon, where I expected a goal from both teams, but in the end the southerners won 3-2.
In my Angers Marseille betting tip, I’m going for an over-goal bet for Marseille at Winamax and picking the line over 1.5!
Marseille has managed to create even more breathing space between itself and the various pursuers in the battle for the Champions League places. The direct win against Lyon was important and local rivals Nice also dropped points.
This means that the 1993 Champions League winners have a good chance of qualifying for the Champions League. However, there are still 14 match days to go. One advantage is that there is no European competition this season.
In fact, Marseille are not even competing in the Conference League this season, so they can fully devote themselves to the task of putting pressure on PSG and securing a place in the top international competition for the upcoming season.
Marseille have won three of their last five league games. Nevertheless, the victory against Lyon was important to avoid slipping into a crisis.
The team was knocked out of the cup by Lille on penalties, then lost 2-0 to Nice and only picked up one point against Strasbourg.
However, you can take a look at the new customer bonus from Winamax. Click on the graphic, register and collect up to €100 in free bets.
But the turnaround could be initiated, mainly thanks to a strong performance in offense. I am now relying on this with my tip “Over 1.5 Marseille goals” in the second leg against Angers.
At Winamax, a French betting provider with a German license, a 1.64 is waiting for the away win. In my opinion, this is still an absolute top quote, and the community also sees it that way. 96 percent have opted for this bet in the 1X2 market, three percent have gone for the draw.
What’s more, the Marseille bet is generally the most popular of all the odds offered. The “double chance X2”, Mason Greenwood as scorer and “over 1.5 goals in the match” are also in demand.
Angers was relegated but has since returned to the French top flight, and the mission is to avoid relegation! Currently, things are looking good: 23 points after 20 match days and a cushion of five points to the relegation place.
Comfortable is different, but the situation could be worse for a newcomer with a low squad value of just 36 million euros, clearly the lowest in the entire Ligue 1.
While Marseille have already been knocked out of the cup and are not represented internationally, Angers have an English week, and a 3-1 win over Strasbourg saw them qualify for the quarter-finals for the first time since 2021.
A victory that has definitely given them confidence and confirmed the strong year Angers has had so far. It started with wins against Brest, Montpellier and Auxerre in 2025. It was only a 1-0 defeat to Lens and a 1-1 draw against Le Havre that dampened the mood somewhat.
The sports club has scored in seven of its last eight games. Therefore, I’m not keen on adding the away win to the over 1.5 Marseille goals for better odds. Even if the favorites’ legs are fresher without a game on Wednesday.
In terms of shots on goal, Marseille has taken almost twice as many as Angers in the season. Unsurprisingly, the promoted team also performs less well defensively, having had 106 shots on goal, the third-highest number.
Marseille is in the middle of the pack in this category, but according to expected goals, the difference is only marginal.
At Oddset, I spotted two odds boosts for the game. First of all, you can look forward to an improved odds boost in the “Marseille to win & both teams to score” market, and in addition, the odds that Mason Greenwood will score the first goal of the game have been pushed up by 0.50 to 5.50!
The Englishman is scoring reliably and is Marseille’s top scorer with 13 goals. He was unsuccessful in the first leg, when Marseille only managed a 1-1 draw in an even game.
Conclusion: Angers have the cup game in their legs and the clearly weaker squad than Marseille, and are also allowing numerous chances. A 2-2 or 3-2 away win would not surprise me, like the betting providers, who consider Marseille to be the favorites, but not by much.
But instead of the away win, which is very popular with you guys out there, I’d rather go for the odds that Marseille will score at least two goals.
The odds are a bit better anyway, and Marseille have yet to win a game 1-0 this season.
My Angers Marseille tip: Over 1.5 Marseille goals.
