Premier League Matchday 30, Tuesday, 01.04.2025 at 20:45
The only thing left to do is to secure second place! FC Arsenal are struggling from match to match in the final phase of the season and the injured players are sorely missed. Accordingly, it is not a matter of course that the Gunners will go for a home win on Tuesday.
Admittedly, the home side are the favorites in my Arsenal Fulham betting tip. After all, the visitors are coming straight after a heavy cup defeat, while the Londoners have recently been allowed to rest a little. But: The premier class will soon be calling, so they can’t afford any more weak phases.
I’ve opted for a rather cautious bet and put the “double chance 1X” on a maximum of three goals. Home games against Fulham can’t really be lost, but at the same time Arsenal are winless in three straight matches.
The visitors still have important games ahead of them in the coming weeks, as they have a realistic chance of reaching the Champions League due to their inconsistent competition – they have to keep up with Arsenal.
In any case, I’ll try to convince you of my prediction as best I can in my current analysis. The best defense in the league will definitely make every effort to be just that after this round.
The betting operators’ forecast?
Arsenal is the second-best home team in the Premier League behind Liverpool. Accordingly, it’s no wonder that our PayPal bookmakers have the favorites on offer, with the odds for a win averaging 1.45.
The visitors, on the other hand, travel straight from a 3-0 FA Cup defeat to Crystal Palace, which was no self-promotion. In this respect, they can’t complain about being given odds of 7.75 for Tuesday.
Arsenal would certainly not be satisfied with a draw, but in the first half of the season, this duel fittingly resulted in a 1-1 draw. Should there actually be the third draw in the last four games between the two teams, the bookies acknowledge this with odds of 4.25.
Analysis: Arsenal vs Fulham
Only second again? Fine, then the title will wait another year! With a twelve-point deficit, nobody at Arsenal FC is thinking about the championship anymore.
Instead, the aim now is to secure second place. The Londoners currently have a four-point lead over Nottingham, so the game is far from over. The last few weeks have left their mark
In January, Gabriel Jesus suffered a cruciate ligament rupture, Bukayo Saka was injured before that and, to make matters worse, Kai Havertz was injured shortly afterwards. There is always good news for Saka, a comeback is in sight.
After three games without a win (0:1 against West Ham, 0:0 against Nottingham and 1:1 against Manchester United), they at least won again against Chelsea, a slim 1:0 in the derby.
Odds Analysis
I expect a relatively close duel, but I would still see the advantage on the side of FC Arsenal. I therefore think the win bet is realistic. At the same time, you can increase the risk and say in the Bet365 app: Home win by exactly one goal.
The many injuries, especially in the offense, are a big problem for Arsenal. As Fulham aren’t exactly boasting with goals either, I don’t believe in a spectacle and put the bet “Under 2.5 goals” on the table.
In terms of a result bet, I would go for 1:0. That also suits the Londoners’ defense, which is the best in the competition at home. The odds for this tip climb to 6.00.
Arsenal vs. Fulham: Will Arsenal pull themselves out of the crisis?
With two goals from the last four matches, nobody is satisfied, of course. The home statistics are good despite the defeat to West Ham, with only Liverpool picking up more points at home.
It is also worth mentioning that Arsenal have the best defense in the league with 24 goals conceded. At the Emirates Stadium, they conceded just three times before the break, but eight times afterwards.
The Londoners have not managed to win two home games in a row since late December/early January. It is also clear that the last time they conceded two goals was in November.
Fulham are somehow one of the Gunners’ favorite opponents, but somehow not anymore. Arsenal have been waiting for a win for three games now, which has not happened since 2011/12.
At the same time, we can also say that losing a home game against Fulham has never really happened before. In the last 15 years, there have only been four clean sheets against Fulham, which could also be interesting for you:
Fulham can be trusted to do anything
The classic “both teams score”, which has odds of 2.25 at Betano! As you might have guessed, the visitors’ goal in particular is not really predicted. If you want to place exactly this bet, you end up with odds of 2.00.
While Arsenal FC had no game last weekend, Fulham FC had to play in the FA Cup – and would probably have preferred to have been eliminated earlier.
They lost 3-0 at home to Crystal Palace. Over 70 percent of possession yielded nothing, with the opponents making the pinpricks. Anyone who follows the Cottagers in the Premier League knows that a wild back-and-forth is quite normal.
What I find very interesting is that the team scored exactly two goals 14 times. That’s why I take a quick look at Interwetten, where you can easily bet that Fulham will score exactly twice again on Tuesday.
Odds of 7.50 are due – of course, after all, Fulham are not even really expected to score a goal. Why this bet is so exciting: Because it would have been correct in nine of the last twelve rounds.
I also have to mention: Fulham have won three of their past four away games. Since the beginning of October, when they lost 3-2 at Man City, they have only lost twice away from home.
0-1 at Man United, 3-2 against the Sky Blues, 3-2 against West Ham and 2-1 against Brighton? All four away defeats were extremely close and unfortunate. The most recent defeat was particularly bitter, as they conceded in the eighth minute of injury time.
My Arsenal – Fulham tip:
How will Arsenal FC deal with the fact that Nottingham are getting dangerously close? The Gunners have their second place all but secure, the home games must now sit. It’s a good thing that they’ve never lost at home to Fulham anyway.
The visitors are not really convincing at the moment, having crashed out of the FA Cup against Crystal Palace. That’s why the “double chance 1X” has already been decided for me.
The Londoners aren’t doing much offensively at the moment. Fulham are on the road with acceptable values, but the home side have the best defense in the league. That’s why I’ve decided on the following betting tip:
Arsenal to score under 3.5 goals
