Champions League, Quarter-Final, First Leg, Tuesday, 08.04.2025 at 21:00
Arsenal vs Real Madrid, that should be a very interesting Champions League quarter-final. Incidentally, we also had the same pairing in the last eight for the women. The Gunners managed to qualify for the semi-finals.
In the men’s competition, however, the record winners are ahead in the “Who will advance?” market. I’m going with that, but not with the greatest conviction.
In my arsenal, I’m taking the Real Madrid tip for the first leg, and I expect the goal for the guests not to remain at a meagre 0-1. So I’m adding the “Over 1.5 goals” with the Bet365 bet configurator.
1.50 is the odds that Real Madrid will reach the semi-finals. Arsenal has 2.37 in the Bet365 app. I agree with this classification, but I don’t see much value in the title defender’s odds.
Incidentally, an attractive bonus is waiting at Bet365, the official Champions League partner, with the code: “VIPANGEBOT”.
I was not really convinced by what was on offer after the international break. A narrow 3-2 win at home against Leganes, a 4-4 draw against Real Sociedad, which was just enough to reach the Copa del Rey final, and now a 2-1 defeat against Valencia in the dress rehearsal before the Champions League match.
Analysis: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid
Where I am still most certain is that we will see a close game. Either a draw or a win with a maximum of one goal difference. That’s why I’m betting on a split bet today, Tuesday.
Grab the highest odds for a draw from our odds tower (below) and the Oddset odds of 2.20 that the match will be decided by exactly one goal.
If you set the stakes accordingly, you can expect a profit of 1.30 times for each outcome. If you add a suitable quote for Bayern against Inter, you have a nice combination ticket for the quarter-final evening.
Incidentally, the last nine matches of the Royal ones ended with a maximum of one goal difference, and for Arsenal, seven of the last eight matches were so close. Statistically, there is a lot to be said for this split bet.
Ratings analysis
Speaking of events that have occurred often, it is important to I, of course, rely on the mega offensive duo Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Jr. shrink. In a double pack on the pitch, the superstars have a fabulous Hit.
There haven’t been many games this season in which there hasn’t been a goal from one of the strikers if they were allowed to play together from the start. So they only remained really pale in the Champions League in the games against Atletico. Among other things, the Brazilian missed a penalty.
Overall, however, the yield is fabulous and against Manchester City and in of the league phase before, they did magic.
In any case, I can’t afford the whopping 2.05 odds for the Double Chance Goalscorer Bet from Winamax. If one of the both, the bet is won. From six different 95 percent of users have opted for this quota. decided. Together, the dynamic duo has 14 CL goals.
Arsenal undefeated since February
Mbappe and Vinicius are likely to form a double lead again – and how does Arsenal solve it? With Havertz and Jesus, two important names are missing in the center. Raheem Sterling is also missing from the offense. They haven’t shown much goal threat on the island recently.
In the last four matches, they have only managed five goals. It sounds better that Arsenal have scored throughout the whole of March and have not lost a game since mid-February. The 0-1 defeat to West Ham in the Premier League was their last defeat.
Arsenal with center back bottleneck
The Gunners’ defensive numbers are particularly impressive. In their last 14 appearances, they have only conceded more than one goal in two games. And the meaningless 2-2 draw against PSV after their 7-1 win in the last 16 first leg is already one of them.
Only Newcastle have managed to score a second goal against Mikel Arteta’s team since the beginning of January. But as good as the statistics are, a Champions League quarter-final against Real Madrid is a completely different matter.
I expect the guests to have some good chances, but they shouldn’t have an easy time of it against Saliba and Co. for long spells. However, Arteta has to make concessions in defense due to Gabriel’s injury. With Riccardo Calafiori, another central defender is missing.
A complicated situation for the hosts, who I don’t trust to keep a clean sheet against Real tonight in an unfamiliar back line. And the reason I added “Over 1.5 goals” to my final selection is because Real have been anything but stable lately.
In addition to the already injured Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy and Daniel Carvajal, Aurelien Tchouameni is also missing the first leg through a yellow suspension.
Somewhat surprising to me: Arsenal and Real have only played each other in two competitive games, and we saw those as part of the Champions League round of 16 in 2005/2006.
Only one goal was scored in total, by a certain Thierry Henry. Ronaldo (R9), David Beckham, Zinedine Zidane, Cesc Fabregas, Ikar Casillas were also on the pitch, what great names!
Arsenal later reached the final for the only time so far, losing to arch-rivals Real Madrid, FC Barcelona.
My Arsenal Real Madrid Tip:
Back to the present with a view to the near future! In my Arsenal Real Madrid prediction, I primarily expect a close fight.
Due to the compromise in the center of the defense, it should be difficult for the Gunners to stop Mbappe and Vinicius Jr., who already caused a stir in the playoffs on English soil!
I expect the guests to score. In 25 competitive games in 2025, the Blancos have only failed to score twice. The hosts, who are facing a Real side that has recently struggled with stability and has not won in eight matches, are primarily looking to take the lead!
In addition to my final selection, both teams to score is a great alternative. However, I am hedging my bets on a few more results as follows.
Real score & Over 1.5 goals!
