Aston Villa – Bologna Tip Europa League, Matchday 1 on Thursday, 09/25/25 at 9:00 p.m.
A successful Aston Villa Bologna tip? I gave you one almost exactly a year ago, when both teams faced each other in the Champions League group stage.
What is different in the 2025/26 season compared to the Villans’ 2-0 win back then is the former winner’s miserable start to the season. Sure, the Premier League is the toughest league in the world, but still waiting for their first win after five match days is still pretty bitter.
Garnished with the Interwetten bonus, I still dare to place a few home-friendly bets in view of the favorable situation on the betting markets. Because Bologna is certainly not a superior team visiting Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs. Bologna AI predictions:
Aston Villa to win with HC -1 is a computer-generated suggestion that appeals to me – and not just because this type of bet would have been successful in the last matchup about a year ago.
After all, the odds of 3.30 are attractive, and I would not be surprised if English soccer once again proves too fast for Bologna.
The Rossoblu have not won any of their last five European Cup games against Premier League teams (1 draw, 4 losses).
Predicted chance of winning:
| Aston Villa win |
Draw |
Bologna win |
| 51.4% |
26.4% |
22.1% |
Most goals in the second half at odds of around 1.90 also have a positive expected value.
On the one hand, because last year both goals were scored after the break. On the other hand, because in Bologna’s last five away games, the action has always been more intense after the break than before.
Aston Villa over 1.5 goals at around 1.94 on the handy Bwin app also appeals to me.
Yes, the Villans are currently struggling to convert their chances, but perhaps they will flourish internationally, as they did last year.
After all, they scored the most goals in a single European Cup season (23) in 2024/25.
What you need to consider when betting on Aston Villa vs. Bologna
- Neither team has scored in any of Villa’s last four home games.
- Villa remained unbeaten in all six of their European home games last season (5W, 1D), keeping four clean sheets in the process.
- All four of Bologna’s games this season were 0-0 at halftime.
- Bologna coach Italiano has lost all three of his games against English opponents.
