Aston Villa – Everton Tip Premier League, Matchday 22 on Sunday, 18.01.2026 at 17:30 CET
On Sunday (17:30 CEST), a particularly traditional duel will take place at Villa Park. The Villans welcome the Toffees and will be able to continue their run of success according to my Aston Villa Everton tip.
For my Premier League prediction, I decided to win Villa with Asian Handicap -0.5, -1.0 and get odds of just 1.80 for this bet from our test winner Bet365.
The key reason for this bet is the incredible home strength of the Villans, who have won their last eleven home games across all competitions.
Aston Villa vs Everton AI Predictions:
I’ve taken a look at the numbers of our AI analysis tool to give you a data-based assessment. The AI forecast sees the hosts as having a clear advantage with a probability of winning of 53.1 percent. A draw is 23.9 percent.
The most likely outcome according to our AI is a narrow home win. The system calculates 1.55 goals for Aston Villa and only 0.97 for Everton. But these numbers in turn perfectly support my main tip on the Asian Handicap Line of -0.5, -1.0.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Aston Villa |
Draw |
Win Everton |
| 53.1% |
23.9% |
23% |
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 2.5 with odds of 1.865, while our prediction model sees the total value of 2.53 just above that.
This reflects the discrepancy between Villa’s high-scoring home games (an average of 2.6 goals per game) and Everton’s defensive strength on the road, as the Toffees have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five away games.
Also, but not only, the betting providers with PayPal see it similarly and make the host the clear favorite. The Aston Villa – Everton betting odds on offer indicate a probability of victory of over 60 percent for coach Unai Emery’s team.
What you need to know about Aston Villa – Everton betting
- Aston Villa have lost only one of their last 15 competitive games and score an average of one goal more per game than their opponents.
- Everton has the fifth-best defence in the league with only 1.19 goals conceded per game, but at the same time allows the fourth most shots.
- Everton’s last seven away games have averaged just 1.43 goals, while seven of Villa’s last eight league games have averaged over 2.5 goals.
- With seven goals and four assists, Morgan Rogers is one of the best scorers in the Premier League.
