Conference League quarter-final, first leg, Thursday, 11.04.2024
Now the hot phase in the European competitions begins. The Villans face the Dogues in the first leg of the Conference League quarter-final on Thursday.
While the home side have stumbled somewhat in the league of late, the visitors come into this game with two wins to their name.
Therefore, my Aston Villa Lille betting tip also assumes a duel at eye level, in which, however, not many goals will be scored
Based on the results of the previous round, coach Unai Emery’s men are considered one of the favorites for the title.
Even though there is still a long way to go, the top betting providers at Betano, among others, believe the Villans can reach the semi-finals. The odds for this are 1.40.
In the previous round, they had already recorded a clear 4:0 victory against Ajax Amsterdam after the first leg ended goalless.
Home strength has also been a trademark of the English side. They have won each of their five home games so far this Conference League season
A really bad sign for the visitors. They have not won any of their last seven matches on English soil (1U, 6N).
But their current form speaks in their favor. They swept Olympique Marseille aside 3-1 in Ligue 1 at the weekend
The Dogues always have something going for them in the Conference League. They are the team with the highest xG value in this competition (18).
The odds for a French goal in the Aston Villa Lille betting tip therefore seem quite high. At Intertops sports betting, this is just over 1.50.
On the other hand, they also face a team that has only kept a clean sheet twice in their four home games since the group stage.
Should the Northern French side manage to be more clinical in front of goal, it will be extremely uncomfortable for the Villans.
The performances in the Premier League alone have been inconsistent of late. There has only been one win from the last five games (2U, 2N).
However, they have scored at least twice in each of their last three home games in all competitions.
For a game with two or more home goals, the Bwin Aston Villa Lille betting tip has odds of around 1.70. A Bwin voucher can also be used for this
However, the Dogues have always shown a stable side in the Conference League in terms of defensive play.
They have only conceded a total of three goals so far and have never conceded more than one per game. Can we therefore expect a low-scoring game?
In the Aston Villa Lille betting tip, I tend to favor a match with less than 3.5 goals. The odds for this are 1.40 at Oddset Sportwetten, among others.
If that is too low for your Aston Villa Lille betting tip, you can also combine this prediction with a double chance bet. If the hosts do not lose, the odds are 1.70.
Even though the home side are the better team on paper and have more experience, I don’t see them as favorites.
The visitors have impressed recently with their combination play and have the form on their side. In a close game, they could come out on top by a narrow margin.
My Aston Villa Lille betting tip is therefore: Victory for the Dogues with handicap +1!