Champions League, quarter-final, second leg, Tuesday, 15/04/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
The Villans face a difficult task. In the first leg, they conceded a 3-1 defeat after taking the lead and now have to catch up by two goals against Paris, who are currently hard to beat.
In the first duel, the capital city team were already clearly the better team, but I expect the English to have a much greater share of the game in the rematch.
But I don’t think they’re capable of scoring more than two goals, so my Aston Villa PSG tip is “1-2 goals for the hosts”, and I’ve put together the bet with the Betano bet builder.
17 wins from the last 18 games, PSG’s record is phenomenal. In Ligue 1, the decision has already been made, with 23 wins and five draws after 28 unbeaten games, the record champions have already been confirmed as champions a few games before the end.
This weekend, the star players from the City of Love were able to take it easy, because due to the tight schedule, the league game against Nantes was postponed to have fresher legs for the Champions League second leg. However, the league opponent did not like the decision in the middle of the relegation battle.
The Bookmaker Forecast
29 deals in the first leg, the clearly better team, so it doesn’t surprise me that PSG is again favored in the 1X2 market despite the 3-1 lead in the overall standings. The guests have a win rate of around 2.15, Aston Villa is assigned a 3.25.
The draw is considered the least likely outcome at 3.65. I am most likely to consider the “double chance 1X” (1.75) here. After all, PSG don’t have to, I don’t expect an offensive performance like at home.
AI Prediction Aston Villa vs. PSG: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Aston Villa will have to push for it. This should lead to some dangerous chances and at the same time counter-opportunities for PSG. After four goals in the first duel, there should definitely be more in the rematch.
Therefore, I can understand ChatGPT’s choice of odds, the AI suggests “Over 2.5 goals”. For that, we get a whopping 1.65 odds. Besides, the AI sees advantages for the hosts.
In addition to betting that Aston Villa will score the first goal of the game, as in the first leg, the artificial intelligence has filtered out the “Aston Villa win & both teams score” package from the large odds market of our betting providers.
We are moving in lucrative spheres there, but the selection is too hot for me after the clear difference in performance from the first leg. I like the lower-risk option with the “1X” and the goal from both teams.
Analysis: Aston Villa vs. PSG
We know the clichés that such a game should be approached from PSG’s point of view as a 0-0 game. But often that doesn’t work. I expect a completely different game dynamic. The team from Birmingham has to take risks.
And apart from the first leg, the last few matches have gone really well. Nine wins from the last ten games. The 3-0 win against bottom-of-the-league Southampton was almost the least impressive. The club was already certain to be relegated, having collected ten points.
While PSG have already secured the league title, the AVFC is fighting to qualify for the Champions League again. Due to their success in the five-year ranking, in which the English teams can no longer slip to second place, there is now one more place.
But even that will be difficult to achieve. Nottingham, Newcastle, Manchester City and Chelsea are still in the running for that spot. Form, at least for now, favors Aston Villa.
The 3-0 win over Southampton was their fourth straight league win after a 1-0 win over Brentford, a 3-0 win over Brighton and a 2-1 win over Forest.
Odds Analysis
Incidentally, Aston Villa have scored in 21 of 23 games in 2025. As far as I’m concerned, the hosts’ goal is a pretty clear-cut one for me on Tuesday. We already have an individual odds of 1.31 for that, the perfect odds for a Champions League combo bet.
The goal of both teams is 1.55, also a quote that I can definitely recommend. PSG is likely to be a bit more passive than in the first leg, but they will continue to launch dangerous counterattacks.
After 29 opportunities in the first leg and probably even more spaces on Tuesday, I am a big fan of the odds. At Betano, in addition to strong goal odds, you can get a 20 euro free bet as a new customer before the first deposit. There is also bonus money of up to 80 euros with fair turnover conditions.
Aston Villa vs. PSG Odds: Aston Villa undefeated at home
Both teams have a full squad available for this game. No suspensions and no injuries on either side. However, Paris definitely have a freshness advantage due to the postponement of the league game last weekend.
Unai Emery was unable to make any major rotations in the tight battle for the Champions League places against Southampton, and only gave a few key players fewer minutes on the pitch.
Aston Villa and PSG have actually only played one game, and that was the quarter-final first leg. Before that, there wasn’t even a test kick or a friendly game between the clubs. So this will be the first PSG match at Villa Park.
And the away games there are really tough. In the Premier League, Emery’s team have only lost once at home. Before the 3-0 in the CL round of 16 against Bruges, the Villans also remained unbeaten in the league phase in their own living room, three wins from four matches. Only against Juve was it only enough for a 0-0 draw.
The most popular odds, the PSG win
But: in the strong winter, Paris has won all of its last four away games in the premier class. With 11 wins and three draws in 14 trips in Ligue 1, we are far from attributing an “away weakness” to PSG.
However, I don’t want to commit to a win rate anyway. You see it very differently out there. The PSG rate is the most popular bet of all offered at Winamax. 95 percent have committed themselves to this selection in the 1X2 market.
Yes, it is a French betting company, but it now operates internationally and is written in capital letters on the VfB Stuttgart shirt, among others. In the “Hot” section, you can also find the goal of both teams, the “X2”, “Over 1.5 goals” and the Ousmane Dembele goal.
The centre forward in the 4-3-3 formation went without scoring in the first duel, but already had four shots on goal. With his pace, he could play a key role in the transition game.
He has the lowest goal scoring rate of any player, followed by Goncalo Ramos and Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins. They are followed by Paris’ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Bradley Barcola.
Winamax is offering you a €15 free bet before your first deposit and a further €100 free bet credit as a new customer bonus until April 17. What’s more, all odds are free of betting taxes.
My Aston Villa PSG Tip:
Aston Villa have to catch up from a two-goal deficit and will play accordingly. This could be a really entertaining game in which PSG will keep switching, but should also be able to dictate the play themselves.
The goal of both teams is an outstanding bet, but if, contrary to expectations, it remains a long 0-0 and the Aston Villa risk is only rewarded late on, I hedge my bets with the following odds.
I can’t imagine the hosts scoring three against the currently so stable PSG. Besides, my last two “1-2 goals” tips for one team in “Everton vs. Arsenal” and “Bochum vs. Augsburg” were both a complete success!
My Aston Villa PSG prediction: Aston Villa scores 1-2 goals!
