Serie A, Saturday, 05/10/2024 at 18:00
What a great performance the Bergamasks put in just a few days ago in the premier league. Nobody can deny that they can play football, but unfortunately they have been relatively inconsistent so far.
Consequently, you shouldn’t be too infected by the prevailing euphoria after the victory in the Champions League. Because according to my Atalanta Bergamo Genoa betting tip, their next Serie A appearance promises to be much less eventful.
Atalanta Bergamo, or rather “La Dea”, is currently not where many of you would have expected them to be in the Serie A table.
Last season, they were still considered a sure bet for a top-five finish, but Atalanta only managed to get seven points from the first six matchdays.
That may sound like a decent haul at first, but of the five league games in which they were favored by the betting providers, Gian Piero Gasperini’s team only managed to come out on top twice.
But don’t let that put you off, because their performance in the premier class a few days ago showed once again that they can play really exciting football (if the opponent goes along with it, of course).
With the help of my successful Donetsk Atalanta Bergamo prediction, you could have arranged a nice sports betting payout at the end of the game.
Now that October is underway, however, things could get really serious for “La Dea”. Giampiero Gasperini’s boys will play the next four Serie A games against teams that are even worse than Atalanta.
So one thing is clear: if they don’t win at least three of these games, discontent will soon spread in the beautiful medieval city.
On the other hand, we have Genoa, which doesn’t have much to be happy about. Manager Alberto Gilardino struggled for words after the 4-0 defeat to Juventus. His team is currently “defensively vulnerable” and has a lot of work ahead of it.
Their only bright spot this season was a narrow 1-0 win against bottom-of-the-league Monza. Since then, the “Grifoni” have now been waiting for four match days for a win (1 draw, 3 defeats).
Last season, I would have still believed they could do well in a league game against Atalanta, given their great transition play and Albert Gudmundsson. But the Icelander has since left and the system no longer works as well as it did in the previous season!
You might not expect it, but I see this as more of a low-scoring game.
Atalanta and Genoa have often had tough duels in the past, and half of the last six encounters even ended in a dull 0-0 draw.
Therefore, the “Under 2.5 goals” bet is a good option – with odds of 2.00 on average, this is a thoroughly worthwhile soccer bet, as the bookmakers seem to be assuming the exact opposite.
However, if you take a closer look at the form of both opponents and their respective playing styles, I don’t think it’s necessarily going to be a goal festival.
Furthermore, Atalanta have only won one of their last five Serie A games. So if you would rather bet on a possible draw, you can get very strong odds of around 4.35 for it.
It’s a risky bet, but there is definitely a chance that it could come to pass. Bergamo regularly disappoints its fans when they are forced into the role of favorites.
Your decision depends not only on the Atalanta Bergamo Genoa odds, but also on your individual willingness to take risks. If you want to play it safe, “Under 2.5 goals” would probably be the better choice.
But if you are hoping for the big win and are willing to take a little more risk, the draw could be the right choice.
Another point in favor of a low-scoring game is Genoa’s style of play. They are known for sitting deep and waiting for the counterattack.
Note: In seven of their last ten away games in the Serie A, a total of fewer than three goals were scored.
This once again supports the recommendation to bet on “Under 2.5 goals”, especially since the odds of 2.00 make perfect sense given these facts.
So, if you like defensive tactics and tough duels, this could be the bet for you. Atalanta will try to take the game to their opponents, but Genoa will barricade themselves in defense.
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Conclusion: Despite Atalanta’s convincing Champions League performance, we should not be blinded by this shine.
Genoa will defend deep and try to keep the game open for as long as possible. My Atalanta Bergamo Genoa prediction therefore points to a close game.
Even if the hosts break through at some point, I still only expect a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 win for them. Based on the defensive nature of both teams and Genoa’s defensive style of play, my Atalanta Bergamo Genoa betting tip is: Under 2.5 goals in the game.
