Serie A, Sunday, 04/27/2025, 8:45 p.m.
Sometimes soccer has to take a back seat: In the night of Thursday, Lecce’s physiotherapist, Graziano Fiorita, died suddenly and unexpectedly. For this reason, the Serie A match against Atalanta Bergamo was postponed from Friday to Sunday.
Even though this is a match south of the Alps, even the best German bookmakers are competing with each other in an attempt to offer the best Atalanta Bergamo Lecce odds.
In the meantime, I have tried my hand at a promising Atalanta Lecce tip. I have a sneaking suspicion that the Bergamaschi could soon push the southern Italians into the relegation zone.
Atalanta against Lecce sounds like a classic clash between Champions League ambitions and a relegation battle on paper – and that’s exactly what it is.
The roles are clearly defined before the game: the hosts from Bergamo have impressively shown that they are back on track in the home stretch with two clean-sheet wins against Bologna (2-0) and Milan (1-0).
After a brief slump, Gasperini’s team finally seems to have found its footing again!
Lecce, on the other hand, are stumbling towards the end of the season and Serie B. Ten games without a win, seven of them lost, most recently a hopeless 0-3 defeat against promoted Como – it looks very much like a downward spiral.
Add to that the tragic death of their coach, and the task is truly not an easy one.
And it is precisely because of this stark contrast in form that I am convinced that I cannot go wrong with my Atalanta Bergamo Lecce prediction on Sunday.
Back to the hosts: Atalanta have stabilised themselves in the top 4 of Serie A with their last two wins and are now dreaming not only of the Champions League, but also of securing their place early.
The defense has been rock solid in recent weeks – no goals conceded against Bologna, none against Milan, and only two goals conceded in the last three home games.
So, against Lecce on Sunday, it looks like a possible 2-0, 3-0, or even 4-0 win for the Bergamaschi, don’t you think?
Particularly impressive: in the last ten Serie A games involving Atalanta, both teams have never scored.
So despite their abundant attacking power, Atalanta are not exactly known for spectacular final scores, such as the recent 4-4 draw in the Bundesliga between Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart.
And even though Atalanta has been struggling at home recently (only one win since Christmas before the Bologna game), they made a clear statement with their 2-0 win over the “Rossoblù”: We’re back!
And Lecce? Things are not going well for the visitors – not good at all.
Their last three defeats were all by just one goal, but those were against teams like Lazio, Monza, and Torino – solid opponents, yes, but not on the same level as Atalanta.
What’s more, Lecce has the worst away record in Serie A with eleven defeats in 16 away games – that’s a pretty clear indication.
And now, with Krstovic and Berisha, two key figures in the offense are suspended – leaving little left to work with. The southern Italians’ belief in a miracle in Bergamo is therefore likely to be rather limited.
The head-to-head record also speaks for itself: the last three encounters all ended without Bergamo conceding a goal.
In the first leg, Lecce even suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat – you could almost call it a trauma.
Of course, football is sometimes unpredictable, and Lecce has also picked up points at the Gewiss Stadium – four of the last six games there were not lost (1 win, 3 draws).
But those were different times, different form curves – currently, Lecce simply seems too fragile, too harmless and too reliant on chance.
Atalanta Bergamo therefore has a really good chance of prevailing against Lecce – and if you want to get involved with VBET sports betting, here are a few ideas on what might be worth betting on.
The team from Bergamo is simply more stable, especially defensively – and Lecce is fighting against relegation, not least because of its weak defense.
A win for Atalanta without conceding a goal would therefore not be surprising, and the odds of around 1.95 across all providers are actually quite fair.
If you like a little more risk, you could also go for the Atalanta -1.5 handicap. Bergamo is known for turning up the heat, which could also work against Lecce.
And then there’s Ademola Lookman, who is always dangerous when he plays. If Atalanta takes an early lead and the game remains open, the Nigerian could easily score again.
So what’s in Atalanta’s favor? The individual quality, for one thing. Players like Retegui, De Ketelaere, and Lookman are capable of deciding games on their own.
Even though the latter has gone five games without scoring, he’s someone who loves these kinds of games – it’s no coincidence that he scored the 1-0 winner in the last home game against Lecce.
And as for the window of dominance, Atalanta is the only team in Serie A that has not conceded a single goal between the 61st and 75th minutes. That shows how focused this team can be over 90 minutes.
My Atalanta Bergamo Lecce prediction: Half-time/Full-time 1/1.
