Athletic Bilbao – Atletico Madrid Tip La Liga, 15th matchday on Saturday, 06.12.25 at 21:00
In the end, neither of these two teams will be champions. After the respective defeats in the previous week against the top 2 of the league, this has now become clear to the last betting provider without tax.
For the direct clash on Saturday, meanwhile, I dare a promising Athletic Bilbao Atletico Madrid tip and set the mark particularly low: Under 1.5 goals.
I know that this only allows for a 0:0 or 1:0 or 0:1, but the odds are high, and there are also favorable conditions for a successful football bet of this kind.
If only because the Rojiblancos beat the Basques 1-0 in both games last season.
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid AI Predictions:
The Athletic Bilbao Atletico Madrid AI forecast, which was recently generated on request, draws attention to the fact that our data model also expects a game with a manageable number of goals.
However, our digital competition brain is not quite as brave as I am. It recommends that I select Under 2.5 goals at odds around 1.65.
This is by no means a nonsensical suggestion – but I’m afraid that you could lose value as a result. So I’d rather stick to my own betting idea for Saturday!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Athletic Bilbao |
Draw |
Win Atletico Madrid |
| 26.3% |
28.7% |
45% |
Both hit – No is another suggestion that takes the same line and has a positive expected value. On the one hand, the odds of 1.89 on average are generous, and on the other hand, this type of bet would have been a complete success in eight of the last nine direct duels.
A 0-0 result bet at half-time at odds around 7.50 therefore makes perfect sense. Because that is indeed the result that I can best imagine at the change of ends.
Not least because the Rojiblancos are the La Liga club with the most draws at half-time (6).
What you need to know about Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid betting
- In 2025/26, Atletico Madrid’s matches had the most draws in the league at half-time (5).
- Both to score – No would have been a complete success in 8 of the last 9 direct duels.
- Only 2 of the Rojiblancos’ 7 La Liga guest appearances cracked the 2.5-goal mark.
- Each of the last 7 defeats of the Basques in home competitive matches was without a goal of their own.
