Athletic Bilbao – Qarabag Tip Champions League, Matchday 3 on Wednesday, 10/22/25 at 6:45 p.m.
With Champions League Wednesday fast approaching, I consider the current NEO.Bet bonus and my Athletic Bilbao Qarabag FC tip to be the best companions a sports betting fan could choose.
Selecting a three-pointer for the Basques on your own sports betting app would be pointless, as every betting provider is confidently predicting a victory for the hosts and is only willing to offer you Athletic Bilbao odds of 1.32 on average.
However, Nico Williams scoring is a much more lucrative betting scenario, which I would put to the test immediately.
After a long injury break and two La Liga appearances with the handbrake on, his moment for a real comeback could have arrived.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Qarabag AI predictions:
Qarabag has not won in six games against La Liga teams in European competition (2 draws, 4 losses), has lost its last four games in a row, and is now facing a Spanish opponent for the first time since a 3-0 defeat to Villarreal in December 2020.
The suggestion that Athletic will win to nil is therefore the first AI suggestion that our digital assistant has come up with, and it deserves my hearty praise.
Personally, I’m predicting a 2-0, 3-0 or even a maximum 4-0 win for the home side if the Azerbaijanis let up in the closing stages.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Athletic Bilbao win |
Draw |
Qarabag FC win |
| 75.9% |
16.1% |
7.9% |
An alternative to my goal bet on Nico Williams? Our AI prediction provides you with one in the form of Gorka Guruzeta scoring.
The Basque player scored Bilbao’s only Champions League goal so far in 2025/26 against BVB, but his odds on the betting markets are too low for me at an average of 1.90 – so I’d rather stick with Nico Williams as a possible candidate for a goal.
1st goal in the 1st half: Bilbao at odds of around 1.70 is a much better computer-generated suggestion in my opinion. The hosts will want to get the job done early in the game.
What you need to know about Athletic Bilbao vs. Qarabag betting
- Only Kairat Almaty (9) conceded more goals than Athletic Bilbao (6) after the first two matchdays in this UEFA Champions League season.
- Matheus Silva of Qarabag has won the most ground duels (21 out of 29) of any player in this UCL season (72.4% success rate).
- Athletic has won only three of its 14 games in the UCL main round (4 draws, 7 losses).
- In 4 of Bilbao’s last 5 home games in all competitions, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored.
- In only one of Qarabag’s last five competitive games did both teams score.
