Atalanta Bergamo – Napoli Tip Serie A, Matchday 26 on Sunday, 22/02/26 at 15:00
Kevin de Bruyne’s long-term injury has put a spanner in the works of the SSC’s plans to successfully defend their title. Nevertheless, I don’t think their underdog role is justified in this Serie A weekend.
Personally, I have therefore considered an Atalanta Bergamo Napoli tip called “Draw-no-Bet: Napoli” at odds around 2.10. The good thing about this is that Merkur Bets will at least refund your stake with this popular type of bet in the event of a point split.
By the way, I think it is highly unlikely that Atalanta will have the upper hand.
My favourite team already has the second leg against Dortmund in mind, and the departure of Lookman and the injuries to de Ketelaere and Raspadori simply cannot be compensated for in terms of personnel.
Atalanta vs Napoli AI predictions:
Precisely because Bergamo has prevented several noteworthy offensive forces or have since left, I can really make friends with the first suggestion of our Atalanta Bergamo Napoli AI prediction with regard to Sunday.
I definitely classify Atalanta under 0.5 goals to values around 3.35 as a value pick. Even in the most recent 2-0 defeat against BVB, the northern Italians without de Ketelaere or Raspadori went surprisingly little forward – the xG value was only 0.47 xG!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Bergamo |
Draw |
Victory Napoli |
| 42% |
28.2% |
29.8% |
A few seasons ago, this game would have provided a lot of offensive spectacle, but now I rate the option Under 2.5 goals at odds around 1.75 as the most reasonable goal bet for Sunday.
Both teams are struggling with injuries, and in the past ten matchdays, Serie A games in which Bergamo has been involved have only cracked this mark twice.
1. Goal & Win: Napoli remains a computer-generated risk proposal last but not least, which I approve – especially at odds around 3.30. Because despite all the resistance and a disappointing 2025/26 season, I still see the “Azzurri” having the upper hand here with 1-0 or 2-0.
What you need to know about Bergamo vs. Napoli betting
- Atalanta have kept a clean sheet at half-time in each of their last six home games across all competitions – an impressive run that will now be put to the test against the third-strongest attack in the league (38 goals).
- In stark contrast to the defensive stability of the hosts (both teams have only scored in one of the last seven games), the last five games of Conte’s team have all ended with goals on both sides.
- Lightning starter from the south: Napoli are immediately wide awake away from home and have already scored 11 goals before the break this season – only league leaders Inter Milan (12) were more accurate in the first half on a foreign pitch.
- Napoli’s top scorer Rasmus Hojlund (8 goals this season) returns to Bergamo in top form and meets the third-best defence in the league, which has only suffered two defeats at home under Raffaele Palladino.
