Champions League, Wednesday, 11.12.2024 at 18:45
It’s a match in our Champions League tips for which the term David vs Goliath has been invented! Will it therefore be a crystal-clear affair? In my Atletico Madrid Slovan Bratislava betting tip, the roles of favorite and underdog are clearly divided.
It’s therefore no wonder that I’m opting for a handicap bet and say: A home win with a three-goal lead should be possible – if only because the visitors from Slovakia bring the worst defense of all teams to Spain.
The Colchoneros are somewhere between genius and madness in the premier class. Sometimes they lose 4-0, then win 6-0 – you can’t rule anything out with this team. However, it is of course no surprise that a clear victory is expected at home against Bratislava.
The Atletico Madrid Slovan Bratislava odds for this match are also correspondingly high, as the home side are averaging 1.08 to 35.0 – an away team in the CL can hardly have a much higher value!
Since I’m betting on a clear win for the hosts, I’ve gone on a search in my analysis to be able to back up my bet sufficiently. The two teams have never played each other before!
The bookmaker’s prediction
Atletico at home against Slovan Bratislava? I probably don’t even need to mention that the Madrilenians are heavily favored. The win bet is not even a 1.10, and even the 0:1 handicap only has odds of 1.30.
On the other side, a team that seems to be completely out of its depth in this XXL group stage is traveling to Bratislava. The Slovaks will not be surprised that an away win brings with it high odds averaging 35.0.
Slovan Bratislava would therefore certainly be delighted with a draw, while a point would be tantamount to defeat for Atletico. Should the points actually be shared, we will have to deal with odds of 12.0.
KI prediction Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava: ChatGPT
Of course, it is not always easy to get interesting betting suggestions from the AI in games where there is a clear favorite. However, my question to ChatPGT has of course not gone unanswered.
If you want to take a high risk, you can bet on a draw according to the AI. Well, Atletico have only won really clearly once, but since Slovan Bratislava don’t have a leg to stand on, I definitely wouldn’t go with them here.
Is the medium risk more for me? This means that both teams will score. Slovan recently scored twice against Milan, while Atletico only kept a clean sheet in their 6-0 win over Sparta Prague. Conclusion: So it could be!
If, on the other hand, Atletico win by zero, you use the AI suggestion with the least risk. Since the Colchoneros could finally have arrived in the competition thanks to the resounding victory against Prague, I think this tip is relatively likely.
Analysis: Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava
Two 2:1s, plus a 0:4 and a 1:3 – and suddenly a 6:0? We need several drawers to categorize Atletico Madrid in this 2024/25 Champions League season!
The Colchoneros were finally fully convincing in their 6-0 win over Sparta Prague, although the last two goals were scored shortly before the end. Nevertheless, it was the first clear victory in the competition
Not to be taken for granted, as the club had not really covered themselves in glory beforehand. The winning goal against RB Leipzig was scored 2:1 in the 90th minute, and the 2:1 win against PSG even came in stoppage time.
There were also two defeats, however, and they were all the more resounding in the 4-0 loss to Benfica Lisbon and the 3-1 defeat to Lille. There is definitely a strategy for when Atletico score their goals:
Rating Analysis
Atletico always score before the break when they score. If you want to bet boldly, you can bet that the Madrilenians will score twice in the first half. The odds for this at Betano are 2.20.
If I had to choose a result bet… my suggestion to you would be a confident 3:0. The Colchoneros’ superiority would be the focus here, and this tip is rewarded with odds of 6.30 – no other result has such “low” odds!
Will Atletico get back into a good mood like against Sparta? I don’t think it’s impossible, so you can go for the “Over 3.5 goals Madrid” bet. The odds for this bet are a strong 2.15.
Atletico Madrid vs. Slovan Bratislava: Everything clear early on?
Five goals were scored before the break, six after – that sounds completely even at first. At the same time, however, it is clear that four goals were scored after the 80th minute.
Atletico Madrid are slowly knocking on the door at the top of the Primera Division, so I can’t really explain why things can’t go consistently well in the Champions League too.
Incidentally, this is the first time the club has ever played an opponent from Slovakia. As Atletico are in mid-table, there is not a lot of pressure, but they will only attack the top 8 if they win three games at the end of the preliminary round.
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Bratislava seems to have no chance at all
Wins? Top 8? Reaching the knockout round? Slovan Bratislava have absolutely nothing to do with any of these keywords! The Slovaks were considered to be blatant outsiders from the outset, and the current table reflects this.
Only the Young Boys from Bern are slightly weaker and have a goal difference that is one goal worse. They have yet to score a single point, which is not all that surprising given their opponents
However… Do you really have to lose 5-1 to Celtic Glasgow? Aren’t four goals conceded in the 4-1 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb a bit too many? Of course, it was less surprising that they couldn’t do anything in the 4-0 defeat to Manchester City.
Then there was the 2-0 defeat to Girona and the recent 3-2 loss to Milan, which was the first defeat by a narrow margin. With 18 goals conceded, Slovan have the worst defense of the entire competition.
The first time against Milan it was possible to at least get to half-time with a draw. The fact that they now face an opponent from Spain is anything but a good omen for the Slovaks.
Eight games, one win – only against Barca have they won once. When? In May 1969 in the final of the Cup Winners’ Cup! No question, on paper it definitely looks like they can’t do anything at all against Atletico Madrid.
My Atletico Madrid Slovan Bratislava tip:
I could probably have told you that Atletico Madrid are heavy favorites at home against Slovan Bratislava without my detailed analysis – but what about the Colchoneros’ consistency, is it only now starting to appear?
The 6-0 win against Prague was incredibly convincing, but the performances before that were all the more shaky. Slovan Bratislava are an opponent who are usually completely out of their depth in the top flight and have conceded nine goals against Celtic Glasgow and Dinamo Zagreb alone.
As a result, I have opted for a handicap bet. Atletico definitely have what it takes to win by a landslide, or to put it another way: unfortunately, I don’t think the visitors are capable of much based on their previous results. My tip is therefore:
Atletico win despite 0:2 handicap!
