Atletico Madrid – Inter Milan Tip Champions League, Matchday 5 on Wednesday, 26.11.2025 at 21:00 CET
The odds of the best non-tax bookmakers point to a close duel, while my personal Atletico Madrid Inter Milan tip falls on the selection “Both teams to score”.
The Rojiblancos have conceded an unusually high number of goals this Champions League season, averaging 2.25 per game, while Inter, for their part, are also on target away from home and have already scored 11 goals in the league phase.
Atletico, however, have already scored eight goals in the Metropolitano in this competition and will ultimately break up the Catenaccio Made in Milan with sheer offensive power.
Incidentally, both clubs are no strangers to each other. This clash marks the fourth meeting between Atletico Madrid and Internazionale in all competitions.
The Spaniards won 2-0 in the 2010 UEFA Super Cup in Monaco before both sides shared a home game each in the 2023/24 Champions League round of 16.
In the end, however, it was the Rojiblancos who were able to advance to the next round after successfully passing the penalty thriller.
Atletico Madrid – Inter Milan Prediction & Betting
As far as my Atletico Madrid Inter Milan prediction is concerned, I’m so precise that I can even give you an exact result: it smells strongly like a 2-1 win for the hosts.
Based on this, I would recommend two differently risky football bets: The bolder variant is of course the result bet 2:1 at odds of about 9.25, while the safer selection to win Atletico & both score at a slightly lower 4.10 is also not bad.
In both cases, however, it is worth visiting a German betting provider, as only they are allowed to offer you legal and at the same time attractive Atletico Madrid Inter Milan odds.
What you need to know about Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan betting
- In Atletico Madrid’s four Champions League league games, 19 goals were scored. Only Dortmund have scored more goals in the Champions League.
- Inter Milan have conceded just one goal in the Champions League so far – a corner kick from Ofri Arad (Kairat Almaty). Chivu’s team has yet to concede a goal from open play.
- The bet “Over 2.5 goals” would have been successful in seven of Atletico Madrid’s eight Champions League games in 2025.
- Julian Alvarez scored two goals and provided two assists in the Champions League this season. He averages a goal contribution every 68 minutes in this competition.
Atletico Madrid – Inter Milan: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
You think my personal betting suggestions for a promising tip for this match would have been brave? Then wait until you see the Atletico Madrid Inter Milan AI prediction.
Because the first computer-generated recommendation is to win Atletico & over 3.5 goals, with a large part of the goals coming from the Spaniards.
The combined odds of about 6.10 are impressive – as is the statistical derivation: The Rojiblancos have won 11 of their last 12 Champions League home games and scored 3+ goals in each of their last two appearances in their home stadium.
1st goal: Julian Alvarez and the lower-risk variant Alvarez scores at odds of 5.10 and 2.45 respectively are equally recommended to sports betting fans.
Which option you ultimately choose depends primarily on your individual risk tolerance – but the high sense of these betting maneuvers remains undisputed!
The Argentine has already scored 14 Champions League goals, although the underlying xG value of his chances was only 6.4. Since the start of the 2023/24 season, no other player in the Champions League has been more efficient with his opportunities.
The best odds for Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan
The bookmakers have carefully calculated their respective Atletico Madrid Inter Milan betting odds – the result is a market that sees both teams close together, without clear dominance, and thus opens up exciting approaches to value tips.
A home win for the Rojiblancos is currently priced at 2.30. The bookmakers see the Spaniards as slight favourites, which is mainly due to home advantage, tactical stability and the ability to make close games in a controlled manner.
The draw is 3.50. This number makes it clear that the bookies do take into account a tactical sampling phase, in which both teams play for safety and the game is decided late.
For an away win of Inter Milan there is 3.00. This means that the Italians are rated as an easy risk – the betting markets recognise the individual quality and experience in close European matches, but do not trust them to have a clear advantage.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Match Analysis:
The game will probably be decided less by classic possession and more by set pieces and quick transition moments.
Atletico Madrid are particularly dangerous in this respect: 40% of their goals this Champions League season have come on the counterattack, i.e. four out of ten goals – the highest figure of any team in the first four matchdays.
They scored three of those goals in the 3-1 win over Union Saint-Gilloise on Matchday 4, underlining their effectiveness in quick attacks.
Inter will oppose this and initially act very stably to avoid open spaces.
The Italians, along with Arsenal, are the only teams not to have conceded a goal from the game in the first four matchdays.
Nevertheless, I expect a changeable game: As soon as the first goal is scored, the rhythm of the game changes immediately.
Then chances could pile up on both sides, set pieces and transitions become more important, and a single goal could completely overturn the course of the game. So an exciting back and forth is programmed.
Atletico Madrid form check
Atletico comes home with real confidence after a strong run in the league. Five wins in a row show you that Simeone’s squad has just picked up speed.
The recent 1-0 win against Getafe was close, but in the end, as we all know, only the result counts. If you rely on Atletico at home, you have to pay attention to their ability to score late and win close games anyway. After all, that’s their parade discipline!
In terms of personnel, there are a few question marks. Robin Le Normand is definitely out, while Oblak and Llorente are doubtful. Nevertheless, they have enough quality on the field to remain dangerous offensively.
Antoine Griezmann is currently the man for late goals: three goals after the 60th minute in the last three home games.
With him and the home strength behind them, you can expect a Simeone team that will try to steer the game in the desired direction from the start.
Inter Milan Formcheck
Inter Milan has performed really well internationally so far, even if the series has recently suffered a setback.
The streak of four wins in a row in all competitions ended with a 1-0 defeat to AC Milan at the weekend, which slows down the momentum a bit.
In the Champions League, things are still going well so far: four games, four wins, no goals away from home – you’ve seen how stable the defence is.
In terms of personnel, Inter could be a bit tight. Matteo Darmian, Raffaele Di Gennaro and Henrikh Mkhitaryan may not be available, which limits the rotation.
Lautaro Martínez, on the other hand, prefers to score early, three goals before the break in the last three Champions League games show that he immediately causes alarm. If he maintains his form and the defence remains stable, Inter can pick up points again away from home.
Nevertheless, the game will be close, especially because Atletico hardly makes any mistakes at home and knows how to step up a gear in the decisive moments.
