Atletico – Rayo Vallecano Tip, AI Prediction & Odds 09/24/2025

Atletico – Rayo Vallecano Tip La Liga, Matchday 6 on Wednesday, 09/24/25 at 9:30 p.m.

On the 6th matchday of La Liga, Atlético Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will face each other. This is a particularly important game for Atlético. After all, they are in danger of losing touch with the top of the table (12th place) right at the start of the new season.

However, in my Atletico Rayo Vallecano prediction, I don’t expect a flawless performance from the favorites. After five games, Atletico has only one win to its name this season. Accordingly, with my “both teams to score” bet (odds of 2.05 at Winamax), I’m leaning toward a bumpy performance.

Recent statistics prove that Rayo Vallecano is not an easy opponent to beat. They have lost just three of their last 16 games. Against a struggling Atletico, the underdogs are therefore capable of pulling off an upset – the perfect opportunity for a freebet.

Atletico vs. Rayo Vallecano AI predictions:

As always, our AI model doesn’t take long to come up with its very own Atletico Rayo Vallecano AI prediction.

“Atletico wins & both teams score” is the AI’s first prediction. Atletico has the individual class and the Metropolitano advantage. The odds of around 3.45 therefore offer excellent value.

Predicted chance of winning:

Atletico win
Draw
Rayo Vallecano win
63%
22%
15%

The “Under 2.5 goals” option offers medium risk. With odds of around 1.90, this bet is worth considering in the Bwin app, given that four of Atletico’s last five games have seen no more than two goals scored.

The AI tip “Atletico under 1.5 goals” is also interesting . The Madrid team has not really gotten into gear offensively this season. In four of their last 6 games, Atletico has fallen short of this mark. With odds of around 2.15, this is something to think about.

What you need to know about betting on Atletico vs. Rayo Vallecano

  • Atlético’s home record this season: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses.
  • Rayo has 1 win and 2 losses away from home in the league so far.
  • In direct competitive matches between the two clubs, around 75% have ended with over 1.5 goals and just under 47% with over 2.5 goals.
  • Atlético Madrid has had 26 shots on goal in the 2025/26 La Liga season.

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