Bundesliga 8th matchday, Saturday, 10/26/2024 at 3:30 pm
What the media are saying these days about the catastrophic second half of the game the black and yellow played against Real Madrid in the premier class during the week can hardly be overlooked.
The fact is that Nuri Sahin has to make some adjustments. But the system that the former Borussia player is trying to implement has great potential.
However, I would like to give you a heads-up in my Augsburg Dortmund betting tip for the 8th Bundesliga matchday. Because everything points to this game having plenty of goals in store for you – so get excited!
In my Augsburg Dortmund prediction, it’s going to be exciting: Did you know that neither Dortmund nor Augsburg have ever taken the lead away from home this season?
And Augsburg have spent a whopping 297 minutes behind – only Holstein Kiel have spent more time behind the ball.
So it’s a good thing for the Fuggerstadters that they can entrench themselves in the WWK Arena on Saturday. It’s become very difficult to get past them here of late. But will it be enough to keep the strong Borussia attack at bay?
The betting providers’ forecast?
The current Augsburg Dortmund betting odds are really interesting! FCA is at around 3.75 in the betting markets, which indicates that they are considered outsiders. In contrast, BVB is the favorite with odds of around 1.90.
So if you want to bet on Augsburg pulling off an upset victory, the odds might be tempting. But Dortmund definitely has the strength to send them into the race as clear favorites! The betting providers have already recognized this, with tax.
AI prediction Augsburg vs Dortmund: This is what ChatGPT is betting on
The recommendations made by ChatGPT as part of the Augsburg Dortmund AI prediction I requested are quite interesting. However, the high-risk tip that FC Augsburg will win the game and both teams will score is a bold one.
You really need a bit of courage for that, but with the odds, it’s not completely outlandish, especially if Augsburg has a good day.
But it’s not “outlandish” either, because Borussia has already lost their last Bundesliga away game against a comparably strong opponent like FCA in the same way (Union Berlin, 1:2).
I like the medium-risk tip that Guirassy will score. He has really delivered in the last few weeks and scores regularly, so it’s a solid tip.
And the low-risk tip, over 2.5 goals, is definitely another great suggestion that I would also classify as “safe”.
With both teams’ lineups, there should be at least three goals, so it should be an exciting game!
Analysis: Augsburg vs Dortmund
Augsburg is just returning to Bavaria from a crushing 3-1 defeat to the team from the Black Forest, in which everything was already clear in the first half.
Freiburg was already leading 3-0 at half-time, which makes me confident that Borussia can also score multiple times if they really put their minds to it.
The defense of the Fuggerstadt team is certainly ready for action, as they are only surpassed by bottom-of-the-league Kiel in terms of goals conceded.
Dortmund is showing good signs here and there under Sahin. This team definitely has the potential for great things, as the 7-1 victory over Celtic in the Champions League and the first half against Real a few days ago impressively proved.
However, their susceptibility to errors in defense and the strong tendency to recently concede extremely stupid goals makes me somewhat pessimistic about their chances of winning the game against Augsburg.
As a sports betting fan, you always have to take goals against by Borussia these days into account.
Odds Analysis
The current Augsburg Dortmund odds offered by the betting providers don’t leave much room for value bets. Overall, the odds are relatively close to the probability of the respective event occurring.
However, there are some offers that I would consider relatively good. First and foremost, this includes the bet proposed by the AI on Serhou Guirassy scoring.
Since he is in top form, he could well score. Moreover, the odds for the event “both score”, with an average of 1.50, are at least acceptable!
I think it is very likely that both teams will score, as Borussia’s offense is strong, but their defense remains prone to error. So you could invest here with a relatively clear conscience!
Augsburg vs. Dortmund odds: Will he score again?
A goal bet on Guirassy could be really worthwhile! The Borusse has just scored his fourth goal of the Bundesliga season, which is a great achievement in itself.
His goals have also ensured that Dortmund have picked up four points – which is really important for the team. Currently, he scores on average every 108 minutes, which is pretty strong.
Only big names like Alcacer and Haaland were faster. If he keeps this form, there is a good chance that he will score again in the next game. That makes betting on him against Augsburg really tempting!
BVB usually weak after UCL appearances!
Dortmund might face some problems in this game. Sure, they are undefeated in their last seven Bundesliga games against Augsburg (5 wins, 2 draws), but that doesn’t mean everything is going according to plan.
They have lost the last three Bundesliga games after Champions League games. That’s quite an impressive record!
And looking at the numbers, they have only won two of their last 13 Bundesliga away games on weekends after a UCL game. It makes you wonder how much energy they will actually have left after the stress of facing Real on Tuesday.
On the other hand, FCA are creating plenty of goals because they have real difficulties defensively. Only VfL Bochum have been waiting for a Bundesliga clean sheet for more games than Augsburg (12).
Only in the 2019/20 season have they conceded more goals (19) after the first seven games than they have currently. This suggests that viewers could definitely see some goals, regardless of the outcome of the game!
A Augsburg Dortmund tip regarding the outcome of the game, I would currently give only reluctantly, because I’m really torn.
For the FCA, the home strength and the surprise potential speak, while the BVB would like to rehabilitate after the weak second half against Real. Here two strong arguments collide.
My Augsburg Dortmund tip:
It will be a turbulent game that will easily produce three, four, if not more goals. Dortmund’s offense will be just as hot as in the first half against Real Madrid.
But I definitely trust the FCA to set pinpricks and successfully exploit counter opportunities. This could be an exciting encounter, with the potential for a 2-2 draw.
But ultimately, I would tend towards a 3-2 or 4-2 for Borussia, with a little help from Serhou Guirassy.
My tip: Over 3.5 goals
