Bundesliga Matchday 32, Sunday, 04.05.2025 at 15:30
The Fuggerstadt club has recently lost some of its strong form in the second half of the season, winning only one of its last four Bundesliga games.
The Storks have not had much to cheer about in terms of victories during this period either, but from their perspective, the points haul in recent weeks is positive.
Kiel will also be encouraged by their first-half clash with FC Augsburg (5-1). In my Augsburg vs. Kiel prediction, I think the Bundesliga newcomers can also hope for points.
KSV coach Marcel Rapp often develops well-coordinated match plans for his team’s build-up play, thanks to which the promoted side are still in contention for survival.
Defensively, however, the visitors are consistently performing at a disastrous level, so I’m betting on “both teams to score” in my Augsburg vs. Kiel prediction. You can find odds of 1.73 for this at Interwetten.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Regardless of the results of the teams around them, Augsburg secured their place in the league early this season.
However, the hosts have lost touch with the European places. FCA have only managed one win from their last five Bundesliga appearances. Nevertheless, Jess Thorup’s team are clear favorites in their home game this coming weekend with betting odds of up to 1.85.
This is closely linked to the visitors from the far north. Kiel travel with odds of around 4.20. If you still want to take that risk, I recommend using this Bwin voucher.
AI prediction Augsburg vs. Kiel: ChatGPT’s prediction
The weakest defense in the Bundesliga (74 goals conceded) hardly has the necessary quality to prevent even one Bundesliga team from scoring. Artificial intelligence wants to exploit the fragile connections between the individual parts of the visitors’ team and recommends odds of 1.60 at Bwin for “Augsburg to score the first goal.”
ChatGPT believes the Storks are capable of scoring a goal, as revealed by the two subsequent betting suggestions. From Interwetten’s betting portfolio, the AI has selected an offer with odds of 1.77 and highlighted the associated bet “Over 2.5 goals” as worthwhile.
As a suggestion for a specific result, the AI prediction once again does not leave the team from Kiel without a goal of their own. For odds of 8.50, you can bet on the exact result of “2:1” at Bet365.
Analysis: Augsburg vs. Kiel
18 teams compete against each other in the Bundesliga and a season has 34 match days. One club may have to/be allowed to play two more matches in the relegation play-offs to secure their place in the league at the second attempt.
The Storks are aiming for this chance. KSV are currently three points behind Heidenheim, who are 16th in the table. If they want to close this small gap, they need points, and the relegation candidates can only get those with a productive offense.
The visitors proved this impressively last weekend when they won their home game against Gladbach 4-3.
Augsburg found a new defensive setup in the second half of the season and has been able to frustrate many teams at times. Recently, however, the home side has only kept a clean sheet in one of its last five appearances.
Odds analysis
Kiel desperately needed points recently to keep their hopes of staying up alive. Marcel Rapp’s team showed great fighting spirit in their quest to achieve this.
The newly promoted side lost only one of their previous four Bundesliga matches (1W, 2D) and moved closer to the relegation play-off spot.
Augsburg, on the other hand, has settled into mid-table, winning only one of its last five Bundesliga home games. That makes the odds of 2.00 at Winamax for a “double chance X2” stand out for me.
Augsburg vs. Kiel: How does an away team behave?
Etiquette guides contain rules of conduct that still serve as a guide for appropriate behavior in many areas of life today. They can offer security, especially in unfamiliar situations.
Promotion to the German top flight was a new experience for Kiel, and this was evident for much of the season. The weakest defense in the Bundesliga (74) prevented a victory for a long time, especially away from home.
At least Rapp couldn’t accuse his team of stealing points on the road. But in the second half of the season, KSV made its own decisions and suddenly started stealing points as the visiting team.
Rapp’s team scored in four of seven away games in the second half of the season. Most recently, Kiel even managed to pull off a coup in two consecutive away games and avoid defeat.
KSV showed good manners from the very beginning. As good guests, the Storks have brought a gift to every away game so far and scored at least one goal themselves – no other Bundesliga team has been so gracious.
Like on the soccer field
When playing soccer on the field next door, it can happen that the defense isn’t always taken too seriously. Instead, all the energy is invested in the offense.
The result: goals are scored constantly and everyone gets their money’s worth. A visit to a Bundesliga stadium is more expensive than walking to the soccer field, but games involving Kiel are worth every penny.
At least if you want to see a lot of goals. No other team has scored more goals in Bundesliga games this season than KSV (119, the same as Bayern).
Shuto Machino is a particularly likely candidate to score for the visitors. The Japanese player recently became the first KSV player in the club’s history to score ten goals in a season in the German top flight.
My Augsburg Kiel tip:
The Storks have only conceded two goals in the entire season – no other Bundesliga club has a better record in the current season.
Augsburg was once considered a team that had successfully suppressed the feeling of conceding goals. However, these emotions have returned in four of their last five matches.
My Augsburg Kiel tip is: Both teams to score!