Augsburg – Stuttgart Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 27 on Sunday, 22.03.2026 at 19:30 CET
At the end of the 27th matchday of the Bundesliga, an exciting duel awaits us. My Augsburg Stuttgart tip focuses on a game with different signs. The hosts want to establish themselves in midfield, while the Swabians dream of the Champions League.
I’m convinced that we’ll see goals on both sides. VfB Stuttgart is strong on the road, but also has defensive gaps. Augsburg, on the other hand, is very confident at home and almost always finds a way to score.
For the bet “Both teams to score”, Betano offers attractive odds around 1.50. This bet has a high value for me, as the offensive power of both teams outweighs their respective defensive weaknesses. It promises to be an open game.
The guests from Stuttgart travel as favourites, which is also reflected in the ratings. The implied probability of victory for VfB is almost 49%. But Augsburg is a power at home and will not hide.
VfB have won the last six meetings against the Fuggerstädter. This dominance is impressive, but every streak breaks once. Augsburg are coming back from a 2-0 defeat in Dortmund, but Stuttgart are back with a 1-0 win against Leipzig.
Augsburg – Stuttgart Prediction & Betting
An alternative Augsburg Stuttgart prediction would be a draw. The hosts are unbeaten in eight home games, while VfB have recently weakened on the road. Only one win from the last five games away from home speaks a clear language.
Another interesting market is goalscorer betting. This is where Deniz Undav stands out. With 16 goals this season, he is the second-best scorer in the league and scored twice against FCA in the first leg. He’s always good for a goal. For a goal by the Stuttgart player, the online bookmakers make an odd of around 2.00 loose.
In view of the offensive power of both teams, especially that of Stuttgart, goal betting is also worth considering. 83% of all Stuttgart games ended with over 2.5 goals – that’s the highest in the league. Here, too, it could be goal-rich again.
What you need to know about Augsburg vs. Stuttgart betting
- Augsburg has picked up 17 points in the last 10 games and is now in 6th place in the form table.
- Stuttgart have won four of their last five meetings against Augsburg to nil.
- 83% of Stuttgart’s matches this season have ended with three or more goals, which is the highest percentage in the league.
- Augsburg’s top scorer, Alexis Claude-Maurice, has only scored four goals.
Augsburg – Stuttgart: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Stuttgart have won only two of their last seven games. Our AI model does not believe that VfB is facing a walk in the park in Augsburg. The first part of the Augsburg Stuttgart AI forecast is correspondingly skeptical.
“Draw at half-time” is the AI’s selection. The odds of around 2.35 are quite lavish, considering that Stuttgart is likely to travel to Augsburg with heavy legs after the European Cup appearance against Porto. A brilliant start for Stuttgart is therefore unlikely.
VfB have already scored 51 goals in the course of this Bundesliga season. There is therefore no question that Stuttgart will have top-class scoring opportunities in the course of the game. It remains to be seen whether “Stuttgart over 1.5 goals” from the digital brain is a bit too optimistic in the end. The odds are not exactly outstanding at around 1.75.
The best odds for Augsburg vs. Stuttgart
Our AI tool has also analyzed the game and provides a clear tendency. The probability of an away win for Stuttgart is 47.6%. A home win for Augsburg is 29.3%, a draw 23.1%.
The predicted goal numbers support my main tip. The tool expects a total of 3.04 goals, split between 1.32 for Augsburg and 1.72 for Stuttgart. This clearly suggests that both teams will score at least once.
A look at the Augsburg Stuttgart odds of the bookmakers shows a similar picture. VfB is considered the favourite, although they have had less preparation time. The win rate for the Swabians points to a chance of around 50%.
The Asian Handicap Line is set at +0.5 for Augsburg. This means that if you bet on FCA, you will win on this market if the match ends in a draw or Augsburg even wins. That’s an interesting hedge.
The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 3.0. If there are four or more goals in the match, all those who bet on “Over” win. With exactly three goals, the stake is returned. In view of the expected goals, this is an exciting option.
Deniz Undav is the most likely goal scorer. The odds imply a hit probability of about 45%. FCA’s Ermedin Demirovic is also highly traded at around 38%.
Augsburg vs Stuttgart Match Analysis:
In the table, the two teams are separated by a whopping 19 points before this duel. Augsburg are in tenth place in midfield, while VfB are fighting for the Champions League. The motivation of the guests is therefore likely to be particularly high.
The Fuggerstädter clearly exceed their statistical expectations. Measured by the xG value (expected goals), they should actually be in 15th place. This shows enormous efficiency, but also a certain dependence on luck in the game.
Although Augsburg lost the last two games, the opponents were Leipzig and Dortmund. Before that, there were five wins from seven games, including an impressive 2-1 win at FC Bayern. So the form is basically right.
For Stuttgart, the focus is clear after being eliminated from the Europa League. Full concentration is on the league and the DFB Cup semi-finals. With fourth place and a three-point lead over Leipzig, the starting position for the Champions League is excellent.
Coach Sebastian Hoeneß’s team is a goal machine. 51 goals for the season is the third-best value in the league. In addition, VfB exceeded its expected points by 8.5 points, which speaks for a strong mentality and effectiveness.
The direct record is clear: Stuttgart have won the last six duels, including the 3-2 win in the first leg of this season. Augsburg has been waiting for a win against the Swabians since 2021.
Augsburg Form Check
Augsburg’s recent form is impressive, especially at home. In the last five home games, FCA have picked up a strong 11 points with a goal difference of 8-4. Only four teams have been better in front of their own crowd in this period.
With a seven-point lead over the relegation zone, the situation is comfortable, but not yet finally secure. Especially in home games against favoured opponents, coach Manuel Baum’s team wants to collect the necessary points.
Statistically, Augsburg confirms its place in midfield. However, the low xG value is a cause for concern. Only 32.0 expected goals are the third-lowest value in the league. Actually, FCA should be in a relegation battle.
A big plus, however, is the current goal threat. The Fuggerstädters have scored in four of their last five games. Only BVB denied them a goal of their own, which is no shame in view of Dortmund’s defensive strength.
Even in the defeat in Dortmund, Augsburg earned an xG value of 0.77, had three shots on goal and created a great chance. This shows that the offense can also work against top teams.
Stuttgart Form Check
After two disappointing draws in Heidenheim and Mainz as well as the exit in the Europa League against Porto, VfB’s away form remains the big problem. The team urgently needs to stabilise here.
The recent 1-0 home win against direct rivals RB Leipzig was a real statement. With this success, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team regained fourth place in the table and demonstrated their home strength.
This discrepancy between home and away games is striking. At home, VfB scores an outstanding 2.46 points per game. On foreign grounds, the average is only a meagre 1.38 points per game.
The most important player remains striker Deniz Undav. He is not only the second-best scorer in the league, but also scored the decisive goal against Leipzig. With his 16 goals this season, he will also be in the spotlight in Augsburg.
In order to secure Champions League qualification, Stuttgart must find solutions to the away weakness. The game in Augsburg, against a strong opponent at home, will be the first big challenge.
