Bundesliga Austria, Sunday, 16/02/2025 at 5:00 pm
According to my Austria Vienna – Rapid Vienna betting tip, the “violets” have the slightly better cards in their hands. Due to a suspension, they are missing what is probably FAK’s best loan player in 5 years. But even without Perez Vinlof, the hosts should be able to perform strongly!
Austrian football fans are among the most pleasant in all of Europe – but emotions often run high in the Vienna city derby, too high. That is precisely why special security precautions are being taken on Sunday!
The next Vienna derby will take place under special circumstances: Due to the serious riots after the last duel, in which there were over 577 reports and ten injured police officers, the game will be played without away fans.
Rapid and Austria each had to pay a 150,000 euro fine, but agreed to a four-game fan ban for guest teams. The next derby will take place in the sold-out Austria Stadium with over 15,000 fans.
The away sector will not remain empty – social institutions have been invited. Rapid fan merchandise is prohibited. Similar measures were last taken in 2015 after equally violent riots.
In addition, both clubs have a lot at stake, which further increases the explosive nature of this derby.
Rapid, in fact, has to keep up with the top teams after the disappointing 1-3 defeat against Wolfsberger AC in the second half of the season.
Unlike other well-known city derbies, I would grant the home team certain advantages over the rival here, unlike in Rome or Milan.
Because, unlike in these two Italian metropolises, both Austria and Rapid have their own unique venues, similar to Istanbul.
And the fact that the “Violets” have not yet lost a Bundesliga game in this context in the Generali Arena this season cannot be completely ignored (7 wins, 1 draw).
The yellow card suspension of Matteo Perez Vinlöf will weaken the “Violets” defense somewhat, there is no doubt about that.
The 19-year-old Swede is an important loan signing from Bayern, who have helped FAK to establish the best defense in the Bundesliga, with only 16 goals conceded.
Rapid Vienna, on the other hand, has to contend with significantly more adversity.
Not only is the support of their own fans cancelled, but their successes during the winter break were only a deceptive mirage (4 wins in 4 games).
If we exclude the short breather, Rapid have not scored the maximum in four Bundesliga games (2 draws, 2 defeats).
The Austria Vienna Rapid Vienna odds of the best betting providers in the Alpine Republic as well as in the neighboring Federal Republic have meanwhile turned out to be very balanced.
So balanced that I am open to the generous Austria Vienna odds for a home win of 2.40 on average.
Also because the “Veilchen” are really eager to get revenge for the 2-1 defeat they suffered in the first half of the season at the hands of their city rivals, and are now playing much better football than they did on matchday 7.
What does surprise me, though, is that some sports betting apps have called out under-2.5-goal odds of 1.85 on average, which I also consider to be relatively generous.
Why? Well, Rapid is demonstrably the club that scores the fewest Bundesliga goals on average when they play away from home – only 2.00 per game.
Furthermore, more than half of the last 13 Vienna Derbies – seven to be precise – ended either 0-0 or 1-1.
So a draw is undoubtedly an option this time too, but I am ultimately leaning towards a narrow 1-0 victory for the “Violets”.
Conclusion: The capital derby between Austria Vienna and Rapid promises to be exciting again. While the “Veilchen” only have to cope with the absence of defensive leader Matteo Perez Vinlof, a lot speaks for them.
Rapid continues to struggle with form and could dig in deep to stabilize defensively.
Nevertheless, Austria, which is known to be dominant at the Generali Arena, should take its chances and get the three points.
A heated derby is to be expected, with the “Violets” as favorites.
My Austria Vienna Rapid Vienna betting tip: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals.
