Barcelona – Alaves Tip La Liga, Matchday 14 on Saturday, 29.11.25 at 16:15 CET
Hansi Flick was amazed on the sidelines during the week. But honestly, what the Blues played for football at Stamford Bridge at times was completely crazy.
But the 3-0 defeat against the Londoners still had one good thing: It indirectly strengthened me in my Barcelona Alaves tip for next Saturday.
It was the Catalans’ 5th competitive game in a row that saw the 3.5-goal mark break! I decided on the somewhat riskier variant with 3.5 goals in the game, because a home win and over 2.5 goals does not meet my minimum requirement for the odds of 1.45. In the last 15 competitive games, this goal mark has been exceeded.
Deportivo, meanwhile, is a tough eleven, I have to give that to the underdog. They have lost six La Liga games this season, but each time by only one goal.
However, the conditions are particularly unfavourable for the guests this time: 90 minutes at Camp Nou against the furious Blaugrana after the Champions League defeat? The defensive bulwark should crumble early!
Barcelona vs. Alaves AI Predictions:
1st goal: Robert Lewandowski is a slightly bold suggestion at odds of around 3.75, which our Barcelona Alaves AI prediction spits out – but definitely not unfounded.
The Pole needed just four minutes to net again in his first game at Camp Nou in a long time and should also have a good chance to push the ball over the line against one of his absolute favourite opponents.
In his last nine appearances against Alaves, the veteran scored a whopping seven goals – not infrequently even to make it 1-0. The chances of success of this bet are therefore extremely good!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Barcelona |
Draw |
Victory of Alaves |
| 78.1% |
13.6% |
8.3% |
1st half: Both score at odds around 4.05 is apparently another risky suggestion from our AI, but it enjoys at least as much raison d’être as the first one.
Because Barca’s high advancement to the midfield line always favors a turbulent course of play. In fact, in 46% of all La Liga games this season, both sides have been able to net before the break.
The fact that most goals are scored in the second half is also statistically justified. Because in 8 of FC Barcelona’s last 10 home games against Alaves, more goals have actually been scored after the break than before.
What you need to know about Barcelona vs. Alaves betting
- FC Barcelona’s last 5 games have all ended with over 3.5 goals, the last 15 with over 2.5.
- In five of FC Barcelona’s last seven games, there has been a red card; two of them for the respective opponent.
- Only one team has received more yellow cards than Alaves (30) before this matchday.
- All six of Alaves’ league defeats this season have been by just one goal.
