Barcelona – Athletic Bilbao Tip Super Cup Spain 2025/26 on Wednesday, 07.01.26 at 20:00
Numerous European Super Cup finals are currently being played in the Arab world. Some of them will take place with semi-final pairings, while others will be limited to a duel between the two most successful teams of the previous season.
In my Barcelona Athletic Bilbao tip, however, I’m less interested in the tournament mode, but only in the best boosts from Winamax and the betting option “Win FCB with HC -1”. If successful, this would currently give me odds of around 2.25.
And I think the risk is manageable. Because Barca recently celebrated their eighth competitive win in a row, is hardly plagued by injuries and has already made the Basques look pretty old in the 2025/26 season …
Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao AI Predictions:
The Basques may have won this trophy in 2021, but in the here and now they seem weak to me. Our Barcelona Athletic Bilbao AI prediction shares this sentiment, as the betting recommendations generated here seem to confirm this suspicion.
Victory Barcelona with HC -2 is more profitable than my own suggestion at odds around 3.95, but it also requires much more courage. Personally, I am not willing to muster the same courage, but I can absolutely understand the derivation of the AI.
Do you remember the Catalans’ 4-0 home win over Bilbao on 22 November? Impressive, without question. But the xG value of Flick’s team was only 1.99 and would probably have deserved a 2-0 win due to the quality of the chances …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Barcelona |
Draw |
Win Athletic Bilbao |
| 63.2% |
21.6% |
15.2% |
On the other hand, there is very little to complain about the AI proposal Lamine Yamal meets odds around 1.95.
In fact, I’ll only say this much: The prodigy has scored at least one goal in 3 of the Catalans’ last 4 Supercopa appearances, including the 2-0 semi-final victory over their upcoming opponents from last season.
2nd half: FCB over 1.5 goals at odds around 2.42 sounds a bit more daring at first glance than the aforementioned player bet – but it’s not necessarily!=
In fact, it is one of the general tendencies of Flick’s team to significantly increase the pressure only after the change of ends. Significantly, the Blaugrana have scored 10 of their last 11 goals in all competitions after the half-time break.
What you need to know about Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao betting
- 10 of FC Barcelona’s last 11 goals came after half-time.
- Four of Barcelona’s last five Supercopa matches have ended in wins by more than one goal (losing 1).
- 7 of Athletic Bilbao’s last 9 matches have ended with Under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Athletic Bilbao’s five Supercopa defeats have come with a deficit of at least two goals.
