Bayern – Augsburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 19 on Saturday, 24.01.2026 at 15:30 CET
Bayern were visibly irritated by the referee in the Champions League on Wednesday, but I agree with Michael Ballack: The yellow-red card against Kim Min-jae was justified – the plucker simply didn’t have to be!
This had hardly any influence on the outcome of the game, nor on my Bayern Augsburg tip for the 19th Bundesliga matchday: Victory FCB with HC -2 had been clear to me for a long time.
The only open question is which Betano odds boost I use to make the odds of 1.78 even more attractive.
One thing is clear: Against the Belgians during the week, the Munich team only showed 60% of their potential – so they have saved a lot for the Fuggerstädter!
My Bayern Augsburg tip is also based on the fact that the Fuggerstädter have regularly failed against the Munich team in recent years in their attempt to make life difficult for them!
The record champions have won the last six Bundesliga duels against FC Augsburg after losing 1-0 away in September 2022.
Attention: Of all current Bundesliga clubs, Bayern only have a higher points per game against Wolfsburg (2.54) than against FCA (2.45).
Bayern – Augsburg Prediction & Betting
I personally wouldn’t have let Kane shoot the second penalty, as he had already converted the first against Union St. Gilloise – a second attempt usually benefits the keeper!
In my Bayern Augsburg AI prediction, I still rely on the Englishman once again – and how! Because 1st half: Kane scores at odds around 2.55 is an integral part of my extended betting slip.
Bayern wins both halves at odds around 1.78 is another viable option at any good betting site with PayPal as a means of payment.
Because the Fuggerstädter could look extremely vulnerable without the suspended Noahkai Banks – after all, the yellow sinner has been in the FCA starting eleven without interruption alongside Robin Fellhauer since Matchday 6.
His absence will be clearly felt sooner or later against the Munich goal factory!
What you need to consider when betting on Bayern vs. Augsburg
- Bayern Munich celebrated eight wins in nine home games and scores over four goals per game at the Allianz Arena.
- Augsburg is in acute relegation trouble directly above the relegation place after only one win from seven games.
- The matches between the two teams are among the highest-scoring in the league with an average of well over four goals.
- Harry Kane is the clear favourite to score in this derby with a calculated scoring rate of 71 per cent.
Bayern – Augsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Courageous – that’s all I can think of about the first suggestion of our Bayern Augsburg AI forecast right off the bat.
Because the selection Bayern wins despite conceding a goal assumes that the Fuggerstädter with their rather meagre eight away goals in the Bundesliga will now score in the fearsome Allianz Arena.
However, in practice they succeed in doing so not so rarely: In four of the last five direct duels against their strong neighbours, they never came away empty-handed in terms of goals.
I still have my reservations, but if this suggestion convinces you more than me, the odds of about 2.27 are definitely worth a try!
Furthermore, our AI bettor also recommends the selection Bayern over 3.5 goals at odds around 2.05.
For me personally, that’s okay, given the fact that Bayern have held back in the Champions League during the week and have scored at least twice in each of their last 26 Bundesliga games.
Against the mediocre Fuggerstädter on Saturday, there will certainly be one or two more goals than would normally be the case!
The best odds for Bayern vs. Augsburg
The bookmakers assume that Bayern Augsburg have a clear favourite: Even with a full Champions League programme, the Munich team should have no difficulty in picking up the three points!
An FCB home win is 1.08. The markets are thus signalling a very one-sided course: quality, squad depth and individual class clearly speak for the home side. Even a rotational assignment doesn’t seem to make much difference here.
The draw is 11.0. The bookmakers consider a split of points to be extremely unlikely – only a complete slip or an extraordinary course of play could stop the record champions.
An away win by Augsburg is recorded at 22.0. The quota underlines the underdog role of the Fuggerstädter: Chances of success are considered minimal, almost symbolic.
The Bayern Augsburg odds thus paint a picture that leaves hardly any room for surprises – a mandatory victory for the record champions, in which the bookmakers expect a sovereign performance.
Bayern vs Augsburg Match Analysis:
I think it’s clear to all of you how the game will go: Bayern will dictate the game from the start, while Augsburg will desperately try not to be completely overrun.
If Bayern ignite their fire – and I firmly believe they will – the score on the scoreboard could skyrocket in a flash!
After all, the Munich team has shown many times this season how strong their offense is. Three times they scored four goals, three times five goals, twice six goals, and on matchday 16 they even beat Wolfsburg 8-1.
Augsburg, on the other hand, has the third-worst defence in the league, has already conceded 35 goals, an average xGA of 1.80 per game and on top of that – as already mentioned – lost the last six duels against the record champions.
A debacle seems to be programmed, especially since Bayern score ice-cold even with few chances and Augsburg will not offer any starting points for resistance.
Bayern Form Check
Bayern should hardly stumble against Augsburg. The 2-0 win against Union St. Gillioise during the week was achieved without full intensity, and Augsburg will probably be able to counter the Munich team even less than the Belgians.
Bayern are unbeaten in the Bundesliga for 27 games (22 wins, 5 draws) and are on course to further extend their already impressive points average of 2.78 per game.
With this rate, they could end up with around 94 points at the end of the season – a new Bundesliga record.
In addition, they lead the league in expected goals (xG) with 53.9, 17.15 above average, and are also the strongest offensive team among the top 5 leagues in Europe with 2.99 xG per game.
In short, it could be a long and bitter afternoon for the Fuggerstädter on Saturday.
Augsburg Form Check
Augsburg took a 2-0 lead against Freiburg early in the second half last Sunday with two goals in just two minutes, but still had to settle for just one point in the end, as SCF came back in a turbulent second half.
Manuel Baum’s half-time decision to substitute Elvis Rexhbecaj for the injured Kristijan Jakic paid off immediately: Augsburg scored in quick succession, first through Claude-Maurice, who scored his second goal of the season, followed directly by Rexhbecaj.
However, the draw leaves Augsburg in a precarious 15th place in the table, only three points above the relegation place.
The aforementioned Alexis Claude-Maurice, who recently scored in consecutive Bundesliga games for the first time after 24 goalless games, was the most striking player in the match against the Breisgau team.
With intelligent positional play and clever combination play, he caused Freiburg problems all afternoon and was unlucky that his late attempt was brilliantly parried by Ogbus.
Nevertheless, securing points in Munich should be almost impossible with or without him! Augsburg have only picked up four points away from home so far.
