Bayern – Chelsea Prediction Champions League, Matchday 1 on Wednesday, 09/17/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
Bayern have put together a really great squad for 2025/26, and with Leverkusen’s Werkself struggling, this Bundesliga season seems easier than ever to defend their title. But what about internationally?
According to my Bayern Chelsea prediction, pretty good. Home win bets at Winamax and other bookmakers with good betting apps could indeed pay off on Wednesday if the record champions deliver what they are capable of.
The decisive factor is the quality of Munich’s offense. Kompany’s team has not only won the xG duel in all five competitive games since the start of the new season, but has also clearly dominated with an average of 2.00 more than their respective opponents!
English teams usually have little to smile about at home against the all-powerful Bayern.
In their last 11 home games against Premier League clubs in the Champions League, Munich have conceded only one defeat (1-3 against Klopp’s Liverpool in March 2019).
During this period, Bayern defeated five English teams at the Allianz Arena, including Chelsea (3 wins), Arsenal 1, Man City 1, Man Utd (2), and Tottenham 1.
Bayern – Chelsea Prediction & Bets
FCB win & Both teams to score could prove to be a really smart move in the Bwin app, especially at average Bayern Chelsea odds of around 2.82.
The Munich team is the Munich team, but the Blues are also likely to get their chance at times. After all, Chelsea FC has scored at least two goals in 8 of its last 9 competitive games!
One Londoner who could score is clearly Cole Palmer. His goal ratio of around 4.20 is just as impressive as his record in international matches.
After all, the national player has been directly involved in a total of eight goals (3 goals, 5 assists) in his last eight European Cup games.
What you need to know about Bayern vs. Chelsea betting
- Bayern are unbeaten in their last 34 home games in the Champions League group stage (32 wins, 2 draws), specifically since their 3-2 defeat to Manchester City in December 2013.
- Chelsea have won 15 of their last 23 Champions League group stage games (6 draws, 2 losses).
- Bayern have won their opening game in 21 of the last 22 Champions League seasons, 18 of those without conceding a goal.Joshua Kimmich has led all UCL players in passes (2,525) and chances created (83) since 2022/23.
Bayern – Chelsea: AI tip & odds analysisSome of our AI assistant’s Bayern Chelsea tips are quite impressive – for example, the selection of a half-time score of 1-1 at average betting odds of 2.50.
A start-to-finish victory for the hosts? Why not! FC Bayern Munich has the highest win rate in the group and league stages of the UEFA Champions League (73%) and has won 93 of its 128 games outside the knockout rounds.
Bayern over 2.5 goals is also worth considering at odds of 2.56 on average, regardless of the outcome of the game. Just as the record champions recently swept aside the Hanseatic team, they could also checkmate the Londoners on Wednesday.
Speaking of HSV: The record champions led 2-0 after just ten minutes of play at the weekend, which is why I can give our AI model’s recommendation of 1st goal: Bayern a thumbs up, even at odds of around 1.50.
The best odds for Bayern vs. Chelsea
Bayern vs. Chelsea – a duel that promises international class and really sets the betting slip alight.
At NEO.bet, where you can also get the odds boost mentioned above, Betano, and Bet365, you’ll find the most exciting odds: around 1.65 for a Bayern home win, 4.30 for a draw, and 4.70 if the Blues from London spring a surprise.
It is precisely this combination of favorite strength and underdog chances that makes the game so appealing for soccer betting.
Those who combine cleverly or love the thrill can reap considerable value here with a well-placed bet.
A match where excitement on the pitch and on your betting slip go hand in hand.
Bayern vs Chelsea match analysis:
After winning the Club World Cup in the summer, Chelsea are entering the Champions League with high ambitions, but this time they face a Bayern side that is the clear favorite across all betting markets and wants to get off to a strong start in Europe.
The Blues are used to dictating the game, but that will be difficult against Munich. Bayern forces control of the game and has an offensive power that should repeatedly push Chelsea deep into their own half.
With an average of 4.67 goals per Bundesliga game, they are 1.42 goals ahead of Barcelona and Lille, the second most productive goal machines in Europe.
Luis Diaz harmonizes well with Michael Olise and Harry Kane, making the wings extremely dangerous. Chelsea must cover these players closely to prevent big chances.
At the same time, Chelsea must be careful when they have the ball. Bayern allow only 8.99 passes per defensive action—the lowest in the league—and force their opponents into mistakes when building up play.
Nevertheless, Chelsea have the potential to counterattack and be dangerous. Cole Palmer returned and scored in the 2-2 draw with Brentford, and his creativity could put the fast wingers in good positions.
All in all, there are many indications that Bayern will apply a lot of pressure, but there will also be chances for the Blues in the form of successful transitions.
Bayern form check
Bayern Munich is starting the 2025/26 Bundesliga season with great confidence after winning the title under Vincent Kompany. The signing of Jonathan Tah from Bayer Leverkusen noticeably strengthens the defense, ensuring an optimal balance between attack and defense.
The season’s games so far underscore this form: a 2-1 win in the Franz Beckenbauer Super Cup against Stuttgart and convincing Bundesliga performances, including a 6-0 win against Leipzig and a 5-0 win against promoted HSV.
Harry Kane plays a key role, scoring twice at the weekend and demonstrating both his finishing skills and playmaking qualities. Supported by Michael Olise and Luis Díaz, the Bayern offense has already scored 11 goals in three Bundesliga games.
With new signing Nicolas Jackson, who could make his Champions League debut against his former club Chelsea, the attack gains additional firepower.
Bayern’s experience on the European stage also speaks for itself: they have reached the quarterfinals in each of the last six seasons, while Chelsea are returning to the Champions League after a long hiatus.
Chelsea form check
Chelsea has made a promising start to the Premier League season and is one of three unbeaten teams in the league so far, even if they recently missed out on the chance to top the table.
The Blues were even behind at halftime against Brentford, prompting coach Enzo Maresca to make three substitutions.
The substitution of Cole Palmer proved to be a stroke of luck: the striker scored his first non-penalty goal since January.
Moises Caicedo seemed to have secured the victory, but Brentford managed to equalize in stoppage time after a long throw-in – a sign of latent defensive weaknesses …
With the upcoming top matches against Bayern Munich and Manchester United in mind, Maresca’s focus is now on optimal rotation.
Unlike last season, when Chelsea often relied on reserve players in the Conference League, every European appearance is now important.
Finding the right balance between young talent and experienced professionals will be crucial to maintaining competitiveness.
