Bundesliga 23rd matchday, Sunday, 2/23/2025 at 5:30 pm
That was really close! FC Bayern only just avoided extra time against the Scots in the premier class. But the question remains: are the Munich team really firmly in the saddle?
They now need to beat Eintracht to avoid FCB going three competitive games without a win for the first time since October.
However, in my Bayern Frankfurt betting tip, I expect that the final result could really shake the betting providers. That’s because I actually think SGE can pull off an upset at the Allianz Arena. The record number of 42 home wins in the Bundesliga against Frankfurt Eintracht underlines Munich’s dominance.
But the 2024/25 season already saw an unexpected turn of events with the 3-3 draw in Frankfurt, in which Bayern even gave away points after taking the lead.
In this context, the question arises: will the record champions find victory easier this time, or do they face an insurmountable task?
For Frankfurt, on the other hand, it is about proving that they are a team that can hold its own against big names even without Omar Marmoush, who has moved to the Citizens.
What do the betting providers predict?
The Bayern Frankfurt odds of the betting providers have been clearly designed in favor of the Munich team, with respective values of 1.30 for a home win, 6.25 for a draw and 8.00 for an away win.
But those of you who have seen the record champions’ Celtic game know that such odds do not always reflect the whole truth.
SGE has shown time and again in the past that they don’t go down easily, especially when they’re on top of their game.
The bookmakers seem to be betting too heavily on Bayern’s dominance here, as Eintracht could definitely put up more of a fight than the odds suggest.
AI prediction Bayern vs Frankfurt: That’s what ChatGPT predicts
The Bayern Frankfurt AI prediction from ChatGPT once again provides some really interesting clues for promising football bets with different risk levels.
For example, “Hugo Ekitike scores” is recommended for the high-risk category. I think that’s a great tip! Since Marmoush has been gone, Ekitike has been in the spotlight more and the Frenchman has already scored against Bayern in the first leg.
For a medium risk, on the other hand, there is the suggestion “Frankfurt wins with handicap +2” at 2.05. I also like that very much. Especially since this bet not only doubles if you win, but as a new customer you can also get a freebet without a deposit with the Betano promotional code in addition to the new customer bonus.
I am assuming that Bayern will only win by a single goal difference, if at all, which makes this tip quite attractive.
For the football fans among you who instead take a safety-first approach to betting, ChatGPT recommends “SGE scores a goal”.
I fully agree with this suggestion too – this is a bet I can blindly back. In the last five direct duels, there has always been a goal from Eintracht.
Analysis: Bayern vs. Frankfurt
Bayern has the big advantage of not having to worry about any other failures except for substitute goalkeeper Peretz. This is particularly advantageous in these game-intensive European Cup weeks.
However, due to their recent poor performances, I am personally not overly optimistic.
Bayern had a very difficult time against Celtic in both Champions League play-off games and only managed a 0-0 draw against Leverkusen in the Bundesliga with an xG value of just 0.05.
Frankfurt, on the other hand, recently went through a slightly worrying phase in the league, which they survived without defeat (3 draws).
However, this was followed by a convincing 3-1 win over Kiel, in which Can Yilmaz Uzun in particular had an outstanding performance.
Given that Eintracht didn’t have to expend any additional energy in the Europa League, I’m quite optimistic about the upcoming showdown against Munich.
Odds Analysis
SGE over 1.5 goals at 3.35 sounds really promising! Eintracht always has the potential to score two or three against Bayern in the second leg, especially if they can build up their attacking pressure.
“Both score” at 1.62 on the Bet365 app is also a solid choice. The last five direct duels all met this condition.
Bayern vs. Frankfurt: Will the offense decide the game?
It would be very unusual for Bayern’s offense to put in such a weak performance as against Leverkusen. For the first time since detailed data collection began in the 2004/05 season, Bayern only managed to get two shots on target in a Bundesliga game.
Nevertheless, FCB leads the league this season with the most goals (65), the highest xG value (54.4) and the most “big chances” (107).
Eintracht Frankfurt follows in second place in all three categories (49 goals, the same number as Leverkusen, 44.0 xG, 72 “big chances”).
In short: based on the data, this game should certainly not end goalless.
FCB – SGE: goals galore?
Goals on both sides are in my opinion actually a very promising tip, for the following reason: Bayern and Frankfurt are the only two teams that have only scored once this Bundesliga season (Bayern last in Leverkusen).
After a 2-0 defeat in Dortmund on the first matchday, Frankfurt have scored in each of the last 21 league games, which is the longest scoring run in the league.
Would you have known that? Eintracht only had an even longer streak between 2020 and 2021 (23 games).
Just as BVB seemed unbeatable at home at the start of the season, the aura of invincibility now seems to be hovering over the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern have won their last nine Bundesliga home games – and for the first time since 2020.
In each of these nine games, they have scored at least three goals. In the history of the Bundesliga, only Bayern itself has managed a longer streak of this kind: 1993 with 11 consecutive home games in which they scored at least three goals.
The usual suspects? Harry Kane and Hugo Ekitiké are definitely exciting candidates for a goal bet. Kane has the highest expected goal value in the Bundesliga at 16.0 and exceeded his xG by five goals (21 goals).
Ekitiké has an xG of 15.0 so far, which means he should have scored more often. He has scored three goals less than expected so far, which is a larger negative deviation.
However, this is offset by the fact that the Frenchman has already scored in his first two Bundesliga games against Bayern.
My tip
With a Bayern win, you won’t win much! I’d rather speculate on a surprisingly good performance by Eintracht, which wouldn’t be that surprising to me.
Beating the Hessians will certainly not be easy, especially if the record champions build on their last performances. Because even without Marmoush, Eintracht is certainly not at a loss!
My Bayern Frankfurt tip: Double chance X2 & over 1.5 goals.
