Bayern – Frankfurt Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 23 on Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 15:30 CET
I’ve taken a closer look at the upcoming Bundesliga cracker for you and provide you with my detailed Bayern Frankfurt tip here. The Munich team wants to extend their lead in the table on matchday 23, while Eintracht is fighting for the European places.
My main tip for this match is the combination “Win Bayern & Both score”. For this you get a strong odd of about 2.00 at Bet-at-home, which I think is very promising. Bayern are a force at home, but the defense is not always solid.
Especially the absence of regular goalkeeper Manuel Neuer could play into Frankfurt’s hands. This significantly increases the chance of Bayern conceding a goal and makes our tip all the more attractive. The odds therefore have absolute value for me.
Last weekend, both teams won 3-0. Bayern won at Werder Bremen, while Frankfurt ended a dry spell of seven winless league games at home against Gladbach. That should provide self-confidence.
Nevertheless, the bookmakers see the roles clearly distributed. The Bayern Frankfurt odds indicate that the experts assume a 49 percent probability of a victory for the Munich team with at least a three-goal difference.
Kick-off at the Allianz Arena is on Saturday afternoon at 15:30 CET. Bayern are six points ahead of Dortmund at the top. Frankfurt is lurking in seventh place and wants to at least make it into the Conference League. So excitement is guaranteed.
Bayern – Frankfurt Prediction & Betting
In addition to my main tip, I have a few other interesting Bayern Frankfurt bets for you on the list. An obvious, but low-odds bet is of course the home win of Bayern. At bookmakers with a German license, there are at least odds of 1.18 for this.
This odd is hardly suitable for a single bet, but it is a solid bank for your combination bets on the weekend. It’s really hard to find arguments against a home win for the record champions, even if the question is how high it will be.
Another exciting option is the Bet-Builder bet “Win Bayern & Under 5 Bayern goals & Under 6 goals in the match” at odds of 1.70 at Bet365. Although Bayern score an average of over four goals at home, Frankfurt has stabilised their defence under the new coach.
What you need to consider when betting on Bayern vs. Frankfurt
- Bayern are a goal machine at home, scoring an average of 4.09 goals per 90 minutes at the Allianz Arena. That’s 18 goals more than second-placed TSG Hoffenheim.
- Frankfurt’s offense was harmless in the only away game under coach Albert Riera. Against Union Berlin, Eintracht only had an xG value of 0.14.
- Our AI tool predicts a 53.2% chance that fewer than four goals will be scored in the match. The expected total is 3.89 goals.
- Harry Kane is in top form. The Englishman scored twice against Bremen and has now scored ten goals in his last ten competitive games. In the league, he has 26 goals in 22 games.
Bavaria – Frankfurt: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Of course, our AI model will also be part of the game on Bundesliga matchday 23 and presents you with more betting alternatives in its Bayern Frankfurt AI prediction.
Unsurprisingly, the digital brain assumes that Bayern will make things clear right from the start. “FCB leads at half-time” is the logical consequence in betting form. The odds of about 1.45 are also within the range as a single bet.
How many goals will Bayern score? Since the SGE has recently stabilized defensively, the AI brings “Bayern under 3.5 goals” into play. The odds of about 1.70 are quite generous in my opinion.
The “3:1 for Bayern” is the AI’s risk bet. With odds around 10.5, you have to show strong nerves, of course. Or you can go straight into the race with a free bet and save your own capital.
The best odds for Bayern vs. Frankfurt
Our internal analysis tool takes an exciting look at the Bayern – Frankfurt betting odds. It sees the Munich team as the clear winner with a probability of 77.6%, while a draw is 12.9% and an away win is only 9.4%.
The bookmakers go even further. The current odds for the 1X2 market imply a whopping 84% chance of victory for Bayern in front of their home crowd. Frankfurt is the clear underdog with an implied chance of only 8%.
It gets interesting with the goal bet. The Asian Handicap Line for over-goals is 4.0, which is understandable given the high-scoring games of both teams. Both Bayern (4.59) and Frankfurt (4.09) lead the league in terms of average number of goals per game.
However, our AI forecast here contradicts the expectations of the bookies. Our model calculates a total of 3.89 expected goals (xG), divided between 2.95 for Bayern and 0.95 for Eintracht. That supports the bet on under four goals.
The Asian Handicap Line for the outcome of the game is -2.25 for Bayern. That’s a board, but the Munich team have cracked this handicap in seven of eleven home games this season. Frankfurt, however, has lost only one of three lost games away from home by more than two goals.
The absolute top favourite to score is of course Harry Kane. After his brace in Bremen, he is hot and wants to further expand his outstanding goal rate. A bet on him as a goalscorer is always worth considering, but the odds are correspondingly low.
Bayern vs Frankfurt Match Analysis:
I’m expecting a dominant performance from Bayern, who will face a Frankfurt team that has only won twice in all competitions since the beginning of December. Vincent Kompany’s team will want to control the game from the start.
The figures speak for themselves. Bayern have the highest xG value in the league at 65.7, a whopping 23.2 more than the runners-up from Leipzig. So we can assume that the hosts will create a wealth of chances.
Frankfurt’s defence is vulnerable. The Hessians have conceded the second most goals in the league, with an average of 2.09 goals per game. Of course, it will be extremely difficult against the best offense in the league.
Even in the first leg, the Munich team hardly gave Eintracht any room to breathe and only allowed a single shot on their own goal. In the end, it was a commanding 3-0 victory for the record champions. A similar course of play is to be expected this time.
However, there is a small glimmer of hope for the guests. Bayern’s extremely high defensive chain always offers space for fast counter-attackers, and this is exactly where Frankfurt’s nimble attackers could become dangerous.
For Bayern, there is no room for negligence. The lead over Dortmund has melted to six points and next weekend the classic at Signal Iduna Park is on the agenda. A loss of a point against Frankfurt would only give BVB more courage.
Bayern Form Check
Bayern are leading the table, but have let Dortmund come back in recent weeks. The once comfortable lead of eleven points has melted away after a surprising 2-1 home defeat against Augsburg and a 2-2 draw in Hamburg.
Despite this small phase of weakness, the form of the Munich team is impressive. They have lost only two of their last 42 Bundesliga games and have recently stabilised again with two wins in a row. The 3-0 win in Bremen was a clear statement.
Harry Kane in particular is in excellent shape. With his brace against Bremen, the English superstar not only broke the mark of 26 goals in 22 games, but also scored the 500th goal of his professional career.
Bayern’s offense breaks all records. With 80 goals in 22 games, they have an average of 3.72 goals per game, which is the best value in the history of the Bundesliga at this time. They are on course to break their own points record.
However, Bayern had to cope with a bitter setback during the week. Regular goalkeeper Manuel Neuer suffered an injury in the game against Bremen and is expected to be sidelined. He will be replaced by 22-year-old Jonas Urbig in goal.
Urbig has already made five Bundesliga appearances this season, but the absence of captain and leader Neuer is an enormous loss, both on the pitch and for the defensive organisation, which could be noticeable against Frankfurt.
Frankfurt Form Check
Frankfurt have had a difficult start to the new year, but under new coach Albert Riera, the turnaround is now to come. The first victory under the Spaniard, a clear 3-0 win against Gladbach, was an important step and the first clean sheet since December.
With this victory, Eintracht have moved up to seventh place in the table and are back within striking distance of the European places. The two full-backs Nathaniel Brown and Ayoube Amaimouni were particularly convincing against Gladbach and entered their names on the scoresheet.
The signature of the new coach Riera is already recognizable, even if he is still in the process of implementing his ideas. The efficiency against Gladbach was positive, where three goals were scored from an xG value of only 1.46.
One of the main tasks for Riera will be to stabilize the shaky defense. With 46 goals conceded, only bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim has conceded more goals. This is the Achilles’ heel of the team, which urgently needs to be worked on.
Especially away from home, things are not going well for Eintracht at all. The last win away from home dates back to 22 November, this year they have not yet had a clean sheet and in nine of ten away games they have both scored and conceded a goal.
In view of this record, an away game at the sovereign league leader from Munich seems to be an almost impossible task. It will be exciting to see whether Frankfurt can withstand the pressure and cause a surprise.
