Bundesliga Matchday 2, Saturday, 01.09.2024 at 17:30
If we compare the record champions’ Bundesliga opener with a high jump, then you could say that the bar has wobbled quite a bit.
But over the bar is over the bar – and FCB were able to bag three important points that could ultimately make the difference between first and second place.
A not entirely straightforward task awaits on Bundesliga matchday 2, which could even hold a surprise or two according to the Bayern Freiburg AI prediction.
You get my very own Bayern Freiburg prediction on top of the one from ChatGPT for free:
Thomas Müller played his 709th competitive match for FC Bayern last week, tying him with Sepp Maier.
In the next game, he will become the sole record holder for the most appearances in Munich’s club history.
But even if the veteran’s contribution was crucial to the win against Wolfsburg, my Bayern Freiburg tip says there’s one player in particular who could add even more goal threat to Munich’s attack on Saturday
The prediction of the bookmakers?
Betting providers with Apple Pay as a payment option are no exception! Almost all bookmakers favor the unbeatable Munich on Saturday.
In all honesty, I have to tell you that the Bayern Freiburg odds of 1.23 on average for an FCB win are simply far too low, despite all the optimism.
If a classic 1X2 bet is to be financially worthwhile, then only if you believe in a surprise. The Freiburg odds, for example, gravitate around an astronomical value of around 12.0.
KI prediction Bayern vs Freiburg: This is what ChatGPT is betting on.
The Bayern Freiburg AI prediction from ChatGPT has some interesting tips. I agree with the win for Bayern as a low-risk tip (grade 3), but with the low odds – as already mentioned – there is far too little profit.
However, I disagree with the medium risk betting tip with over 3.5 goals (grade 4), as the tendency points to a game with fewer goals – I personally would have preferred an “under”
The risk tip with a goal from Gnabry and a Bayern win, on the other hand, is simply brilliant (grade 1+).
I came up with exactly this combination bet, which you can also find on the Oddset app, even before my AI survey – a sensible tip with strong value, no question!
Consequently, I see this as confirmation that Serge Gnabry will indeed lead the record champions to their second win in their second game on Saturday!
Analysis: Bayern vs Freiburg
Thomas Müller’s substitution proved decisive against Wolfsburg the previous week, turning a shock deficit into a 3-2 win for the record champions.
Incidentally, the visitors on Saturday are a club that, statistically speaking, is fighting a losing battle – even if there is really nothing to complain about in the 3:1 opening win over Stuttgart.
Watch out for that when the sports club from the beautiful Black Forest get on the team bus to head for Munich
SC Freiburg have yet to win a Bundesliga match when visiting the record champions (3 draws, 21 defeats).
A 2-1 win in the DFB Cup quarter-finals of the 2022/23 season represents the only success for Freiburg on the green turf of the Allianz Arena to date.
But it could be worse! Only Munich themselves have hosted another team at home more often in their history without ever losing: VfL Wolfsburg (28 home games; 26 wins, 2 draws).
Odds analysis
Bet on the in-form Serge Gnabry to score against the Breisgauers on Saturday – because the odds of 2.50 promise a decent profit even as a single selection and remain my hottest Bayern Freiburg betting tip for Saturday!
When it comes to the total number of goals, on the other hand, it’s worth placing a bet on under 4.5 goals, as Bayern won’t end up in a goal frenzy. The bookmakers are offering attractive odds of 1.57.
For an almost certain selection at Betano, we recommend the bet on “FCB wins without conceding a goal” with odds of around 2.37.
Bayern will probably keep their defense stable and, after their performance against the Wolves, will be very careful not to give their opponents an abundance of big chances again.
Bayern vs. Freiburg odds: Unbeatable at home?
Bayern are not only dominant at home against Freiburg, but also against almost every other Bundesliga team.
After all, Bayern won 14 of their 17 home games in the last Bundesliga season alone (1 draw, 2 defeats) and, together with Leverkusen, had the best home record in the league.
B04 only picked up two more points at home (45) than Bayern (43).
Incidentally, the last time Munich won so many home games was in the 2017/18 season, when they also celebrated 14 victories at the Allianz Arena
FCB goal bet? Better Gnabry than Kane!
For the third time in the club’s history, SC Freiburg will be top of the table on a Bundesliga matchday, the last time being on matchday 7 of the 2022/23 season, when they drew 0-0 at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Last season, FC Bayern did not manage to win against teams at the top of the table: They drew once and lost once against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
But Freiburg is not Leverkusen, so my Bayern Freiburg betting tip assumes that the Munich fans will have more reason to smile than in the last few games against the Werkself.
If you want to place a goal bet, Serge Gnabry is the better choice compared to Harry Kane. I’ve emphasized this more than once, but now I’ll give you some concrete figures to back up this thesis!
Did you know that the Englishman only failed to score against Freiburg in the last Bundesliga season and came away empty-handed against Wolfsburg last weekend?
Gnabry, on the other hand, has already played a part in five goals in the first six Bundesliga games of the 2024 season (4 goals, 1 assist).
He only needed an average of 59 minutes per goal – the best figure of all players with at least five goals or assists.
On the first matchday of the new season, he even had the most shots (6) and the most contacts with the ball in the penalty area (11). This form and activity therefore make him a truly convincing candidate for a goalscorer bet against SC.
My Bayern Freiburg tip:
FC Bayern Munich will host SC Freiburg at the Allianz Arena next weekend.
While Bayern’s odds to win are very low, there is actually a lot to suggest a home win. Freiburg will probably be outclassed, but they are unlikely to concede completely.
A result of 2:0, 3:0 or even 4:0 in favor of the hosts seems most realistic.
Serge Gnabry, who has shown better form than Harry Kane recently and is therefore more likely to be a goalscorer for me, is particularly in focus.
Consequently, my Bayern Freiburg tip is: Bayern win and Gnabry scores
