La Liga, Wednesday, 18.09.2024 at 19:00
Wednesday is not normally a day on which La Liga matches are played. However, a match from matchday 3 still has to be made up. Good for me, because then I can redeem the new NEObet free bet right away.
In my Betis Sevilla Getafe betting tip, however, I make no secret of the fact that the home side are the obvious favorites.
However, various absences, a weak start to the season and the Europa League group stage looming on the horizon could play a nasty trick on the “Verdiblancos”…
The start to the new season has been anything but smooth for Betis. In the first three games, “los Verdiblancos” only managed one win (2 draws, 1 defeat).
However, last weekend’s success against newly promoted Leganés may have finally turned things around. It looked like another low-scoring game for a long time, until Betis broke through in the 70th minute and finally won 2-0.
Prior to this victory over the newcomers, the team had only scored one goal in the 2024/25 season. Now, this treble may have given them exactly the confidence they need to overcome such an attacking slump
In any case, the timing could hardly have been more opportune for a liberating blow, as Manuel Pellegrini is on the cusp of a historic record with his 489th La Liga game against Getafe on Wednesday: no foreign coach has overseen more games in the Spanish league.
It’s a shame that such interesting information can’t be turned into successful soccer bets. In any case, Betis will do everything in their power to crown this historic moment with a home win.
However, the Andalusians have not managed to win two home games in a row since November 2023.
And their next opponents could cause them problems again, as they have a completely even record against Getafe in their last eight games at the Estadio Benito Villamarín (2 wins, 3 draws).
On the other hand, Getafe are struggling. After a disappointing start, they are currently in the relegation zone – although that is certainly nothing new for the fans.
The recent 1-0 defeat against Sevilla was certainly somewhat unfortunate, but as we all know, close is as good as over.
Nevertheless, there was at least an improvement in the offense after hardly any goals were scored in the previous games (xG value: 0.79 against FCS).
They managed four shots on goal against Sevilla, compared to just one in the previous two games. Nevertheless, the goal drought remains a key problem, as Getafe have now failed to score a single goal in their last 270 La Liga minutes.
Getafe have performed particularly poorly away from home in recent months. The team has failed to score in six of its last eight away games in LaLiga (1 win, 2 draws, 5 defeats).
Nevertheless, the “Azulones’” setbacks are often unfortunate, as can be seen from the close results: In seven of these eight games, they conceded at most one goal, with four of these flops even ending 0:1.
That’s why I’m far from ready to write the visitors off prematurely. The current points tally doesn’t do justice to their actual performance and their weak offense – as already mentioned – improved significantly against Sevilla!
If we look at the upcoming betting scenarios for this clash between Betis Sevilla and Getafe, there is a good chance of a low-scoring game.
Any data analyst who has studied economics for at least one semester can attest to that
The past encounters speak volumes: In only two of the last nine games between these two teams have both teams scored.
So it seems obvious to bet on “Both teams to score? No!”, although the average odds of 1.65 don’t exactly knock my socks off here.
Another aspect that stands out is the low number of goals that have been scored in the last matches between these two teams.
Each of the last seven La Liga duels has never produced more than a maximum of two goals. A bet on “Under 2.5 goals” therefore also has a solid basis, even if the odds of 1.55 are nothing to get excited about.
With these meagre goal statistics in mind, betting on a low-scoring game is still the most promising bet, even if you can’t expect too much “value” from it
Betis Sevilla have a number of absentees to consider ahead of their clash against Getafe. The team could be weakened in attack in particular.
Congolese striker Cédric Bakambu is out with a muscle injury, which could paralyze Betis’ attacking play once again.
There are also concerns in defense: Marc Bartra is also missing with a muscle injury, which reduces the stability of the defense. And as if that wasn’t enough, they have other prominent absentees in William Carvalho (Achilles tendon injury) and Isco (leg injury).
Juanmi is also out with an ankle injury. So you might understand why the Andalusians’ poor start to the season has left a lot to be desired
That’s why I have the feeling that the visitors will successfully resist defeat.
After all, they have already avoided defeat at the Estadio Benito Villamarín on the last two occasions and are therefore in no way without a chance.
What’s more, Betis will not only have to cope with a number of absentees, but will also have to manage their strength well as the 2024/25 Conference League gets underway soon
Conclusion: The match promises to be another close affair, and my Betis Sevilla Getafe prediction relies on both a useful result for the visitors and less than 3.5 goals.
Getafe are under pressure to finally hit the net again, and they might actually do it this time. Betis’ recent win over a promoted side, on the other hand, doesn’t definitively convince me that they’ve actually found their form.
Both teams will probably be looking for their chances, but there’s a good chance that the game will remain low-scoring …
My tip: Double chance X2 & over 3.5 goals!
