NFL 2024/25: Bills – Dolphins
The pressure is immense for the Miami Dolphins, who need to go on a long winning streak to make the playoffs. However, the chances are slim and now the second game against the Bills is coming up.
Tua Tagovailoa suffered another concussion in the first duel and has only been back on the field since the last match. In my Bills Dolphins tip, I see the hosts as more stable.
However, the Dolphins should also put some scores on the board under pressure. I’m betting that Tyrek Hill’s offense will score at least one touchdown in each half, using Bet365’s betting configurator
If you’ve read my last NFL texts and played along with the odds, you should be familiar with Bet365’s betting configurator by now. It’s definitely a great companion for the NFL season to build good overall odds.
At Bet365 and Winamax, you can also watch all NFL games live on stream, although the resolution cannot keep up with RTL or DAZN. The single game in the 7 p.m. slot on DAZN that you can watch without a Game Pass is this time the Bills against the Dolphins.
I don’t like to bet on the outcome of the game, in my Bills tip against the Ravens I gave Buffalo a bit of an edge and yet the bet missed.
However, it remains my only NFL loss in the regular season so far. Five picks, four odds hits. For the top game of the AFC East, I want to record the next success.
For the first game between the Dolphins and Bills, my colleague Christian has cleared a whopping 2.55 odds, correctly predicted the Bills victory and expects the visitors to put at least 22 points on the scoreboard.
Buffalo is also the favorite for the reunion at home in Highmark Stadium. Betano gives Buffalo a 1.38, Miami a 3.15, a pretty clear difference.
31:10 ended the first game, I don’t expect it to be that clear this time. The handicap for the Bills is -6.5, so I see value here for an edge bet for the team from the state of Florida. A 1.52 is still waiting for a win with +9.5 points.
Anyone who watched the first game, which took place in the middle of the night German time, knows that Buffalo did a solid job, but that Miami ultimately made life difficult for itself with three interceptions.
Then the star quarterback, who was having a rough day, dropped out before the fourth quarter. Without Tagovailoa in the final phase and despite the three costly missed passes in the NFL, the hosts managed a whopping 351 yards.
In the end, the Bills conceded just ten points, the most they have conceded in the last two matches against the Titans and Seahawks. Josh Allen and his troops were able to notch up their third win in a row, two quite comfortable ones recently.
A thorn in Allen’s side will be the first interception he threw in adverse weather conditions in Seattle. In terms of QB rating, he is still right at the top. His 14:1 record is still fabulous.
The defense has been more stable again in recent matches. But I don’t really trust it yet, especially when Miami’s star-studded offense, which racked up 377 yards in Tua’s comeback last week, comes calling.
28 completions out of 38 attempts doesn’t read too bad, and Miami covered 234 yards via the passing game. Raheem Mostert also contributed two touchdowns via the run game. The 27-28 loss to the Cardinals was bitter in the end.
The Dolphins scored a touchdown in each half, just like in the first game week against the Jaguars. And even against the Bills it would have been enough for one in each half without Tagovailoa’s injury. That’s because they were close to the Buffalo end zone on the quarterback run where he got hurt.
Since I’m expecting a closer match than the oddsmakers anyway, I’m happy to have a nice handicap odds and a strong 1.83 that the visitors from Miami will score at least one touchdown per half.
Which also speaks for itself: Josh Allen and his offense won’t be on the field too long before scoring or punting. The Bills rank in the bottom third of the entire NFL in terms of average time of possession.
Conclusion and Prediction: Yes, Buffalo enters the game against Miami on a three-game winning run. With the Jets wobbling and the Titans off to a weak start to the season, this game didn’t feature the NFL’s top contenders, and I don’t count Seattle among them.
The Dolphins were the better team overall in the first game except for the outliers, the Bills had already struggled mightily on defense against other AFC franchises like the Ravens and Texans.
The first matchup after Tagovailoa’s return didn’t look bad last week. With the AFC East rival, I expect them to be able to hurt the Bills defense more and score touchdowns in each half.
My bet: Dolphins touchdown every half
