Champions League Quali, 3rd round, second leg, Tuesday, 13.08.2024 at 19:00
The second leg of the 3rd round of the UCL qualifiers is eagerly awaited at Aspmyra Stadium in the Arctic Circle. The hosts, known for their home strength and offensive power, will give their all to secure a place in the next round.
My Bodø/Glimt Jagiellonia prediction points to an entertaining duel, which will be characterized by one-way soccer and many Norwegian finishes
The players of reigning Polish champions Jagiellonia would be well advised to wrap up when they travel to northern Norway next Tuesday.
The passionate supporters of Bodø/Glimt will be waiting for them with their characteristic yellow toothbrushes.
The Arctic Circle is supposed to be a little milder than usual at this time of year, but overturning a 1-0 defeat at Aspmyra Stadium would be a major challenge even for experienced European clubs.
In my opinion, the Poles blew their best chance of reaching the play-offs last Wednesday when a disastrous own goal from Dieguez handed them a deficit that lasted until the end of the game.
Norway’s winning goal was somewhat fortunate, but at heart they were easily the team that set the tone, with 63% possession and a 13:8 shot ratio in both categories.
If we also take into account that the season in the Norwegian Eliteserien has already been running for months, while the Polish league has only just begun, then Bodø/Glimt should certainly not see their lead in the Arctic Circle “melt away”.
Especially as things are going splendidly at the moment: They have pulled away from the chasing pack in the league competition, losing only two of their 19 league games so far and scoring an impressive 16 goals in their last four cross-competition home games alone.
Bodø/Glimt beat Latvian first-division side RFS 3-1 away from home in the second qualifying round and then ran riot 4-0 at home. According to my Bodø/Glimt Jagiellonia betting tip, this should also be the pattern for the clash with the Poles.
The Norwegians have now established themselves as a permanent fixture in international club soccer – at least in the Europa League and the Conference League. After years of successful participation in the main rounds of these two competitions, the time could even be ripe for the top flight.
In any case, fans should be encouraged by their European Cup record: After all, they have only lost one of their last ten appearances at the Aspmyra Stadium (7 wins, 2 draws).
Jagiellonia won’t have a bad season in Poland. Especially as they have just signed the talented Darko Churlinov on loan from Burnley, who could potentially play in the second leg.
Even though the first five competitive games of the new 2024/25 season – three in the league and two in the Champions League – were won, the aforementioned first leg defeat against Bodo/Glimt made it clear that “Jaga” fans should lower their expectations somewhat.
The newly crowned Polish champions from Białystok may succeed in defending their Ekstraklasa crown due to the relatively weaker competition, but their first appearance in the UCL qualifiers could still come to a premature end on Tuesday.
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Now let’s get down to business: Which Bodø/Glimt Jagiellonia tip is worth typing into a handy sports betting app such as the Bet365 app on Tuesday?
First of all, it should be noted that the German betting providers have offered Bodø/Glimt Jagiellonia odds that do not necessarily require a high degree of ingenuity.
The odds of around 1.53 for Bodø/Glimt to win are ideally suited to be placed as a simple single bet or integrated into a combination betting slip despite the betting tax deduction.
Since the Norwegians like to play to their strengths at home and – as already mentioned – have scored an average of four goals in their last four home games, I would like to deliberately go one step further here (maybe even two).
I don’t want to go too far, but a Bodö/Glimt Jagiellonia tip of the type “Win 1 & Over 3.5 goals” at handsome odds of around 3.10 still arouses my desires.
And why not? Because exactly this tip would have led to a payout in the last two European Cup matches of the Norwegians against RFS in the first and second leg
Conclusion: I expect a clear win for the Norwegians in the second leg, which will take place just 1,100 kilometers from the North Pole.
Bodø/Glimt have put in impressive performances in their last four home duty matches, scoring an average of four goals. Their current strong form suggests that they will once again play to their attacking strengths.
With an impressive home record in competitive international matches and the current momentum, the Norwegians are highly likely not only to win but also to score multiple times.
A somewhat bold Bodö/Glimt Jagiellonia tip of the type “Win 1 & Over 3.5 goals “ could therefore prove lucrative.
