Europa League, quarter-final, first leg, Thursday, 10/04/2025 at 6:45 PM
This is actually one of the most exciting aspects of this Europa League quarter-final first leg: Bodö/Glimt have only just started their new season – Lazio, on the other hand, are coming off a long, intense 2024/25 season that is slowly coming to an end.
And that’s exactly what makes this game so appealing: the Norwegian champions are starting the Europa League clash with fresh energy and have often caused a stir internationally, especially at home.
Just think of the gala against Roma a few years ago – the “Arctic home advantage” was a real asset then.
Lazio naturally has more individual quality, but the climatic conditions, the artificial turf and the journey to northern Norway could prove a problem for the Romans.
An early Norwegian goal could completely change the game. So if you like surprises, you should read my Bodö/Glimt Lazio Rome tip to the end!
Thursday evening will be icy – at least for Lazio. While the Italians are traveling to this remote corner of Europe for the very first time, Bodö/Glimt know the conditions up there like the back of their hand.
First duel of the two in Europe – and Lazio face an opponent who has often annoyed Italian teams at home.
The Norwegians have won their last three home games against Serie A clubs: against Sampdoria in 1994, and twice spectacularly against Roma in the 2021/22 Conference League.
Combined with the artificial turf, the harsh climate and a team in the spring competition rhythm, this is a mix that should really challenge Lazio.
In other words, Bodö/Glimt has a great chance of making another small European statement here.
The bookmakers’ forecast
The Bet365 app reveals an interesting balance of power with the Bodö/Glimt Lazio Rom odds!
With 3.30 for a home win and 3.50 for a draw, the Norwegians are by no means without a chance, but Lazio are still trading at 2.15 as slight favorites. The bookmakers therefore have more confidence in the Romans, even in the Arctic Circle, which is so foreign to them.
AI Prediction Bodö/Glimt vs Lazio Rom:tipp ChatGPT
The Bodö/Glimt Lazio Rom AI prediction made on request by ChatGPT provides three largely interesting betting ideas.
For the high risk, “Bodö qualifies” is initially suggested at about 3,750.
Sounds daring at first, but it’s not that far-fetched – if the Norwegians manage a strong first leg, anything is possible in the second leg. The scenario definitely has charm.
For a medium-risk sports bet, the AI tip is “Both teams score: No” at 2.07 – but I’m not convinced by that.
In their last three European home games, Bodö have always conceded an early goal, but then equalized. So for me, this bet has too many question marks.
The lowest risk level is offered by “Double Chance 1X” at 1.66 – I really like that. The northerners’ strength comes from playing at home, and Lazio is not always at its best away from home. A solid choice!
Analysis: Bodö/Glimt vs Lazio Rome
Lazio fight and toil, but neither in the Serie A nor in the Europa League is the shine recognizable with which they were still able to finish the league phase in first place in the first phase of the season.
The Romans only kept a clean sheet in one of their last eight competitive appearances, while their progress to the quarter-finals of the EL was almost an ordeal!
Viktoria Plzen were only just beaten 3-2 on aggregate within regular time. The Norwegians, on the other hand, knocked out Olympiakos thanks to a furious 3-0 home win in the first leg.
Bodö/Glimt, meanwhile, are sure to have the fresher legs. The Norwegian league competition is just two matchdays old, and the Yellow Army are still without a goal against.
A 3-0 win over HamKam followed their 1-0 victory over Bryne. Add to that an 8-0 domestic cup win over Innstrandens and it’s fair to say that this has been the best possible start to the 2025 season.
Odds Analysis
“Both teams score” at 1.70 is a really strong tip – because Bodö not only has a brutal home record, but also a real problem keeping the back door shut. And lose? They hardly ever lose at home anyway!
“Over 2.5 goals” at 1.90 is also appealing to me, because the Norwegians’ European Cup games offer plenty of potential for escalation. Lots of pace, lots of chances – it’s bound to be a goal-filled game!
Bodö/Glimt vs. Lazio Rome Odds: Déjà vu!
Is Bodö/Glimt facing déjà vu against Lazio? The parallels to the 2021/22 season are certainly striking and could give the Norwegians food for thought.
Back then, Glimt were also in the quarter-finals of a European competition – and again, their opponents were from the Italian capital.
In the UEFA Conference League, they faced AS Roma, beating them 2-1 in the first leg and thus fueling hopes of an upset.
But the return leg brought disillusionment: a clear 0-4 meant the end of the road and a bitter farewell to Europe.
Two years later, the northerners are once again in the last eight – and once again it is a Roman Serie A team that wants to block their path to the semi-finals. It remains to be seen whether Glimt has learned from his experiences against Roma.
One thing is clear: Lazio is individually strong, but home advantage and cold temperatures could play a role as they did then.
Lazio with more experience!
Even if Bodö/Glimt play with heart, pace and euphoria, they face a team that has already eliminated much tougher opponents in Europe.
Lazio will arrive at the Arctic Circle with the coolness of an experienced poker player – and with a strong track record: the Romans already knocked out a Norwegian club twice in the 2015/16 season, when it was Rosenborg.
They have been mercilessly effective in this Europa League season too: seven wins, the same number as in their strong 2017/18 campaign.
Lazio have only been more successful in Europe once before – and that was 25 years ago.
Despite all these numbers, I still think the Norwegians will do well on Thursday, but in my opinion a home win is still less likely than a draw!
However, Lazio are not quite as experienced as one might expect for a traditional Italian club at this stage. European quarter-finals are not part of everyday life for the Romans.
In fact, it is the first time since the 2017/18 Europa League season that Lazio have even reached this stage again. Back then, they were knocked out by RB Salzburg – and in dramatic fashion: 5:6 was the final aggregate score.
It has been even longer since Lazio actually made it through a quarter-final. That was in the 2002/03 season, when they knocked out Besiktas in the UEFA Cup.
This means that even if the “Biancocelesti” play cleverly and with composure, there is no guarantee that they will automatically survive these decisive phases. So Bodö/Glimt can hope – especially at home, where they often outdo themselves.
My Bodö/Glimt Lazio Rome Tip:
There is only one chance for the Norwegians to reach the semi-finals – and that, as in the previous round against Olympiakos, is to put in a strong performance at home.
Lazio, on the other hand, are not exactly playing well despite their 1-0 win over Atalanta on Sunday – so there could well be a rude awakening on Thursday. The Scandinavians are definitely capable of pulling off an upset!
Therefore, my Bodö/Glimt Lazio Rom betting tip is: Bodö/Glimt scores at least two goals.
